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Oulu vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-89
22-16 23-24 23-23 14-26
Position#11
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.2
Oulu
Finland
vs
ToPo Helsinki 🏆
Finland
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game90.0
FinlandI Divisioona A· Oulun Urheilutalo (Oulu)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oulu v ToPo Helsinki
22 Feb 2025
OULU107
TOPO68
05 Nov 2023
OULU82
TOPO89
28 Jan 2023
OULU81
TOPO71
10 Oct 2021
OULU65
TOPO103
23 Jan 2021
OULU65
TOPO125
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A11/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
51avg 80
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
86avg 80
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
95-63
95
63
+32
104avg 80
A29/10
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
15-29
20-22
25-14
13-20
24-19
24-20
21-21
34-22
18-18
17-23
19-21
15-25
19-20
31-27
17-9
24-14
26-27
17-38
25-20
15-20
20-17
25-22
16-31
11-20
19-17
22-31
26-22
15-18
25-21
28-15
16-16
20-11
16-18
23-28
12-14
26-19
13-8
34-6
22-30
165.3Avg total
83.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.575.2159.8+9.275%
Season at home (2)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Season away (2)89.566.5156.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.681.7165.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)82.878.2161.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.684.9165.6-4.335%
vs Similar (8)79.679.8159.4-0.162%
vs Weaker (5)82.679.0161.6+3.640%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Huima
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
no box
H26/03
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
A31/03
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
H03/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
60-103
60
103
-43
no box
A06/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
no box
H09/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A12/04
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
W
100-91
100
91
+9
98avg 88
A06/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
L
85-96
85
96
-11
82avg 88
H13/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 88
A21/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 88
H28/10
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
26-24
17-14
21-19
14-12
22-11
17-28
24-15
12-11
18-26
18-11
17-17
19-24
19-24
10-31
12-24
13-19
17-25
14-31
22-24
20-26
16-22
11-31
22-17
17-27
24-22
35-23
24-19
36-27
14-20
20-34
15-15
25-18
16-24
28-20
23-19
18-27
15-19
20-23
30-23
168.4Avg total
80.4Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
Season at home (2)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Season away (2)96.086.0182.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.488.0168.4-7.650%
Last 5 (5)85.891.2177.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.093.3175.3-11.336%
vs Similar (9)89.989.2179.1+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.977.2163.1+8.770%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
OuluToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A25/02
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H04/03
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/03
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H21/10
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A29/10
I Divisioona A
76.6Avg total
38.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.180.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.439.977.3-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.483.3+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.076.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.541.382.8+0.241%-
vs Similar (8)38.139.677.8-1.562%-
vs Weaker (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#4
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H26/03
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A31/03
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A06/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H09/04
I Divisioona A
Bisons Loimaa
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/04
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A21/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H28/10
I Divisioona A
82.6Avg total
39.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.884.0-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.343.584.7-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.183.3-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.382.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.486.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.146.586.6-6.518%-
vs Similar (9)43.243.086.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.838.479.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.020.3
63.5%
52.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.3
33.3%
31.8%31.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.5%
69.0%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.2
56.6%
52.1%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.8
34.9%
31.8%38.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.2
71.4%
69.0%16.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oulu
WWWLLLWWWL
ToPo Helsinki
LWLWLLLWWW
#11
League position
#3
+13.3
Net rating
-1.5
105.2
Offensive rating
107.7
91.9
Defensive rating
109.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
25.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
34.9%
67.4%
Assist %
82.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 107.7Defence91.9 · 109.2Shooting56.9% · 54.3%3-point %33.3% · 34.9%Ball care25.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oulu   ■ ToPo Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oulu wins
4
ToPo Helsinki wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki81-71
29/10/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu81-74
09/01/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu89-96
10/10/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-103
23/01/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-125
31/10/20ToPo Helsinki v Oulu114-96
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AKristika Turku95-63
21/10/23HPyrinto Tampere 281-78 OT
14/10/23AHuima84-70
07/10/23HRaiders Basket78-90
19/03/23HHBA-Marsky Helsinki76-90
09/03/23AJyvaskyla92-99
04/03/23HBisons Loimaa82-81
25/02/23ARaiders Basket88-84
18/02/23HHuima82-80
11/02/23APyrinto Tampere 278-82
ToPo Helsinkilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HJyvaskyla83-92
21/10/23ARaholan Pyrkiva92-81
13/10/23HKipina85-96
06/10/23AHBA-Marsky Helsinki100-91
12/04/23ABisons Loimaa69-96
09/04/23HBisons Loimaa66-99
06/04/23ABisons Loimaa60-103
03/04/23HBisons Loimaa76-74 OT
31/03/23ABisons Loimaa77-66
26/03/23HHuima96-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oulu
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game84.579.589.5
Allowed / game75.284.066.5
Point differential+9.2-4.5+23.0
Avg total159.8163.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game90.084.096.0
Allowed / game90.094.086.0
Point differential+0.0-10.0+10.0
Avg total180.0178.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Honka550100%88.268.8+19.4
2 Raiders Basket550100%86.277.8+8.4
3 Jyvaskyla54180%89.678.6+11.0
4 Kipina43175%89.279.5+9.8
5 Oulu43175%84.575.2+9.2
6 Raholan Pyrkiva42250%84.581.5+3.0
7 ToPo Helsinki42250%90.090.0+0.0
8 Huima52340%76.282.0-5.8
9 HBA-Marsky Helsinki41325%84.595.0-10.5
10 Pyrinto Tampere 24040%77.885.2-7.5
11 Helsingin NMKY5050%83.294.0-10.8
12 Kristika Turku5050%69.494.8-25.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oulu2223231482
ToPo Helsinki1624232689
← all games of the day
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