PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illiabum vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-66
23-21 20-15 11-14 19-16
Position#7
Record13-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game69.9
Illiabum 🏆
Portugal
vs
Portimonense
Portugal
Position#6
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.9
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Portimonense
28 Feb 2026
ILLI73
PORT66
29 Mar 2025
ILLI80
PORT70
25 Mar 2023
ILLI83
PORT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 73
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
90-66
90
66
+24
100avg 73
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 73
A20/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
87avg 73
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
93-66
93
66
+27
93avg 73
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
58avg 73
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
67avg 73
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 73
H07/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 73
A14/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
86avg 73
H21/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
8-13
16-18
19-17
22-15
27-21
18-10
23-20
11-11
16-25
25-20
18-20
26-8
20-21
19-14
18-26
23-19
25-18
26-16
19-13
18-17
12-13
14-23
21-14
17-23
24-21
19-21
19-10
15-14
20-16
9-24
24-21
25-19
17-11
11-15
18-22
25-21
21-23
18-17
12-15
149.1Avg total
77.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.969.9148.8+8.968%
Season at home (10)79.370.4149.7+8.960%
Season away (9)78.469.4147.9+9.078%
Last 10 (10)77.471.7149.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)74.675.2149.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.475.2142.6-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.671.6144.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)84.569.1153.5+15.485%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 76
H12/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 76
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
86-54
86
54
+32
88avg 76
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-71
64
71
-7
62avg 76
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 76
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
84avg 76
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
66avg 76
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
80avg 76
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
78avg 76
H21/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
22-15
15-29
24-18
16-24
22-16
23-17
15-23
29-20
17-24
20-24
26-18
17-16
19-20
27-8
23-10
15-14
12-23
17-19
20-15
17-12
13-15
19-20
29-25
24-14
20-11
14-22
24-25
21-14
12-19
19-22
10-7
15-19
21-20
23-24
14-10
19-29
21-13
19-6
19-26
154.4Avg total
80.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.474.9156.3+6.474%
Season at home (10)81.775.4157.1+6.370%
Season away (9)81.074.4155.4+6.678%
Last 10 (10)80.074.4154.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)79.273.0152.2+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.075.0148.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.380.6159.9-1.250%
vs Weaker (15)81.771.5153.1+10.280%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
IlliabumPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A20/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H21/02
Proliga
73.9Avg total
39.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.673.0+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.835.073.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.834.272.0+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.573.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.674.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.635.268.8-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.135.671.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)42.233.575.8+8.777%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H12/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/02
Proliga
74.1Avg total
37.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.373.1+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.273.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.335.572.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.474.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.269.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.336.069.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.139.277.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (15)38.432.170.5+6.373%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.8
51.2%
50.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.85.7
32.0%
30.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
67.4%17.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.0
50.6%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.3
30.6%
30.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws27.418.7
68.2%
67.4%18.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LWLWLWWLWW
Portimonense
WWWWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#6
+7.2
Net rating
+6.2
93.4
Offensive rating
92.0
86.2
Defensive rating
85.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
21.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.44
32.0%
3-point %
30.6%
57.8%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 92.0Defence86.2 · 85.7Shooting50.2% · 49.0%3-point %32.0% · 30.6%Ball care21.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 38.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Illiabum   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illiabum wins
3
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Illiabum v Portimonense80-70
08/02/25Portimonense v Illiabum76-60
25/03/23Illiabum v Portimonense83-93
25/02/23Portimonense v Illiabum87-85
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HImortal B90-92 OT
14/02/26AGinasio Olhanense71-67
07/02/26HCD Povoa68-75
31/01/26AMaia79-75
24/01/26HCAB Madeira65-67
10/01/26AGinasio93-66
03/01/26HSampaense83-69
20/12/25ACD Povoa70-76
13/12/25HSangalhos90-66
07/12/25ALusitania65-64
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HMaia78-74
15/02/26AImortal B86-78 OT
07/02/26HCAB Madeira72-69 OT
31/01/26HGinasio Olhanense82-72
24/01/26AGinasio78-72
10/01/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-71
03/01/26ACB Queluz86-54
21/12/25AGalomar92-86
19/12/25ACAB Madeira76-80
12/12/25HGinasio Olhanense86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%60%78%
Points / game78.979.378.4
Allowed / game69.970.469.4
Point differential+8.9+8.9+9.0
Avg total148.8149.7147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%70%78%
Points / game81.481.781.0
Allowed / game74.975.474.4
Point differential+6.4+6.3+6.6
Avg total156.3157.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa1918195%85.666.7+18.9
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Portimonense1914574%81.474.9+6.4
4 Illiabum1913668%78.969.9+8.9
5 Imortal B1912763%79.579.6-0.1
6 Lusitania1911858%80.775.7+5.0
7 Maia1810856%81.874.0+7.8
8 Galomar2011955%84.580.5+4.1
9 Ginasio189950%76.279.2-3.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense1991047%79.176.4+2.7
11 Sampaense1991047%70.176.4-6.3
12 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%70.572.8-2.2
13 Santo Andre2071335%74.879.0-4.2
14 CB Queluz1931616%69.984.2-14.3
15 Sangalhos2031715%70.386.0-15.7
16 Academica191185%63.681.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2320111973
Portimonense2115141666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.