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Utah State vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-77
32-40 42-37
Position#41
Record10-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#327
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah State v SMU Mustangs
25 Nov 2026
UTAH v SMU
upcoming
23 Dec 2022
UTAH74
SMU 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H15/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
39-30
50-36
46-38
30-31
48-47
49-40
46-45
36-36
50-45
44-30
38-34
36-39
43-28
43-31
63-37
43-29
29-46
36-24
48-32
159.6Avg total
87.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.470.8157.2+15.591%
Season at home (8)87.269.9157.1+17.488%
Season away (3)84.073.3157.3+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.572.1159.6+15.490%
Last 5 (5)84.666.0150.6+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (13)67.266.4133.5+0.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.465.3147.7+17.187%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H16/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
38-45
32-45
31-39
17-21
38-26
34-30
33-37
38-23
37-27
36-45
28-38
28-30
40-39
33-28
24-47
31-37
44-46
35-41
50-40
139.8Avg total
67.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.571.1139.5-2.636%
Season at home (9)69.769.4139.1+0.244%
Season away (2)63.078.5141.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)67.672.2139.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)69.878.2148.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.778.9147.6-10.220%
vs Similar (8)70.264.5134.8+5.862%
vs Weaker (11)70.562.0132.5+8.582%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.1-2.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.1-2.1
Utah StateSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H15/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H22/12
NCAA
74.0Avg total
41.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.767.0+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.930.568.4+7.484%-
Last 30 away (11)33.431.264.5+2.255%-
Last 10 (10)41.232.874.0+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.671.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (13)32.831.163.9+1.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.329.767.9+8.680%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H19/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/12
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.064.3-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.032.964.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (10)29.733.363.0-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)30.832.963.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.268.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.738.268.9-7.520%-
vs Similar (8)30.930.461.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (11)31.730.962.6+0.864%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HSeattle84-56
20/12/22HWeber State72-75
16/12/22HWestminster UT106-68
11/12/22ALoyola Marymount79-67
05/12/22ASan Francisco82-64
02/12/22HUtah Tech86-81
23/11/22HOral Roberts95-85
18/11/22ASan Diego Toreros91-89 OT
15/11/22HSanta Clara96-74
12/11/22HBradley84-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HIona85-81
11/12/22HTCU75-83
08/12/22HArizona State57-75
03/12/22HJackson State68-69
01/12/22ATexas A&M64-83
27/11/22HLamar75-50
23/11/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-76 OT
19/11/22HEvansville55-47
16/11/22HNew Mexico63-84
12/11/22ADayton62-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game86.487.284.0
Allowed / game70.869.973.3
Point differential+15.5+17.4+10.7
Avg total157.2157.1157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%33%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %36%44%0%
Points / game68.569.763.0
Allowed / game71.169.478.5
Point differential-2.6+0.2-15.5
Avg total139.5139.1141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico12120100%84.567.8+16.8
2 UNLV1211192%78.262.7+15.5
3 Utah State1110191%86.470.8+15.5
4 Boise State1310377%70.658.3+12.3
5 Nevada1310377%73.064.2+8.8
6 San Diego State129375%75.565.4+10.1
7 Air Force139469%70.161.5+8.6
8 San Jose State139469%68.864.7+4.1
9 Grand Canyon128467%68.360.9+7.4
10 Colorado State138562%76.267.8+8.5
11 Wyoming125742%72.069.3+2.7
12 Fresno State114736%61.561.7-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1311285%75.462.9+12.5
2 Virginia108280%70.259.8+10.4
3 NC State1411379%80.667.6+13.1
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 Clemson1310377%75.866.5+9.3
6 Pittsburgh139469%75.867.5+8.3
7 North Carolina139469%81.574.5+6.9
8 Wake Forest139469%75.570.8+4.8
9 Miami (FL)2517868%76.772.2+4.6
10 Syracuse138562%75.369.4+5.9
11 Georgia Tech127558%72.568.2+4.3
12 Notre Dame127558%71.569.9+1.6
13 Boston College137654%64.366.9-2.6
14 Stanford125742%68.263.8+4.4
15 SMU Mustangs114736%68.571.1-2.6
16 Florida State1441029%68.773.2-4.5
17 Louisville1321115%61.473.5-12.1
18 California131128%59.266.3-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State324274
SMU Mustangs403777
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