PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro BRound 10· Palais des Sports de Toulon
The Pro B clash on 17 November 2026 between Hyeres-Toulon and Nantes is a tight one, with only a 47% versus 53% chance of victory and no clear favourite. Hyeres-Toulon sit 11th after eight games, 4-4 overall, averaging 84.9 points and conceding 87.6, and their home record is 2-2 with 82.8 points for and 88.0 against; they have won two of their last five and recently lost 81-95 to Aix Maurienne at home, then beat Rouen 105-90 away and lost 84-93 to Vichy away. Nantes, 9th with a 4-4 record, average 80.9 points and allow 81.8, have a road record of 1-3, 78.8 points for and 87.2 against, and have won three of their last five, including a 99-90 win over ASA at home, but suffered 74-75 and 72-96 losses to Vichy and Denain-Voltaire respectively. In their ten meetings, Nantes lead 6-4, most recently beating Hyeres-Toulon 88-75 on 3 April 2026. Pythia projects a 84-85 score for a 169.8-point total, with a 5% chance of overtime, and gives Nantes a 53% probability of covering the home spread. The game ends with Nantes edging Hyeres-Toulon by one point.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 84.9 | 87.6 | 172.5 | -2.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.8 | 88.0 | 170.8 | -5.2 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 87.0 | 87.2 | 174.2 | -0.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.0 | 86.0 | 171.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 87.6 | 171.0 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 77.5 | 81.5 | 159.0 | -4.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (20) | 84.7 | 88.5 | 173.2 | -3.8 | 35% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 91.7 | 87.3 | 179.0 | +4.3 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 80.9 | 81.8 | 162.6 | -0.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.0 | 76.2 | 159.2 | +6.8 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 78.8 | 87.2 | 166.0 | -8.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.1 | 82.7 | 162.8 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.0 | 84.2 | 169.2 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 76.6 | 84.2 | 160.8 | -7.6 | 20% |
| vs Similar ◀ (19) | 84.7 | 80.7 | 165.4 | +3.9 | 58% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 93.7 | 79.8 | 173.5 | +13.8 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.6 | 42.4 | 82.9 | -1.8 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.1 | 40.5 | 80.6 | -0.4 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.1 | 44.5 | 85.6 | -3.4 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 43.1 | 83.2 | -3.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 43.8 | 78.4 | -9.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 37.2 | 38.2 | 75.5 | -1.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (20) | 40.6 | 42.8 | 83.4 | -2.2 | 45% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.7 | 43.7 | 86.3 | -1.0 | 33% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.7 | 40.8 | 85.5 | +3.9 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.9 | 36.9 | 81.8 | +7.9 | 86% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 44.6 | 44.1 | 88.7 | +0.4 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.1 | 41.1 | 83.2 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 40.0 | 85.0 | +5.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 42.6 | 43.4 | 86.0 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (19) | 43.4 | 40.4 | 83.7 | +3.0 | 53% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 50.7 | 39.8 | 90.5 | +10.8 | 83% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.6 | 17.0 | 53.9% | 34.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.0 | 10.8 | 33.4% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 19.6 | 74.0% | 19.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 20.8 | 53.9% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.0 | 7.6 | 33.4% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.2 | 16.3 | 74.0% | 16.3 |
Hyeres-Toulon
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 | Hyeres-Toulon v Nantes | 75-88 |
| 28/10/25 | Nantes v Hyeres-Toulon | 88-82 |
| 11/03/25 | Hyeres-Toulon v Nantes | 73-78 |
| 18/10/24 | Nantes v Hyeres-Toulon | 69-73 |
| 11/03/16 | Nantes v Hyeres-Toulon | 74-69 |
| 12/01/16 | Hyeres-Toulon v Nantes | 82-78 |
| 13/03/15 | Nantes v Hyeres-Toulon | 83-72 |
| 14/11/14 | Hyeres-Toulon v Nantes | 75-62 |
| 01/04/14 | Nantes v Hyeres-Toulon | 77-69 |
| 15/10/13 | Hyeres-Toulon v Nantes | 83-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Aix Maurienne | 81-95 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Rouen | 105-90 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Vichy | 84-93 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Le Havre | 83-81 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Orleans | 64-79 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Caen | 77-90 |
| 02/10/26 | H | La Rochelle | 103-97 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Fos-sur-Mer | 82-76 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Poitiers | 75-81 |
| 08/05/26 | H | Denain-Voltaire | 96-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 50% |
| Home | WLWL | 50% |
| Away | WLLW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.9 | 82.8 | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.6 | 88.0 | 87.2 |
| Point differential | -2.8 | -5.2 | -0.2 |
| Avg total | 172.5 | 170.8 | 174.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 50% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Points / game | 80.9 | 83.0 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 81.8 | 76.2 | 87.2 |
| Point differential | -0.9 | +6.8 | -8.5 |
| Avg total | 162.6 | 159.2 | 166.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denain-Voltaire | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 86.8 | 77.8 | +9.0 |
| 2 |  Antibes | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.6 | 82.8 | +4.9 |
| 3 |  Poitiers | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 88.1 | 82.3 | +5.8 |
| 4 |  Orleans | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 88.4 | 82.9 | +5.5 |
| 5 |  Evreux | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 86.2 | 82.9 | +3.4 |
| 6 |  Quimper | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 80.6 | 78.6 | +2.0 |
| 7 |  Chalons-Reims | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 79.1 | 81.6 | -2.5 |
| 8 |  Ada Blois | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 93.1 | 87.9 | +5.2 |
| 9 | Nantes | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.9 | 81.8 | -0.9 |
| 10 |  St. Chamond | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.9 | 85.5 | -1.6 |
| 11 | Hyeres-Toulon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.9 | 87.6 | -2.8 |
| 12 |  Vichy | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.1 | 86.9 | -2.8 |
| 13 |  Aix Maurienne | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.2 | 87.5 | -4.2 |
| 14 |  Levallois | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 81.8 | 85.2 | -3.4 |
| 15 |  Le Havre | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 90.9 | 88.1 | +2.8 |
| 16 |  ASA | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.0 | 85.9 | -2.9 |
| 17 |  Caen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.5 | 88.5 | -3.0 |
| 18 |  La Rochelle | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 85.8 | 87.5 | -1.8 |
| 19 |  Rouen | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 83.4 | 88.2 | -4.9 |
| 20 |  Fos-sur-Mer | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 71.9 | 80.0 | -8.1 |
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