Hobart Chargers vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 81-41

21-14 18-10 20-6 22-11

Position#2

Record13-4

FormLWLWW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game77.0

Hobart Chargers 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#12

Record7-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game80.9

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Hobart Chargers v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobart Chargers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hobart Chargers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

87-97

-10

A14/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

92-70

+22

A15/05

SEABL

Canberra

91-75

+16

H20/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

94-70

+24

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

85-68

+17

A03/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

85-93

-8

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

86-83

H17/06

SEABL

Bendigo

78-85

-7

A25/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-75

A26/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

98-94 OT

A02/07

SEABL

27-19

14-26

16-30

30-22

23-21

24-15

18-16

27-18

22-24

20-21

28-10

21-20

24-16

21-17

22-20

27-17

20-21

21-19

21-12

23-16

17-32

23-22

25-18

20-21

17-21

20-21

26-16

23-25

21-22

24-21

17-21

16-21

26-20

20-18

15-17

20-20

16-29

25-15

24-22

17-16

168.7Avg total

87.7Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.4	77.0	164.4	+10.4	76%
Season at home (8)	88.2	72.0	160.2	+16.2	88%
Season away (9)	86.6	81.4	168.0	+5.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	81.0	168.7	+6.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	86.0	171.6	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	63.0	72.0	135.0	-9.0	25%
vs Similar (9)	75.3	79.4	154.8	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	85.4	72.8	158.2	+12.6	88%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

58-83

-25

A29/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

74-70

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

70-92

-22

H15/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

63-96

-33

A21/05

SEABL

Albury

93-75

+18

H29/05

SEABL

Geelong

70-91

-21

H04/06

SEABL

Canberra

77-82 OT

-5

A18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

73-69

A25/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

80-87

-7

H26/06

SEABL

Albury

84-95

-11

A02/07

SEABL

10-10

11-28

21-18

16-27

19-16

18-22

14-17

23-15

21-23

15-24

16-18

18-27

17-18

15-19

15-20

16-39

17-20

25-16

29-19

22-20

22-24

17-20

17-23

14-24

17-15

16-19

16-24

15-6

13-20

22-14

10-21

28-14

20-27

14-19

21-15

25-26

25-23

26-23

23-17

10-32

158.2Avg total

74.2Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.9	80.9	156.8	-4.9	44%
Season at home (8)	80.9	77.4	158.2	+3.5	62%
Season away (8)	71.0	84.4	155.4	-13.4	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	84.0	158.2	-9.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	84.8	161.6	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	73.9	84.9	158.8	-11.1	21%
vs Similar (14)	76.4	76.2	152.6	+0.1	50%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	67.0	139.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Hobart ChargersKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	16.5	31.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	41%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	19.2	33.5	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.8	38.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.5	38.1	-0.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	50%	-

Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

41-45

-4

A14/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

47-36

+11

A15/05

SEABL

Canberra

42-45

-3

H20/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

45-33

+12

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

41-40

A03/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

40-54

-14

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

37-42

-5

H17/06

SEABL

Bendigo

45-43

A25/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

46-38

A26/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

41-44

-3

A02/07

SEABL

84.5Avg total

42.5Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.9	77.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	35.3	72.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	40.5	82.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.0	84.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.2	86.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.0	35.8	64.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.7	40.4	79.1	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.5	37.1	79.6	+5.4	71%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

21-38

-17

A29/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

37-38

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

36-47

-11

H15/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

32-37

-5

A21/05

SEABL

Albury

42-36

H29/05

SEABL

Geelong

39-44

-5

H04/06

SEABL

Canberra

33-34

-1

A18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

35-34

A25/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

34-46

-12

H26/06

SEABL

Albury

51-46

A02/07

SEABL

76.0Avg total

36.0Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.9	76.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	38.9	74.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	40.0	76.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.4	40.6	79.0	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.9	37.4	74.3	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	37.0	73.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.2	36.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	16.2	31.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.3	16.8	38.1	+4.5	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.9	36.9	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	17.8	36.1	+0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.3	38.9	-3.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.7	24.3	42.0	-6.6	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	11.5	26.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.4	75.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	35.8	74.6	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	36.2	70.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.7	39.0	75.7	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.9	35.0	76.9	+6.9	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.0	75.3	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	36.9	74.2	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	41.1	76.3	-5.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	42.2	79.1	-5.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.5	44.3	79.8	-8.8	21%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.0	35.1	72.1	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	30.0	66.0	+6.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hobart Chargers wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/16	Kilsyth v Hobart Chargers	70-92
07/08/15	Hobart Chargers v Kilsyth	53-63
25/04/15	Kilsyth v Hobart Chargers	88-66

Hobart Chargerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	98-94 OT
26/06/16	A	Frankston	81-75
25/06/16	A	Bendigo	78-85
17/06/16	H	Mt Gambier	86-83
04/06/16	A	Ballarat	85-93
03/06/16	A	BA CoE	85-68
27/05/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	94-70
20/05/16	H	Canberra	91-75
15/05/16	A	Kilsyth	92-70
14/05/16	A	Geelong	87-97

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	A	Albury	84-95
26/06/16	H	NW Tasmania	80-87
25/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	73-69
18/06/16	A	Canberra	77-82 OT
04/06/16	H	Geelong	70-91
29/05/16	H	Albury	93-75
21/05/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	63-96
15/05/16	H	Hobart Chargers	70-92
07/05/16	A	Frankston	74-70
29/04/16	A	Mt Gambier	58-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hobart Chargers

SEABL 2016

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WLLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	76%	88%	67%
Points / game	87.4	88.2	86.6
Allowed / game	77.0	72.0	81.4
Point differential	+10.4	+16.2	+5.1
Avg total	164.4	160.2	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	75%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Kilsyth

SEABL 2016

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	WLWLL	62%
Away	WLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	75.9	80.9	71.0
Allowed / game	80.9	77.4	84.4
Point differential	-4.9	+3.5	-13.4
Avg total	156.8	158.2	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	62%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	18	15	3	83%	85.8	72.3	+13.5
2	Hobart Chargers	17	13	4	76%	87.4	77.0	+10.4
3	Mt Gambier	17	11	6	65%	90.1	77.4	+12.8
4	Brisbane Spartans	17	10	7	59%	86.2	82.8	+3.4
5	Canberra	16	9	7	56%	80.6	83.0	-2.4
6	Geelong	18	10	8	56%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
7	NW Tasmania	17	9	8	53%	84.4	87.6	-3.2
8	Ballarat	16	8	8	50%	90.7	90.5	+0.2
9	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	86.2	86.5	-0.2
10	Albury	17	8	9	47%	86.9	86.1	+0.9
11	Nunawading	16	7	9	44%	86.1	83.8	+2.3
12	Kilsyth	16	7	9	44%	75.9	80.9	-4.9
13	Southern Sabres	16	7	9	44%	79.6	85.3	-5.7
14	Frankston	17	5	12	29%	74.7	82.5	-7.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	17	2	15	12%	69.6	84.3	-14.6
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hobart Chargers	21	18	20	22	81
Kilsyth	14	10	6	11	41

← all games of the day

Hobart Chargers vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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