Hobart Chargers vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jul 2022

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 103-83

24-14 27-14 26-23 26-32

Position#1

Record13-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game78.8

Hobart Chargers 🏆

Knox

Position#7

Record9-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game74.8

NBL1 SouthRound 12

Other2022

Meetings · Hobart Chargers v Knox

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobart Chargers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Knox winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hobart Chargers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

77-73

H27/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

82-79

H03/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

82-75

A18/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

86-83

A19/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

92-82

+10

A25/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

89-61

+28

A26/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

107-80

107

+27

H01/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

88-82

A09/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

95-90

A10/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

100-71

100

+29

H15/07

NBL1 South

25-20

14-19

18-21

20-13

18-16

27-20

14-23

23-20

16-22

20-17

26-19

20-17

21-22

22-21

23-20

20-20

32-17

19-19

21-20

20-26

24-15

24-17

18-10

23-19

22-19

25-24

30-22

30-15

25-27

14-18

23-18

26-19

19-32

25-18

27-15

24-25

30-19

26-19

18-14

26-19

167.4Avg total

89.8Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	87.6	78.8	166.4	+8.9	81%
Season at home (7)	88.6	79.9	168.4	+8.7	71%
Season away (9)	86.9	77.9	164.8	+9.0	89%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	77.6	167.4	+12.2	100%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	76.8	172.6	+19.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	96.8	88.2	185.0	+8.6	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	90.9	81.8	172.7	+9.1	80%

This opponent (Knox) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Knox

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

98-72

+26

H21/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

76-80

-4

A28/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

79-80

-1

H29/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

92-67

+25

H04/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

87-61

+26

A05/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

89-84

H18/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

90-97

-7

A25/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

81-62

+19

H02/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

72-83

-11

H09/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#13

69-50

+19

A15/07

NBL1 South

39-20

17-21

19-17

23-14

21-22

11-21

17-14

27-23

17-23

25-19

17-15

20-23

21-23

29-18

19-11

23-15

19-16

21-19

17-11

30-15

27-21

24-26

20-10

18-27

18-23

20-28

29-18

23-28

14-14

28-15

18-19

21-14

18-21

14-16

20-21

20-25

14-16

20-16

16-13

19-5

156.9Avg total

83.3Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	82.6	74.8	157.4	+7.8	56%
Season at home (9)	84.0	75.2	159.2	+8.8	56%
Season away (7)	80.9	74.3	155.1	+6.6	57%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	73.6	156.9	+9.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	75.2	155.4	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	87.2	97.0	184.2	-9.8	25%
vs Similar (11)	81.9	80.5	162.4	+1.5	45%
vs Weaker (14)	86.2	74.9	161.1	+11.3	71%

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Hobart ChargersKnox

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.3	19.8	44.1	+4.5	66%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	25.0	18.4	43.4	+6.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.8	20.8	44.5	+3.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.4	46.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.1	44.2	+2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.9	20.9	43.9	+2.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	25.5	19.5	45.0	+6.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	25.3	45.7	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	23.2	41.6	-4.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	57%	-

Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

39-39

H27/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

45-36

H03/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

36-39

-3

A18/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

43-43

A19/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

51-36

+15

A25/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

48-32

+16

A26/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

47-43

H01/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

39-45

-6

A09/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

44-50

-6

A10/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

56-38

+18

H15/07

NBL1 South

84.9Avg total

44.8Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	47.4	40.7	88.1	+6.7	69%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	48.3	39.3	87.7	+9.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.7	41.7	88.4	+5.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	40.1	84.9	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.6	88.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	50.5	41.8	92.2	+8.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.9	40.6	87.4	+6.3	68%	-

This opponent (Knox) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

56-41

+15

H21/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

32-43

-11

A28/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

42-42

H29/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

50-41

H04/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

40-35

A05/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

51-47

H18/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

38-51

-13

A25/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

42-29

+13

H02/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

32-37

-5

H09/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#13

34-32

A15/07

NBL1 South

81.5Avg total

41.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.9	82.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	39.4	82.6	+3.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	44.8	83.1	-6.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	39.8	81.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.8	48.0	87.8	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.3	43.6	85.9	-1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.6	39.1	80.6	+2.5	57%	-

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.8	39.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.2	21.3	43.6	+0.9	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.9	37.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	14.9	34.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.4	45.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.2	26.2	45.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.7	41.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	25.5	24.8	50.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.1	18.3	41.4	+4.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.9	41.7	85.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.9	42.2	86.2	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.9	41.3	85.2	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	35.2	84.2	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	43.2	44.5	87.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.0	41.2	85.3	+2.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.6	79.2	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	37.9	81.6	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	33.8	75.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	47.5	49.0	96.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.6	36.8	76.5	+2.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.3	35.1	78.4	+8.2	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hobart Chargers wins

Knox wins

Date	Game	Score
11/07/21	Knox v Hobart Chargers	87-92

Hobart Chargerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/22	H	Diamond Valley	100-71
10/07/22	A	Frankston	95-90
09/07/22	A	Nunawading	88-82
01/07/22	H	Dandenong	107-80
26/06/22	A	Keilor Thunder	89-61
25/06/22	A	Mt Gambier	92-82
19/06/22	A	Eltham	86-83
18/06/22	A	Ballarat	82-75
03/06/22	H	Casey Cavaliers	82-79
27/05/22	H	Bendigo Braves	77-73

Knoxlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/22	A	NW Tasmania	69-50
09/07/22	H	Bendigo Braves	72-83
02/07/22	H	Ballarat	81-62
25/06/22	A	Dandenong	90-97
18/06/22	H	Diamond Valley	89-84
05/06/22	A	Waverley	87-61
04/06/22	H	Nunawading	92-67
29/05/22	H	Sandringham Sabres	79-80
28/05/22	A	Casey Cavaliers	76-80
21/05/22	H	Kilsyth	98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hobart Chargers

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	LWWWW	71%
Away	WWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	81%	71%	89%
Points / game	87.6	88.6	86.9
Allowed / game	78.8	79.9	77.9
Point differential	+8.9	+8.7	+9.0
Avg total	166.4	168.4	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	29%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Knox

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	56%
Home	LWWWL	56%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	56%	56%	57%
Points / game	82.6	84.0	80.9
Allowed / game	74.8	75.2	74.3
Point differential	+7.8	+8.8	+6.6
Avg total	157.4	159.2	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	44%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	16	13	3	81%	87.6	78.8	+8.9
2	Mt Gambier	15	11	4	73%	96.9	85.3	+11.6
3	Sandringham Sabres	15	10	5	67%	82.9	83.4	-0.5
4	Kilsyth	16	10	6	62%	81.1	79.8	+1.3
5	Geelong	15	9	6	60%	84.9	80.9	+4.0
6	Bendigo Braves	14	8	6	57%	79.6	73.7	+5.9
7	Waverley	14	8	6	57%	83.4	82.1	+1.3
8	Knox	16	9	7	56%	82.6	74.8	+7.8
9	Frankston	15	8	7	53%	91.1	86.0	+5.1
10	Ballarat	15	8	7	53%	79.9	79.1	+0.8
11	Ringwood	15	8	7	53%	78.2	81.2	-3.0
12	Diamond Valley	16	7	9	44%	82.8	85.4	-2.6
13	NW Tasmania	16	7	9	44%	73.8	79.3	-5.5
14	Nunawading	15	6	9	40%	78.0	81.9	-3.9
15	Casey Cavaliers	14	5	9	36%	83.0	86.4	-3.4
16	Keilor Thunder	15	5	10	33%	76.0	78.7	-2.7
17	Eltham	15	4	11	27%	76.4	82.6	-6.2
18	Dandenong	15	4	11	27%	78.1	88.5	-10.5
19	Melbourne Tigers	14	3	11	21%	72.1	81.6	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hobart Chargers	24	27	26	26	103
Knox	14	14	23	32	83

← all games of the day

Hobart Chargers vs Knox Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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