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Honka vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 100-86
16-24 30-22 26-21 28-19
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game97.5
Honka 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.3
FinlandKorisliiga· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli
Other2026-27
Meetings · Honka v Lahti Basketball
03 Jan 2027
HON v LAHT
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
HON100
LAHT86
18 Oct 2025
HON105
LAHT87
01 Feb 2023
HON81
LAHT95
01 Oct 2022
HON71
LAHT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
73avg 82
A18/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
52avg 82
A23/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 82
H27/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
77avg 82
A29/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
57avg 82
H01/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
57avg 82
A04/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-104
107
104
+3
95avg 82
A29/09
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#12
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 82
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
88avg 82
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 82
A10/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-21
20-18
21-27
14-22
18-26
19-28
18-12
25-16
23-27
21-22
19-22
29-30
27-21
18-31
16-13
21-29
7-23
21-17
23-19
19-21
22-12
16-25
15-34
20-28
29-25
29-33
29-18
26-18
34-18
21-30
18-25
23-19
25-22
17-25
20-19
22-29
30-20
28-20
28-30
181.4Avg total
88.2Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)102.897.5200.2+5.2100%
Season at home (2)98.093.5191.5+4.5100%
Season away (2)107.5101.5209.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.293.2181.4-5.050%
Last 5 (5)96.696.4193.0+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.089.7179.7+0.357%
vs Similar (18)88.892.8181.7-4.039%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)102.892.0194.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 78
H11/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
118-112
118
112
+6
123avg 78
H15/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-93
94
93
+1
76avg 78
A18/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 78
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 78
A10/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
100-101
100
101
-1
87avg 78
A14/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
89-92
89
92
-3
73avg 78
H18/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
59avg 78
A02/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
78avg 78
H07/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 78
H14/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
21-23
31-16
27-36
26-29
28-15
33-29
31-39
17-24
24-28
30-17
23-24
22-20
19-23
24-30
15-23
16-25
24-22
23-24
14-22
26-30
27-19
24-31
23-21
19-29
22-21
24-23
24-19
14-23
11-21
20-16
25-16
27-23
21-22
19-23
24-17
16-11
30-30
18-21
27-21
182.5Avg total
90.4Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
Season at home (2)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)90.492.1182.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)88.287.4175.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)89.692.3181.9-2.740%
vs Similar (16)85.886.1171.9-0.444%
vs Weaker (4)102.098.2200.2+3.850%
This opponent (Honka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
HonkaLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A23/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A29/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H01/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A29/09
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
Korisliiga
90.6Avg total
45.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.893.6+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.644.592.1+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)46.149.095.1-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.390.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.042.492.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.946.092.9+0.971%-
vs Similar (18)45.248.393.5-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)53.042.295.2+10.8100%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H15/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A18/02
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H18/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A02/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H07/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H14/10
Korisliiga
87.8Avg total
42.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.189.5-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.144.890.9+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.845.388.1-2.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.387.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.144.789.8+0.440%-
vs Similar (16)42.144.186.2-2.025%-
vs Weaker (4)52.249.8102.0+2.550%-
This opponent (Honka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.4
31.8%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.617.5
71.1%
75.8%17.5
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.6
53.9%
54.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
75.8%12.6
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
WWWWLLLWLL
Lahti Basketball
WWLLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
-1.8
92.6
Offensive rating
94.5
97.5
Defensive rating
96.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
34.6%
58.9%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 94.5Defence97.5 · 96.3Shooting49.7% · 53.1%3-point %31.8% · 34.6%Ball care14.0% · 15.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Honka   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Honka wins
4
Lahti Basketball wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25Lahti Basketball v Honka96-87
18/10/25Honka v Lahti Basketball105-87
03/03/23Lahti Basketball v Honka120-115 OT
01/02/23Honka v Lahti Basketball81-95
27/11/22Lahti Basketball v Honka90-101
01/10/22Honka v Lahti Basketball71-76
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AKataja108-99
06/10/26HPyrinto Tampere97-96 OT
03/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-91
29/09/26ASalon Vilpas107-104
04/04/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-92
01/04/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-88
29/03/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90-95
27/03/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki88-87
23/03/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki69-88
18/03/26AKarhu Basket80-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HKouvot Kouvola91-83
07/10/26HKataja91-85
02/10/26AHelsinki Seagulls70-76
18/03/26HBisons Loimaa89-92
14/03/26AKobrat100-101
10/03/26APyrinto Tampere77-93
22/02/26HKouvot Kouvola80-96
18/02/26ABisons Loimaa94-93
15/02/26HKobrat118-112
11/02/26HKataja94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.898.0107.5
Allowed / game97.593.5101.5
Point differential+5.2+4.5+6.0
Avg total200.2191.5209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.091.070.0
Allowed / game81.384.076.0
Point differential+2.7+7.0-6.0
Avg total165.3175.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KTP Kotka Basket440100%90.273.8+16.5
2 Kipina330100%98.786.7+12.0
3 Honka440100%102.897.5+5.2
4 Lahti Basketball32167%84.081.3+2.7
5 Kataja42250%93.088.2+4.8
6 Salon Vilpas42250%94.290.2+4.0
7 Helsinki Seagulls42250%77.579.0-1.5
8 Karhu Basket41325%80.582.2-1.8
9 Pyrinto Tampere41325%85.592.8-7.2
10 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki41325%83.891.5-7.8
11 Bisons Loimaa41325%66.082.2-16.2
12 Kouvot Kouvola4040%82.089.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Honka16302628100
Lahti Basketball2422211986
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