PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illawarra Hawks W vs Canberra W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 68-76
17-17 20-22 25-19 6-18
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.8
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks W v Canberra W
17 May 2025
ILLA68
CANB76
23 Jul 2023
ILLA56
CANB104
23 Jul 2022
ILLA68
CANB97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H12/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H29/03
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
59-99
59
99
-40
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-8
17-11
12-19
21-13
18-28
15-32
17-21
19-17
11-18
14-17
21-25
10-20
15-15
11-20
15-22
15-22
13-27
20-18
14-17
9-16
21-20
17-18
19-21
31-16
11-25
10-22
22-24
16-28
20-18
18-16
16-13
15-23
24-15
20-25
13-20
30-19
21-23
20-23
14-15
21-20
147.9Avg total
68.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.480.1148.5-11.825%
Season at home (3)61.383.0144.3-21.70%
Season away (5)72.678.4151.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)68.979.0147.9-10.130%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.086.3145.3-27.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.976.8144.7-8.927%
vs Weaker (10)75.059.8134.8+15.280%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
32-20
18-18
19-18
13-26
11-18
22-23
14-16
17-23
21-20
22-29
27-23
27-13
31-20
17-24
22-11
22-28
11-31
26-17
3-25
19-19
17-12
8-27
24-25
18-10
17-15
14-16
17-17
25-27
20-18
21-18
22-24
22-16
24-24
12-15
10-20
13-35
12-18
16-17
19-17
156.3Avg total
74.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.581.8156.2-7.238%
Season at home (4)79.874.0153.8+5.875%
Season away (4)69.289.5158.8-20.20%
Last 10 (10)74.881.5156.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)70.078.0148.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.892.8159.6-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.481.4160.9-2.044%
vs Weaker (12)84.366.5150.8+17.875%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Illawarra Hawks WCanberra W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra Hawks WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H12/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H29/03
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
21-47
21
47
-26
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
73.8Avg total
33.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.871.7-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.735.569.2-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.140.174.1-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.973.8-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.342.970.2-15.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.541.576.0-7.118%-
vs Weaker (10)39.129.168.2+10.090%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.179.0-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.338.679.9+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.941.378.2-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.747.782.3-13.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.239.779.9+0.644%-
vs Weaker (12)41.234.775.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illawarra Hawks W wins
5
Canberra W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25APenrith P. W76-81
10/05/25AHornsby S. W87-79
03/05/25HCentral Coast W69-70
26/04/25HNewcastle Falcons W59-99
25/04/25ASutherland Sharks W88-75
12/04/25ANewcastle Falcons W56-78
05/04/25ASydney Comets W56-79
29/03/25HMaitland Mustangs W56-80
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks W69-98
12/07/24HHills Hornets W73-51
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W60-87
10/05/25AMaitland Mustangs W68-75
03/05/25HHornsby S. W88-87
27/04/25HPenrith P. W66-58
25/04/25HBA CoE W68-83
12/04/25ANorths Bears W62-101
05/04/25HInner West Bulls W97-68
29/03/25AAlbury W87-95
20/07/24ASutherland Sharks W60-83
14/07/24AHornsby S. W92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%0%40%
Points / game68.461.372.6
Allowed / game80.183.078.4
Point differential-11.8-21.7-5.8
Avg total148.5144.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game74.579.869.2
Allowed / game81.874.089.5
Point differential-7.2+5.8-20.2
Avg total156.2153.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norths Bears W880100%92.166.4+25.8
2 Newcastle Falcons W880100%85.960.6+25.2
3 BA CoE W87188%83.268.9+14.4
4 Manly W. W86275%81.964.0+17.9
5 Albury W86275%86.881.8+5.0
6 Maitland Mustangs W96367%77.274.4+2.8
7 Inner West Bulls W84450%81.287.8-6.5
8 Hornsby S. W73443%80.683.3-2.7
9 Sydney Comets W83538%66.870.9-4.1
10 Canberra W83538%74.581.8-7.2
11 Penrith P. W93633%66.772.9-6.2
12 Hills Hornets W82625%74.684.6-10.0
13 Illawarra Hawks W82625%68.480.1-11.8
14 Sutherland Sharks W71614%72.787.0-14.3
15 Central Coast W81712%64.178.9-14.8
16 Bankstown Bruins W81712%65.180.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks W172025668
Canberra W1722191876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.