Ilirija W will host Cinkarna Celje W on 6 November 2026 in the 1 SKL W, with the model clearly favouring the Celje side because they are undefeated 4-0 this season, averaging 75.0 points per game while holding opponents to 45.8, and they have already beaten Ilirija 9 of 10 times, most recently 72-50 on 3 October; Ilirija, meanwhile, sits 3rd with a 2-2 record, 66.5 points scored and 65.2 allowed, and their last five games have yielded only two wins. Ilirija's home record is 1-1, with a 64.5 points per game average and 66.0 allowed, and their recent results include a 68-59 win over Maribor W at home, a 87-57 away win over Domel Skofja Loka W, and a 61-73 loss to Triglav W at home. Cinkarna's road record is 1-0, 73.0 points per game and 45.0 allowed, and their recent outings feature a 63-59 win over Campobasso W at home, a 73-45 win over Jezica W away and a 57-63 loss to Nyon W away. The Pythia model gives Cinkarna a 91% chance of winning, Ilirija 9%, projects a 62-77 score for a total of 138.9 points, and sees a 73% probability that Ilirija will cover the 22.5-point spread while a 72% chance the game will go over the 129.5-point line, with a 2% chance of overtime. The Celje team's dominant offensive output and undefeated record make them the clear favourite in this matchup.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 66.5 | 65.2 | 131.8 | +1.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 64.5 | 66.0 | 130.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 68.5 | 64.5 | 133.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.2 | 65.1 | 127.3 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.2 | 66.6 | 130.8 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 60.1 | 77.9 | 138.0 | -17.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar (11) | 64.7 | 62.7 | 127.5 | +2.0 | 73% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 72.3 | 56.9 | 129.2 | +15.4 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.0 | 45.8 | 120.8 | +29.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 75.7 | 46.0 | 121.7 | +29.7 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 45.0 | 118.0 | +28.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.7 | 54.5 | 128.2 | +19.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.8 | 53.4 | 123.2 | +16.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 62.2 | 67.5 | 129.8 | -5.2 | 50% |
| vs Similar (1) | 66.0 | 69.0 | 135.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (25) | 78.5 | 54.8 | 133.3 | +23.7 | 92% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 66.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.6 | 33.1 | 64.7 | -1.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 33.1 | 33.4 | 66.5 | -0.3 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 30.1 | 32.7 | 62.8 | -2.7 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.3 | 35.0 | 66.3 | -3.7 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.2 | 35.8 | 69.0 | -2.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 31.4 | 40.6 | 72.0 | -9.2 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar (11) | 31.3 | 29.8 | 61.1 | +1.5 | 64% | 18% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 32.2 | 28.7 | 60.9 | +3.6 | 56% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 66.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 38.9 | 29.8 | 68.8 | +9.1 | 72% | 52% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.6 | 27.9 | 66.5 | +10.8 | 81% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 39.3 | 32.2 | 71.5 | +7.1 | 62% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 25.6 | 63.2 | +12.0 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.4 | 26.4 | 60.8 | +8.0 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 30.5 | 33.2 | 63.8 | -2.8 | 50% | 25% |
| vs Similar (1) | 32.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | -2.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (24) | 40.6 | 29.1 | 69.7 | +11.5 | 79% | 58% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija W over 55.5 | 72.4% | 2.26 | 2.26 | - | - | - | - | +33.8pp | Won |
| Ilirija W over 53 | 80.9% | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | - | - | - | +33.2pp | Won |
| Ilirija W over 52 | 83.6% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +32.0pp | Won |
| Ilirija W over 52.5 | 81.5% | 1.77 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.72 | - | - | +30.8pp | Won |
| Ilirija W over 53.5 | 78.7% | 1.85 | 1.88 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +30.7pp | Won |
| Ilirija W over 54.5 | 75.6% | 1.94 | 2.05 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +29.5pp | Won |
| Over 127 | 77.2% | 1.80 | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | +28.6pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 73.7% | 1.93 | 1.93 | - | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Won |
| Over 127.5 | 75.7% | 1.84 | 1.84 | - | - | - | - | +28.3pp | Won |
| Over 126 | 79.1% | 1.71 | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | +28.1pp | Won |
| Over 126.5 | 77.6% | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.80 | +28.0pp | Won |
| Over 125.5 | 79.4% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +27.2pp | Won |
| Over 128 | 75.2% | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | - | - | +26.5pp | Won |
| Over 124.5 | 81.2% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +26.5pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 71.7% | 1.88 | 1.93 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Ilirija W +22.5 | 72.6% | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.61 | - | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Ilirija W +23.5 | 75.4% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +16.9pp | Won |
| Ilirija W +24.5 | 78.1% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +16.1pp | Won |
| Cinkarna Celje W over 71.5 | 72.2% | 1.49 | 1.49 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Cinkarna Celje W over 70.5 | 75.5% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Cinkarna Celje W over 69.5 | 78.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Cinkarna Celje W over 68.5 | 81.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Cinkarna Celje W win | 91.4% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.4 | 15.8 | 46.7% | 31.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.4 | 7.1 | 27.1% | 21.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 13.1 | 9.3 | 69.5% | 9.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.4 | 18.2 | 46.7% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.8 | 7.8 | 27.1% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.2 | 10.4 | 69.5% | 10.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 72-50 |
| 18/04/26 | Ilirija W v Cinkarna Celje W | 55-72 |
| 14/04/26 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 48-51 |
| 11/04/26 | Ilirija W v Cinkarna Celje W | 60-88 |
| 08/04/26 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 71-58 |
| 28/02/26 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 73-67 |
| 17/01/26 | Ilirija W v Cinkarna Celje W | 71-97 |
| 10/12/25 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 90-61 |
| 18/10/25 | Ilirija W v Cinkarna Celje W | 67-95 |
| 26/02/25 | Cinkarna Celje W v Ilirija W | 100-50 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Maribor W | 68-59 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Domel Skofja Loka W | 87-57 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Triglav W | 61-73 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Cinkarna Celje W | 50-72 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Cinkarna Celje W | 55-72 |
| 14/04/26 | A | Cinkarna Celje W | 51-48 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Cinkarna Celje W | 60-88 |
| 08/04/26 | A | Cinkarna Celje W | 58-71 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Triglav W | 76-65 |
| 01/04/26 | A | Triglav W | 56-46 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Campobasso W | 63-59 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Jezica W | 73-45 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Nyon W | 57-63 |
| 22/10/26 | H | KP Brno W | 92-62 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Maribor W | 64-38 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Campobasso W | 53-75 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Domel Skofja Loka W | 91-50 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Tresnjevka 2009 W | 83-53 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Ilirija W | 72-50 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Tresnjevka 2009 W | 89-50 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWW | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 66.5 | 64.5 | 68.5 |
| Allowed / game | 65.2 | 66.0 | 64.5 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | -1.5 | +4.0 |
| Avg total | 131.8 | 130.5 | 133.0 |
| Over 129.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 75.0 | 75.7 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 45.8 | 46.0 | 45.0 |
| Point differential | +29.2 | +29.7 | +28.0 |
| Avg total | 120.8 | 121.7 | 118.0 |
| Over 129.5 | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 45.8 | +29.2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 66.5 | 50.5 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 66.5 | 65.2 | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 51.4 | 54.6 | -3.2 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 56.5 | 65.0 | -8.5 | |
| 6 | Domel Skofja Loka W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 50.2 | 77.4 | -27.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 59 | |
| 23 | 17 | 21 | 14 | 75 |
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