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Illapel vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 56-71
11-10 23-17 14-22 8-22
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game63.7
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Municipal
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illapel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllapelChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIllapel
Date
Competition
The Sharks
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
56avg 64
H05/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
75avg 64
A12/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#4
L
58-69
58
69
-11
53avg 64
A19/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 64
H26/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
69avg 64
A11/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
65-52
65
52
+13
59avg 64
H17/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-25
15-21
20-13
21-21
13-10
22-20
20-16
20-26
13-11
14-18
11-14
20-18
15-20
17-14
28-15
21-23
22-14
19-12
15-24
13-14
15-11
18-16
19-11
140.2Avg total
72.7Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.767.5140.2+5.283%
Season at home (3)75.065.3140.3+9.7100%
Season away (3)70.369.7140.0+0.767%
Last 10 (6)72.767.5140.2+5.283%
Last 5 (5)71.265.6136.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)74.567.2141.8+7.2100%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
44avg 57
A16/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
61-66
61
66
-5
45avg 57
H20/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
55avg 57
H21/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
L
57-75
57
75
-18
39avg 57
H29/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
90-56
90
56
+34
90avg 57
A05/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
53avg 57
A12/04
LNB 2
Illapel
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
56avg 57
H19/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
60avg 57
A03/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
91-44
91
44
+47
82avg 57
H10/05
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
72avg 57
H18/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
12-15
17-19
16-23
20-26
13-11
17-16
11-13
17-19
18-19
18-12
17-15
11-17
16-26
15-15
15-17
18-10
23-14
28-13
21-19
19-18
12-20
18-19
20-14
26-20
11-13
18-14
14-11
24-10
19-12
19-15
10-30
39-11
18-11
16-8
18-14
23-17
12-26
25-17
23-15
137.4Avg total
72.0Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.963.7139.6+12.171%
Season at home (4)75.063.0138.0+12.075%
Season away (3)77.064.7141.7+12.367%
Last 10 (10)72.065.4137.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)76.863.0139.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.675.8140.4-11.121%
vs Similar (7)66.465.3131.7+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.765.7141.3+10.067%
This opponent (Illapel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
IllapelArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IllapelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
The Sharks
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H17/05
LNB 2
71.5Avg total
36.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)36.335.271.5+1.267%-
Last 30 at home (3)36.035.371.3+0.767%-
Last 30 away (3)36.735.071.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (6)36.335.271.5+1.267%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (4)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A16/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A05/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A12/04
LNB 2
Illapel
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A03/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
57-22
57
22
+35
H10/05
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/05
LNB 2
69.9Avg total
36.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.335.770.0-1.338%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.636.672.1-1.038%-
Last 30 away (13)32.834.667.5-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.569.9+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.672.2+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.737.169.8-4.429%-
vs Similar (6)32.337.569.8-5.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.232.370.6+5.956%-
This opponent (Illapel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illapeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illapel: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.2
54.2%
46.4%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.2%
27.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.7
68.2%
64.0%14.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.520.3
41.9%
46.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.6
24.7%
27.9%16.8
🏀 Free throws22.713.8
60.8%
64.0%13.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illapel
WWWLWW
Arabe Valparaiso
WWWWLWLWLL
#7
League position
#4
+6.2
Net rating
+8.4
92.1
Offensive rating
87.8
85.9
Defensive rating
79.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
40.3%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
26.1%
Turnover %
21.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.2%
3-point %
24.7%
40.5%
Assist %
52.9%
83%
Form (last 6/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 87.8Defence85.9 · 79.4Shooting50.9% · 40.3%3-point %30.2% · 24.7%Ball care26.1% · 21.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 35.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 6/10)83% · 60%
■ Illapel   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illapel wins
1
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Arabe Valparaiso v Illapel69-58
Illapellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HQuilpue Basquetbol65-52
11/05/25AThe Sharks77-73
26/04/25HArturo Prat San Felipe80-67
19/04/25AArabe Valparaiso58-69
12/04/25AQuilpue Basquetbol76-67
05/04/25HThe Sharks80-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HThe Sharks83-75
10/05/25HArturo Prat San Felipe91-44
03/05/25AQuilpue Basquetbol72-67
19/04/25HIllapel69-58
12/04/25AThe Sharks69-71
05/04/25AArturo Prat San Felipe90-56
29/03/25HQuilpue Basquetbol57-75
21/07/24HMunicipal Chillan70-65
20/07/24HAleman61-66
16/07/24ABoston C. C.58-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illapel
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game72.775.070.3
Allowed / game67.565.369.7
Point differential+5.2+9.7+0.7
Avg total140.2140.3140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game75.975.077.0
Allowed / game63.763.064.7
Point differential+12.1+12.0+12.3
Avg total139.6138.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca770100%78.965.4+13.4
2 Puerto Montt76186%88.767.7+21.0
3 Boston C. C.76186%77.064.6+12.4
4 Illapel65183%72.767.5+5.2
5 Arabe Valparaiso75271%75.963.7+12.1
6 Omega75271%59.059.6-0.6
7 Luis Matte Larrain64267%76.269.5+6.7
8 Liceo Curico85362%69.564.4+5.1
9 Aleman74357%71.768.1+3.6
10 Stadio Italiano63350%73.070.0+3.0
11 Municipal Chillan84450%61.265.8-4.5
12 Quilpue Basquetbol73443%71.169.1+2.0
13 CDSB Constitucion62433%78.276.8+1.3
14 The Sharks62433%76.878.7-1.8
15 Sergio Ceppi72529%67.176.0-8.9
16 Regional Temuco72529%73.082.4-9.4
17 Brisas61517%61.375.2-13.8
18 Arturo Prat San Felipe61517%66.386.2-19.8
19 CD Huachipato81712%65.077.8-12.8
20 Tinguiririca7070%62.778.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illapel112314856
Arabe Valparaiso1017222271
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