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Houston vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-53
49-23 38-30
Position#7
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game50.9
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#327
Record6-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Houston v SMU Mustangs
05 Jan 2023
HOUS87
SMU 53
27 Feb 2022
HOUS75
SMU 61
31 Jan 2021
HOUS70
SMU 48
15 Jan 2020
HOUS71
SMU 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
100-52
100
52
+48
H30/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H04/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
76-42
76
42
+34
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
74-46
74
46
+28
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A17/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
83-44
83
44
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
89-50
89
50
+39
A29/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-22
25-22
54-20
46-32
31-20
22-28
42-18
34-24
31-27
34-44
36-21
38-25
30-26
39-35
42-19
41-25
43-26
46-24
39-31
32-34
125.2Avg total
72.9Scored
52.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.050.9125.9+24.193%
Season at home (11)74.549.2123.7+25.491%
Season away (4)76.255.5131.8+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)72.952.3125.2+20.690%
Last 5 (5)77.253.2130.4+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.066.3139.3+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)73.154.3127.5+18.889%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
33-37
38-23
37-27
36-45
28-38
28-30
40-39
33-28
24-47
31-37
44-46
35-41
50-40
40-32
37-42
31-22
26-36
43-36
49-31
143.8Avg total
72.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.970.1140.0-0.143%
Season at home (10)71.969.2141.1+2.750%
Season away (4)65.072.2137.2-7.225%
Last 10 (10)72.271.6143.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)77.272.6149.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.476.8145.2-8.325%
vs Similar (7)71.762.7134.4+9.071%
vs Weaker (10)71.661.8133.4+9.880%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.2+14.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -1.5-1.5
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.2+14.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -1.5-1.5
HoustonSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H30/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H04/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A17/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A29/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/12
NCAA
60.2Avg total
37.2Scored
23.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.525.761.2+9.790%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.024.461.5+12.695%-
Last 30 away (10)32.328.360.6+4.080%-
Last 10 (10)37.223.060.2+14.2100%-
Last 5 (5)38.024.662.6+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.030.767.7+6.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)35.325.260.5+10.189%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.163.8-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.433.065.4-0.750%-
Last 30 away (10)30.530.260.7+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.467.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.669.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.536.367.8-4.833%-
vs Similar (7)31.428.459.9+3.057%-
vs Weaker (10)31.930.262.1+1.770%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston wins
2
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
27/02/22Houston v SMU Mustangs75-61
10/02/22SMU Mustangs v Houston85-83
31/01/21Houston v SMU Mustangs70-48
04/01/21SMU Mustangs v Houston60-74
15/02/20SMU Mustangs v Houston73-72 OT
16/01/20Houston v SMU Mustangs71-62
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HUCF Knights71-65
29/12/22ATulsa89-50
22/12/22HMcNeese State83-44
17/12/22AVirginia69-61
14/12/22HN. Carolina A&T74-46
10/12/22HAlabama65-71
07/12/22HNorth Florida76-42
04/12/22HSt. Marys (CA)53-48
30/11/22HNorfolk State100-52
26/11/22HKent State49-44
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HTulsa92-67
26/12/22AHawaii57-58
24/12/22AUtah State77-74
22/12/22HIona85-81
11/12/22HTCU75-83
08/12/22HArizona State57-75
03/12/22HJackson State68-69
01/12/22ATexas A&M64-83
27/11/22HLamar75-50
23/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %93%91%100%
Points / game75.074.576.2
Allowed / game50.949.255.5
Point differential+24.1+25.4+20.8
Avg total125.9123.7131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %43%50%25%
Points / game69.971.965.0
Allowed / game70.169.272.2
Point differential-0.1+2.7-7.2
Avg total140.0141.1137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1514193%75.050.9+24.1
2 Arizona1413193%88.772.8+15.9
3 TCU1413193%78.863.1+15.7
4 Kansas State1413193%78.564.9+13.6
5 Kansas1413193%77.965.1+12.8
6 Iowa State1311285%70.857.5+13.2
7 Arizona State1411379%71.864.4+7.4
8 Utah Utes1511473%73.561.0+12.5
9 UCF Knights1511473%69.160.5+8.7
10 Texas Tech1410471%79.563.6+15.9
11 Baylor1410471%79.967.9+12.0
12 West Virginia1410471%79.467.5+11.9
13 Brigham Young1712571%75.868.0+7.8
14 Cincinnati1510567%79.669.2+10.4
15 Oklahoma State149564%71.061.9+9.1
16 Colorado159660%76.169.9+6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1512380%75.466.2+9.2
2 Virginia1310377%69.859.1+10.7
3 NC State1612475%79.867.8+12.1
4 Duke1511473%72.962.4+10.5
5 Virginia Tech1511473%74.764.2+10.5
6 Pittsburgh1511473%75.367.7+7.5
7 North Carolina1510567%81.474.9+6.5
8 Syracuse1510567%75.269.1+6.1
9 Wake Forest1510567%75.972.2+3.7
10 Miami (FL)29191066%76.271.2+5.0
11 Georgia Tech148657%71.668.7+2.9
12 Notre Dame158753%69.768.5+1.1
13 Boston College158753%64.767.5-2.7
14 SMU Mustangs146843%69.970.1-0.1
15 Stanford145936%68.164.9+3.2
16 Florida State1541127%68.674.1-5.5
17 California1521313%59.566.4-6.9
18 Louisville1521313%62.074.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston493887
SMU Mustangs233053
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