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Honka vs Oulu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 105-57
29-17 30-16 23-15 23-9
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game68.8
Honka 🏆
Finland
vs
Oulu
Finland
Position#11
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.0
FinlandI Divisioona A· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Honka v Oulu
11 Nov 2023
HON105
OULU57
12 Apr 2022
HON85
OULU73
08 Apr 2022
HON80
OULU100
02 Apr 2022
HON79
OULU78
21 Nov 2021
HON67
OULU89
07 Mar 2021
HON101
OULU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
A18/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#7
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
no box
A03/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
no box
H10/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#10
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H17/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#9
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
91avg 84
A08/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
89avg 84
H12/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 84
A22/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 84
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
89-58
89
58
+31
91avg 84
A03/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
10-21
15-16
21-27
22-22
20-34
25-27
35-19
17-28
17-16
17-28
20-26
24-17
18-27
16-17
21-17
23-29
19-21
22-26
24-20
25-12
26-25
23-15
24-21
23-16
22-18
27-19
22-17
23-20
11-27
19-3
27-24
26-15
31-14
15-17
8-23
20-11
17-13
30-19
22-15
167.1Avg total
86.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.268.8157.0+19.4100%
Season at home (2)87.069.5156.5+17.5100%
Season away (3)89.068.3157.3+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.181.0167.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)88.268.8157.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)80.290.0170.2-9.824%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.268.8157.0+19.4100%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Huima
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
51avg 78
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
86avg 78
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
95-63
95
63
+32
104avg 78
A29/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
H05/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
24-19
24-20
21-21
34-22
18-18
17-23
19-21
15-25
19-20
31-27
17-9
24-14
26-27
17-38
25-20
15-20
20-17
25-22
16-31
11-20
19-17
22-31
26-22
15-18
25-21
28-15
16-16
20-11
16-18
23-28
12-14
26-19
13-8
34-6
22-30
22-16
23-24
23-23
14-26
166.4Avg total
84.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.078.0162.0+6.060%
Season at home (3)80.385.7166.0-5.333%
Season away (2)89.566.5156.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.082.4166.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.078.0162.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.685.8166.4-5.229%
vs Similar (8)79.679.8159.4-0.162%
vs Weaker (5)82.679.0161.6+3.640%
This opponent (Honka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
HonkaOulu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A03/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H10/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A08/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A22/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H27/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A03/11
I Divisioona A
81.1Avg total
41.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.782.4-3.121%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.982.0-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.681.1+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.279.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.943.982.8-5.016%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.834.279.0+10.680%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A29/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/11
I Divisioona A
77.2Avg total
39.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.080.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.677.8-1.433%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.483.3+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.241.183.2+1.147%-
vs Similar (8)38.139.677.8-1.562%-
vs Weaker (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
This opponent (Honka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.6
56.2%
52.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.0
30.4%
31.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.2
64.4%
69.0%15.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.0
60.4%
52.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.0
33.1%
31.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
69.0%12.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
WWWWWLWLLL
Oulu
LWWWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#11
+24.5
Net rating
+8.7
110.6
Offensive rating
104.4
86.0
Defensive rating
95.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
22.7%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
33.1%
64.6%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 104.4Defence86.0 · 95.7Shooting51.7% · 55.4%3-point %30.4% · 33.1%Ball care19.7% · 22.7%Off. rebounds40.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Honka   ■ Oulu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Honka wins
3
Oulu wins
DateGameScore
12/04/22Honka v Oulu85-73
10/04/22Oulu v Honka72-86
08/04/22Honka v Oulu80-100
05/04/22Oulu v Honka83-74 OT
02/04/22Honka v Oulu79-78
18/02/22Oulu v Honka100-106
21/11/21Honka v Oulu67-89
14/03/21Oulu v Honka93-99
07/03/21Honka v Oulu101-66
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23AJyvaskyla89-58
27/10/23HRaholan Pyrkiva80-69
22/10/23AKipina80-74
12/10/23HHBA-Marsky Helsinki94-70
08/10/23AHelsingin NMKY98-73
22/03/23APyrinto Tampere88-96
17/03/23HKobrat79-78
10/03/23HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-98
03/03/23ALahti Basketball115-120 OT
18/02/23ABC Nokia67-74
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HToPo Helsinki82-89
29/10/23AKristika Turku95-63
21/10/23HPyrinto Tampere 281-78 OT
14/10/23AHuima84-70
07/10/23HRaiders Basket78-90
19/03/23HHBA-Marsky Helsinki76-90
09/03/23AJyvaskyla92-99
04/03/23HBisons Loimaa82-81
25/02/23ARaiders Basket88-84
18/02/23HHuima82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.287.089.0
Allowed / game68.869.568.3
Point differential+19.4+17.5+20.7
Avg total157.0156.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oulu
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game84.080.389.5
Allowed / game78.085.766.5
Point differential+6.0-5.3+23.0
Avg total162.0166.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Honka550100%88.268.8+19.4
2 Jyvaskyla65183%85.872.8+13.0
3 Kipina54180%89.479.8+9.6
4 Raiders Basket75271%82.083.0-1.0
5 ToPo Helsinki64267%91.884.0+7.8
6 Oulu53260%84.078.0+6.0
7 Huima73443%74.079.9-5.9
8 Raholan Pyrkiva52340%83.484.8-1.4
9 HBA-Marsky Helsinki52340%87.291.8-4.6
10 Pyrinto Tampere 251420%82.281.2+1.0
11 Helsingin NMKY6060%80.295.0-14.8
12 Kristika Turku6060%71.594.5-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Honka29302323105
Oulu171615957
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