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Houston vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-55
36-28 33-27
Position#9
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game48.8
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#30
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H11/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H17/03
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H18/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H24/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
84-31
84
31
+53
H07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H11/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H14/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A16/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-23
31-25
31-46
34-29
30-27
33-25
31-41
50-23
36-42
39-47
38-14
46-17
41-27
41-23
38-16
41-32
37-17
28-32
39-30
37-36
131.1Avg total
73.9Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.248.8126.0+28.4100%
Season at home (3)81.743.0124.7+38.7100%
Season away (2)70.557.5128.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.957.2131.1+16.780%
Last 5 (5)77.248.8126.0+28.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)75.858.9134.7+16.990%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H25/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
41-41
33-27
44-26
32-41
29-24
27-23
33-31
36-33
42-35
36-30
20-38
27-24
36-23
25-35
41-36
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
133.6Avg total
68.8Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.866.5138.2+5.275%
Season at home (2)75.564.0139.5+11.5100%
Season away (2)68.069.0137.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)68.864.8133.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)68.666.8135.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)68.564.8133.3+3.758%
vs Weaker (18)71.861.1132.8+10.778%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +4.6+4.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +4.6+4.6
HoustonDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H17/03
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H18/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H24/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
38-16
38
16
+22
H14/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
37-17
37
17
+20
A16/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
35.9Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.828.365.1+8.680%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.328.264.5+8.274%-
Last 30 away (11)37.728.566.2+9.391%-
Last 10 (10)35.928.364.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.620.859.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)36.828.365.1+8.680%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H25/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.963.1+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.329.164.4+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)30.930.961.7+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.863.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.263.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)33.531.264.8+2.267%-
vs Weaker (18)33.129.062.1+4.161%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AUtah Utes76-66
16/11/23ATowson65-49
14/11/23HStetson79-48
11/11/23HTexas A&M-CC82-50
07/11/23HLouisiana Monroe84-31
24/03/23HMiami (FL)75-89
18/03/23HAuburn81-64
17/03/23HNorthern Kentucky63-52
12/03/23HMemphis65-75
11/03/23HCincinnati69-48
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
07/11/23HSiu Edwardsville63-47
12/03/23AVCU Rams56-68
11/03/23HFordham78-68
09/03/23HSaint Josephs Hawks60-54
04/03/23ASt. Louis Billikens61-65
01/03/23HLa Salle77-53
25/02/23HGeorge Mason69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.281.770.5
Allowed / game48.843.057.5
Point differential+28.4+38.7+13.0
Avg total126.0124.7128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game71.875.568.0
Allowed / game66.564.069.0
Point differential+5.2+11.5-1.0
Avg total138.2139.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State440100%91.245.8+45.5
2 Brigham Young440100%95.556.5+39.0
3 Arizona550100%99.663.0+36.6
4 TCU440100%91.060.5+30.5
5 Kansas330100%95.767.0+28.7
6 Houston550100%77.248.8+28.4
7 Colorado330100%92.066.3+25.7
8 Baylor440100%90.068.8+21.2
9 Cincinnati440100%84.264.5+19.8
10 Texas Tech330100%67.350.7+16.7
11 UCF Knights43175%78.068.5+9.5
12 West Virginia32167%67.363.0+4.3
13 Arizona State32167%63.364.0-0.7
14 Utah Utes53260%81.671.2+10.4
15 Kansas State53260%79.877.2+2.6
16 Oklahoma State41325%68.066.5+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington440100%83.565.0+18.5
2 La Salle440100%73.567.5+6.0
3 Duquesne54180%79.668.0+11.6
4 Saint Josephs Hawks43175%76.058.5+17.5
5 George Mason43175%69.560.8+8.8
6 VCU Rams43175%68.261.8+6.5
7 Dayton43175%71.866.5+5.2
8 Richmond Spiders32167%81.363.7+17.7
9 St. Louis Billikens64267%78.872.5+6.3
10 Rhode Island53260%72.270.6+1.6
11 Davidson42250%70.865.5+5.2
12 Loyola Chicago42250%72.870.5+2.2
13 Fordham42250%65.866.2-0.5
14 St. Bonaventure42250%66.570.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston363369
Dayton282755
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