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CD Povoa vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-70
11-11 25-16 20-25 20-18
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game64.6
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Illiabum
Portugal
Position#7
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.5
PortugalProligaRound 12· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Illiabum
28 Mar 2026
CD P75
ILLI48
20 Dec 2025
CD P76
ILLI70
12 Feb 2022
CD P89
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 69
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 69
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 69
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 69
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 69
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 69
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 69
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 69
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 69
A13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
156.2Avg total
90.7Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.764.6154.4+25.1100%
Season at home (5)90.260.4150.6+29.8100%
Season away (6)89.368.2157.5+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.765.5156.2+25.2100%
Last 5 (5)86.667.4154.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.884.2153.9-14.415%
vs Similar (5)84.687.2171.8-2.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.764.6154.4+25.1100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
76-46
76
46
+30
76avg 72
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 72
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 72
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
43avg 72
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
68avg 72
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
87avg 72
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 72
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 72
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 72
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
90-66
90
66
+24
100avg 72
H13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
26-6
17-10
20-11
16-18
28-9
22-20
15-16
22-19
28-15
31-20
20-22
12-22
12-12
16-21
16-21
17-21
16-16
23-17
16-18
26-12
15-9
20-18
22-18
16-18
22-14
17-12
9-27
23-18
19-14
27-8
21-18
22-16
8-13
16-18
19-17
22-15
27-21
18-10
23-20
145.4Avg total
79.3Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.067.5147.5+12.582%
Season at home (6)81.266.8148.0+14.383%
Season away (5)78.668.2146.8+10.480%
Last 10 (10)79.366.1145.4+13.280%
Last 5 (5)78.463.2141.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.573.0140.5-5.550%
vs Similar (13)71.172.4143.5-1.338%
vs Weaker (13)83.767.9151.6+15.892%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
CD PovoaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
77.1Avg total
46.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.777.4+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.137.577.5+2.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.437.977.3+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)46.031.177.1+14.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.075.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.139.775.8-3.638%-
vs Similar (5)38.246.684.8-8.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.530.576.1+15.091%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/12
Proliga
69.7Avg total
39.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.773.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.374.9+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)37.534.171.6+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.030.769.7+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.234.569.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (13)36.236.572.8-0.346%-
vs Weaker (13)41.932.974.8+9.077%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.2
56.9%
50.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
30.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.712.6
64.0%
67.4%12.6
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.1
52.5%
50.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.9
32.4%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws24.315.8
65.0%
67.4%15.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
Illiabum
WWWLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+30.6
Net rating
+17.8
110.3
Offensive rating
103.2
79.6
Defensive rating
85.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
39.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
20.8%
Turnover %
22.4%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.7%
3-point %
32.4%
58.8%
Assist %
64.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 103.2Defence79.6 · 85.4Shooting54.3% · 51.1%3-point %33.7% · 32.4%Ball care20.8% · 22.4%Off. rebounds37.5% · 36.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
0
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Illiabum v CD Povoa56-76
12/02/22CD Povoa v Illiabum89-63
22/12/21Illiabum v CD Povoa80-85
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HSangalhos90-66
07/12/25ALusitania65-64
29/11/25HAcademica90-58
22/11/25AMaia64-71
15/11/25HGinasio83-57
08/11/25ASampaense87-84 OT
01/11/25HCD Povoa56-76
25/10/25ASangalhos101-76
19/10/25HLusitania81-63
11/10/25AAcademica76-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.790.289.3
Allowed / game64.660.468.2
Point differential+25.1+29.8+21.2
Avg total154.4150.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game80.081.278.6
Allowed / game67.566.868.2
Point differential+12.5+14.3+10.4
Avg total147.5148.0146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa11110100%89.764.6+25.1
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum119282%80.067.5+12.5
4 Imortal B118373%82.978.2+4.7
5 Ginasio118373%78.175.0+3.1
6 Portimonense117464%82.577.1+5.5
7 Galomar117464%86.782.8+3.9
8 Maia116555%80.273.6+6.5
9 Lusitania115645%76.671.6+5.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense115645%80.378.9+1.4
11 Sampaense114736%70.579.3-8.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B113827%70.572.8-2.3
13 Santo Andre112918%74.685.2-10.5
14 CB Queluz101910%68.889.5-20.7
15 Sangalhos111109%67.785.7-18.0
16 Academica110110%58.584.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1125202076
Illiabum1116251870
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