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Ilirija W vs Maribor W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game51.4
Allowed / game54.6
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 20· Dvorana Jezica
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ilirija W v Maribor W
27 Mar 2027
ILIR v MARI
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
ILIR68
MARI59
03 Mar 2026
ILIR72
MARI63
06 Dec 2025
ILIR75
MARI65
29 Mar 2025
ILIR52
MARI55
11 Jan 2025
ILIR76
MARI68
30 Mar 2024
ILIR68
MARI46
28 Oct 2023
ILIR60
MARI50
28 Jan 2023
ILIR59
MARI67
08 Oct 2022
ILIR67
MARI52
19 Mar 2022
ILIR75
MARI59
26 Jan 2022
ILIR71
MARI66
13 Feb 2021
ILIR54
MARI51
25 Nov 2020
ILIR55
MARI63
18 Mar 2020
ILIR v MARI
upcoming
07 Nov 2019
ILIR76
MARI62
22 Mar 2019
ILIR76
MARI64
21 Dec 2018
ILIR95
MARI56
16 Apr 2018
ILIR62
MARI73
01 Dec 2017
ILIR70
MARI63
12 Apr 2017
ILIR86
MARI76
21 Jan 2017
ILIR72
MARI58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilirija W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maribor W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ilirija WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
56-46
56
46
+10
50avg 55
A01/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 55
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
55avg 55
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
51avg 55
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
50avg 55
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
55-72
55
72
-17
46avg 55
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
50-72
50
72
-22
42avg 55
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
61-73
61
73
-12
53avg 55
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
87-57
87
57
+30
79avg 55
A14/10
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H31/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-14
21-11
11-11
17-10
14-14
24-20
16-18
22-13
11-17
11-23
15-16
21-15
13-27
18-24
12-20
17-17
12-10
16-11
12-18
11-9
23-18
19-18
11-24
2-12
16-19
9-12
15-17
10-24
15-27
11-19
15-13
20-14
14-24
23-14
18-8
32-11
18-15
18-13
15-12
17-19
127.3Avg total
62.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.565.2131.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)64.566.0130.5-1.550%
Season away (2)68.564.5133.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)62.265.1127.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)64.266.6130.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)60.177.9138.0-17.810%
vs Similar (10)64.463.1127.5+1.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.957.1129.0+14.890%
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
73-58
73
58
+15
no box
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
56avg 43
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
56avg 43
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
14avg 43
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
45avg 43
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
38-64
38
64
-26
29avg 43
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
62-43
62
43
+19
57avg 43
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
no box
A31/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-19
13-21
19-4
26-14
28-20
11-23
21-18
16-26
14-22
10-22
14-25
12-29
20-29
16-26
20-30
11-31
17-21
20-13
18-25
5-18
14-8
11-12
12-9
14-17
12-9
14-14
16-11
6-15
3-18
14-15
15-16
17-9
17-8
13-8
15-18
15-18
13-18
12-15
19-17
130.9Avg total
60.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Season at home (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%
Season away (4)53.856.5110.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)60.470.5130.9-10.140%
Last 5 (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.979.5140.4-18.513%
vs Similar (5)63.065.8128.8-2.840%
vs Weaker (10)73.659.5133.1+14.190%
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
Ilirija WMaribor W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ilirija WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A01/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A14/10
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H31/10
1 SKL W
66.3Avg total
31.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.164.7-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.133.466.5-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)30.132.762.8-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.066.3-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.869.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.440.672.0-9.230%-
vs Similar (10)30.830.060.8+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.628.661.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
9-33
9
33
-24
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A31/10
1 SKL W
66.4Avg total
30.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.968.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.836.071.8-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.165.2-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)30.136.366.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)23.227.650.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.139.468.5-10.313%-
vs Similar (5)31.631.062.6+0.640%-
vs Weaker (10)39.930.270.1+9.770%-
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ilirija Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ilirija W: 60.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 58.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.0
44.5%
46.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.2
30.4%
26.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws12.48.9
71.8%
69.4%8.9
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maribor Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maribor W: 58.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 58.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.5
46.3%
46.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.65.6
22.8%
26.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws12.68.8
69.8%
69.4%8.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ilirija W
WWLLLWLLWW
Maribor W
LWLWLLLLWW
#3
League position
#4
-7.3
Net rating
-16.4
73.4
Offensive rating
67.7
80.6
Defensive rating
84.1
44.9%
Effective FG%
41.4%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
23.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.4%
3-point %
22.8%
64.4%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence73.4 · 67.7Defence80.6 · 84.1Shooting44.9% · 41.4%3-point %30.4% · 22.8%Ball care23.5% · 21.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ilirija W   ■ Maribor W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ilirija W wins
2
Maribor W wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Ilirija W v Maribor W68-59
03/03/26Ilirija W v Maribor W72-63 OT
24/02/26Maribor W v Ilirija W79-72
14/01/26Maribor W v Ilirija W53-58
06/12/25Ilirija W v Maribor W75-65
29/03/25Ilirija W v Maribor W52-55
11/01/25Ilirija W v Maribor W76-68 OT
11/12/24Maribor W v Ilirija W53-73
30/03/24Ilirija W v Maribor W68-46
06/01/24Maribor W v Ilirija W69-80
Ilirija Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HMaribor W68-59
14/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W87-57
10/10/26HTriglav W61-73
03/10/26ACinkarna Celje W50-72
18/04/26HCinkarna Celje W55-72
14/04/26ACinkarna Celje W51-48
11/04/26HCinkarna Celje W60-88
08/04/26ACinkarna Celje W58-71
04/04/26HTriglav W76-65
01/04/26ATriglav W56-46
Maribor Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AIlirija W59-68
29/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W62-43
17/10/26ACinkarna Celje W38-64
10/10/26AJezica W56-51
03/10/26HTriglav W42-47
03/04/26HCinkarna Celje W66-90
01/04/26ACinkarna Celje W68-114
24/03/26HCinkarna Celje W54-95
17/03/26HDomel Skofja Loka W86-75
14/03/26HTriglav W73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ilirija W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game66.564.568.5
Allowed / game65.266.064.5
Point differential+1.2-1.5+4.0
Avg total131.8130.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maribor W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game51.442.053.8
Allowed / game54.647.056.5
Point differential-3.2-5.0-2.8
Avg total106.089.0110.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W440100%75.045.8+29.2
2 Triglav W330100%65.352.0+13.3
3 Ilirija W42250%66.565.2+1.2
4 Maribor W52340%51.454.6-3.2
5 Jezica W41325%56.565.0-8.5
6 Domel Skofja Loka W4040%51.279.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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