PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arabe Valparaiso vs Aleman Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 61-66
20-26 13-11 17-16 11-13
Position#10
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game73.0
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
vs
Aleman 🏆
Chile
Position#3
Record11-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game72.4
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
32avg 58
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
56avg 58
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 58
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-66
70
66
+4
69avg 58
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 58
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
49-81
49
81
-32
45avg 58
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 58
A07/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 58
A14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 58
H14/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
44avg 58
A16/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
13-6
7-12
7-16
17-16
15-14
12-11
16-7
23-8
8-23
19-27
21-22
23-25
11-19
24-12
12-10
20-27
15-18
16-22
17-11
19-16
11-15
14-22
5-28
7-24
17-18
23-18
26-22
18-19
18-21
12-18
23-21
28-12
16-24
9-22
15-21
13-20
12-15
17-19
16-23
135.8Avg total
63.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.073.0139.1-7.035%
Season at home (9)66.475.4141.9-9.033%
Season away (11)65.771.0136.7-5.336%
Last 10 (10)63.172.7135.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)63.879.6143.4-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.476.5139.9-13.121%
vs Similar (11)64.564.9129.5-0.445%
vs Weaker (5)74.064.6138.6+9.480%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 64
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 64
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 64
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 64
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 64
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 64
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 64
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
74-70
74
70
+4
62avg 64
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
77avg 64
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 64
H14/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
15-13
22-21
25-14
15-20
17-19
24-17
19-17
20-19
23-15
13-22
22-20
16-13
25-29
27-19
23-22
14-20
26-20
17-22
16-17
13-22
150.0Avg total
75.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.172.4147.5+2.755%
Season at home (11)74.069.5143.5+4.564%
Season away (9)76.476.0152.4+0.444%
Last 10 (10)75.974.1150.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)78.476.2154.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)60.689.8150.4-29.20%
vs Similar (10)73.573.4146.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.567.2143.8+9.275%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Arabe ValparaisoAleman
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A07/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A16/07
LNB 2
68.3Avg total
32.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.736.369.0-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.037.071.0-3.033%-
Last 30 away (12)31.435.667.0-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.368.3-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.868.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.737.169.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.967.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/07
LNB 2
78.6Avg total
40.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.039.975.9-3.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.938.775.7-1.840%-
Last 30 away (13)34.841.276.1-6.446%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.378.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.481.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.447.076.4-17.69%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.872.9+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.336.079.3+7.371%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 61.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.0
46.9%
44.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.4
23.4%
28.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws13.17.7
58.8%
63.6%7.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.7
45.2%
44.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.8
29.0%
28.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.411.1
60.3%
63.6%11.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LLLLLLWLWL
Aleman
LLWWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#3
-13.6
Net rating
+2.8
80.5
Offensive rating
96.7
94.1
Defensive rating
93.9
42.6%
Effective FG%
44.5%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
23.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
23.4%
3-point %
29.0%
58.6%
Assist %
50.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence80.5 · 96.7Defence94.1 · 93.9Shooting42.6% · 44.5%3-point %23.4% · 29.0%Ball care23.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 34.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Aleman
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
1
Aleman wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Aleman v Arabe Valparaiso76-64
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/24ABoston C. C.58-77
14/07/24HStadio Italiano68-79
14/07/24ASergio Ceppi71-79
07/07/24AColo Colo73-82
20/06/24HBrisas49-81
16/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol68-78
15/06/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-66
02/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe71-80
26/05/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-48
25/05/24HTruenos De Talca43-57
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/24HColo Colo72-81
06/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain89-90
29/06/24HBrisas74-70
23/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe80-72
20/06/24HTruenos De Talca77-68
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game66.066.465.7
Allowed / game73.075.471.0
Point differential-7.0-9.0-5.3
Avg total139.1141.9136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%64%44%
Points / game75.174.076.4
Allowed / game72.469.576.0
Point differential+2.7+4.5+0.4
Avg total147.5143.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo21210100%82.863.4+19.4
2 Truenos De Talca2114767%74.566.8+7.7
3 Stadio Italiano2214864%67.863.3+4.5
4 Sergio Ceppi2113862%73.771.9+1.8
5 Boston C. C.2112957%71.667.6+4.0
6 Aleman2011955%75.172.4+2.7
7 Quilpue Basquetbol21101148%64.868.6-3.8
8 Municipal Chillan2191243%62.966.4-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2071335%67.072.5-5.5
10 Arabe Valparaiso2071335%66.073.0-7.0
11 Brisas2041620%66.271.5-5.2
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe2021810%69.686.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso2013171161
Aleman2611161366
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.