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LSU vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-70
32-30 35-40
Position#182
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#30
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game59.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H07/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-26
35-39
31-36
42-46
39-32
45-45
26-35
43-47
47-34
29-47
33-29
34-50
42-30
30-37
29-37
39-40
56-29
50-31
25-44
41-24
148.2Avg total
74.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.064.0150.0+22.050%
Season at home (2)86.064.0150.0+22.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.473.8148.2+0.630%
Last 5 (5)75.870.2146.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.372.6135.9-9.421%
vs Similar (9)71.871.6143.3+0.256%
vs Weaker (2)89.571.0160.5+18.550%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A18/02
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A23/02
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H25/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-20
37-29
37-27
35-27
28-33
41-41
33-27
44-26
32-41
29-24
27-23
33-31
36-33
42-35
36-30
20-38
27-24
36-23
25-35
41-36
127.0Avg total
66.7Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.559.0123.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)63.047.0110.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)66.760.3127.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)64.661.6126.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)67.464.7132.1+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)71.659.9131.6+11.778%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +4.8+4.8
LSUDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/03
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H11/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.634.666.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.032.965.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)29.736.766.4-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.268.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.835.965.8-6.137%-
vs Similar (9)32.632.164.7+0.456%-
vs Weaker (2)43.532.576.0+11.050%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A18/02
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A23/02
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H25/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
60.2Avg total
30.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.529.162.6+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.527.863.4+7.782%-
Last 30 away (13)30.930.861.7+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)30.929.360.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)30.229.059.2+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)33.729.963.6+3.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)33.428.662.0+4.967%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LSU wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HNicholls State66-68
07/11/23HMiss. Valley St.106-60
10/03/23AVanderbilt68-77
09/03/23AGeorgia72-67
04/03/23AFlorida67-79
02/03/23HMissouri76-81
26/02/23AOle Miss69-82
23/02/23HVanderbilt84-77
18/02/23HSouth Carolina73-82
15/02/23AGeorgia63-65
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
07/11/23HSiu Edwardsville63-47
12/03/23AVCU Rams56-68
11/03/23HFordham78-68
09/03/23HSaint Josephs Hawks60-54
04/03/23ASt. Louis Billikens61-65
01/03/23HLa Salle77-53
25/02/23HGeorge Mason69-74
23/02/23AUMass72-54
18/02/23ALoyola Chicago65-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game64.563.066.0
Allowed / game59.047.071.0
Point differential+5.5+16.0-5.0
Avg total123.5110.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama330100%103.066.3+36.7
2 Oklahoma330100%88.052.0+36.0
3 Texas330100%84.759.7+25.0
4 Tennessee330100%80.757.7+23.0
5 Mississippi St.330100%79.757.7+22.0
6 Arkansas330100%88.368.0+20.3
7 Texas A&M330100%76.759.3+17.3
8 South Carolina330100%78.364.7+13.7
9 Ole Miss330100%71.364.0+7.3
10 Kentucky32167%83.765.3+18.3
11 Florida32167%84.071.3+12.7
12 Missouri32167%74.766.3+8.3
13 Vanderbilt32167%70.068.3+1.7
14 Georgia32167%71.771.0+0.7
15 LSU21150%86.064.0+22.0
16 Auburn21150%84.079.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saint Josephs Hawks330100%83.359.0+24.3
2 George Washington330100%85.064.3+20.7
3 St. Louis Billikens440100%84.067.2+16.8
4 George Mason330100%76.363.0+13.3
5 Rhode Island330100%81.067.7+13.3
6 La Salle330100%71.764.0+7.7
7 Duquesne43175%80.270.5+9.8
8 Richmond Spiders32167%81.363.7+17.7
9 Davidson32167%71.764.0+7.7
10 VCU Rams32167%71.063.7+7.3
11 Dayton21150%64.559.0+5.5
12 St. Bonaventure21150%70.069.5+0.5
13 Fordham21150%70.571.0-0.5
14 Loyola Chicago31233%72.770.7+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU323567
Dayton304070
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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