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Ilirija W vs Maribor W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-68 (OT)
16-19 15-13 20-10 13-22 12-4
Position#3
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game62.5
Ilirija W 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Maribor W
Slovenia
Position#4
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game75.7
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 13· Dvorana Jezica
Women2024-25
Meetings · Ilirija W v Maribor W
27 Mar 2027
ILIR v MARI
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
ILIR68
MARI59
03 Mar 2026
ILIR72
MARI63
06 Dec 2025
ILIR75
MARI65
29 Mar 2025
ILIR52
MARI55
11 Jan 2025
ILIR76
MARI68
30 Mar 2024
ILIR68
MARI46
28 Oct 2023
ILIR60
MARI50
28 Jan 2023
ILIR59
MARI67
08 Oct 2022
ILIR67
MARI52
19 Mar 2022
ILIR75
MARI59
26 Jan 2022
ILIR71
MARI66
13 Feb 2021
ILIR54
MARI51
25 Nov 2020
ILIR55
MARI63
18 Mar 2020
ILIR v MARI
upcoming
07 Nov 2019
ILIR76
MARI62
22 Mar 2019
ILIR76
MARI64
21 Dec 2018
ILIR95
MARI56
16 Apr 2018
ILIR62
MARI73
01 Dec 2017
ILIR70
MARI63
12 Apr 2017
ILIR86
MARI76
21 Jan 2017
ILIR72
MARI58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilirija W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maribor W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ilirija WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
56-82
56
82
-26
41avg 56
A01/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 56
H05/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
47avg 56
A13/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
42avg 56
H19/10
1 SKL W
ZKK Domzale W
#6
W
78-59
78
59
+19
76avg 56
H16/11
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
63avg 56
H23/11
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 56
A30/11
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
71-56
71
56
+15
65avg 56
H07/12
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
73-53
73
53
+20
77avg 56
A11/12
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 56
A14/12
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
8-13
13-27
21-22
12-22
23-12
12-17
9-12
15-6
17-10
10-9
11-13
23-11
10-19
4-6
8-14
23-14
15-4
26-12
14-29
18-30
12-25
13-13
25-19
24-9
21-16
26-16
17-26
25-7
14-7
12-26
20-16
14-12
18-10
23-13
18-18
21-17
20-15
13-11
20-27
128.7Avg total
66.2Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.262.5128.7+3.760%
Season at home (5)63.663.0126.6+0.640%
Season away (5)68.862.0130.8+6.880%
Last 10 (10)66.262.5128.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)74.866.6141.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)56.671.8128.4-15.217%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.053.0126.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (17)71.757.5129.2+14.282%
This opponent (Maribor W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ZKK Domzale W
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
61avg 55
A05/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 55
H09/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
59avg 55
A12/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
62avg 55
H18/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
89-58
89
58
+31
84avg 55
A19/11
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
40avg 55
A27/11
1 SKL W
ZKK Domzale W
#6
W
74-62
74
62
+12
68avg 55
H29/11
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
62avg 55
H07/12
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
53-73
53
73
-20
34avg 55
H11/12
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
99avg 55
A14/12
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
12-22
13-23
21-15
22-9
20-23
14-21
19-20
19-26
20-20
12-28
14-21
19-16
18-22
13-17
22-13
24-16
18-20
23-14
24-8
15-17
13-19
8-24
18-15
16-23
16-17
22-11
20-11
16-23
19-31
14-17
20-18
12-14
10-18
13-23
18-18
22-17
22-23
24-22
28-21
147.0Avg total
71.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.375.7147.0-4.450%
Season at home (5)68.673.0141.6-4.460%
Season away (5)74.078.4152.4-4.440%
Last 10 (10)71.375.7147.0-4.450%
Last 5 (5)69.276.4145.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)59.982.8142.7-22.818%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.769.3137.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (7)78.467.1145.6+11.386%
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
Ilirija WMaribor W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ilirija WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A01/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H05/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
32-16
32
16
+16
A13/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/10
1 SKL W
ZKK Domzale W
#6
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H16/11
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H23/11
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A30/11
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
39-14
39
14
+25
H07/12
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A11/12
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A14/12
1 SKL W
62.6Avg total
34.7Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.864.3+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.631.965.5+1.871%-
Last 30 away (16)33.529.863.3+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)34.727.962.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.667.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.935.364.2-6.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)32.022.054.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (17)36.928.165.0+8.988%-
This opponent (Maribor W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ZKK Domzale W
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/11
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A27/11
1 SKL W
ZKK Domzale W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H29/11
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/12
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H11/12
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/12
1 SKL W
75.0Avg total
35.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.041.374.3-8.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.643.776.3-11.113%-
Last 30 away (15)33.338.972.3-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.775.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.472.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.245.176.3-13.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.835.068.8-1.233%-
vs Weaker (7)36.637.674.1-1.043%-
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ilirija Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ilirija W: 65.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.7 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.714.1
41.8%
44.8%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
27.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
72.8%14.6
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maribor Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maribor W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.7 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.6
47.7%
44.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.54.8
29.1%
27.8%14.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ilirija W
WWWWLWLWLL
Maribor W
WLLWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#4
+5.8
Net rating
-5.7
90.4
Offensive rating
86.7
84.6
Defensive rating
92.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
46.6%
39.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
26.8%
Turnover %
27.2%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.5%
3-point %
29.1%
71.6%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 86.7Defence84.6 · 92.4Shooting44.7% · 46.6%3-point %32.5% · 29.1%Ball care26.8% · 27.2%Off. rebounds34.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ilirija W   ■ Maribor W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Ilirija W wins
1
Maribor W wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Maribor W v Ilirija W53-73
30/03/24Ilirija W v Maribor W68-46
06/01/24Maribor W v Ilirija W69-80
28/10/23Ilirija W v Maribor W60-50
29/03/23Maribor W v Ilirija W54-81
28/01/23Ilirija W v Maribor W59-67
03/12/22Maribor W v Ilirija W74-81 OT
08/10/22Ilirija W v Maribor W67-52
12/04/22Maribor W v Ilirija W71-102
19/03/22Ilirija W v Maribor W75-59
Ilirija Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ATriglav W74-70
11/12/24AMaribor W73-53
07/12/24HDomel Skofja Loka W71-56
30/11/24AJezica W88-67
23/11/24HCinkarna Celje W68-87
16/11/24HZKK Domzale W78-59
19/10/24HTriglav W45-50
13/10/24ADomel Skofja Loka W53-38
05/10/24HJezica W56-63
01/10/24ACinkarna Celje W56-82
Maribor Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AJezica W96-83
11/12/24HIlirija W53-73
07/12/24HCinkarna Celje W69-89
29/11/24HZKK Domzale W74-62
27/11/24ATriglav W54-75
19/11/24ADomel Skofja Loka W89-58
18/10/24HJezica W72-68
12/10/24ACinkarna Celje W65-95
09/10/24HTriglav W75-73
05/10/24AZKK Domzale W66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ilirija W
1 SKL W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%40%80%
Points / game66.263.668.8
Allowed / game62.563.062.0
Point differential+3.7+0.6+6.8
Avg total128.7126.6130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maribor W
1 SKL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game71.368.674.0
Allowed / game75.773.078.4
Point differential-4.4-4.4-4.4
Avg total147.0141.6152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W11110100%90.256.4+33.8
2 Triglav W117464%67.063.5+3.5
3 Ilirija W106460%66.262.5+3.7
4 Maribor W105550%71.375.7-4.4
5 Jezica W103730%68.782.5-13.8
6 Domel Skofja Loka W92722%56.371.3-15.0
7 ZKK Domzale W91811%61.976.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ilirija W161520131276
Maribor W19131022468
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