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Illinois (Chi.) vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-63
26-35 36-28
Position#155
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#280
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game98.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas-Pine Bluff winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H07/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#575
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H12/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
26-33
39-32
38-41
21-37
29-30
38-31
53-40
37-42
36-34
45-25
53-30
29-29
38-34
39-41
41-49
37-27
47-46
29-50
45-38
147.6Avg total
74.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.073.7154.7+7.357%
Season at home (3)91.066.3157.3+24.7100%
Season away (4)73.579.2152.8-5.825%
Last 10 (10)74.673.0147.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)80.673.8154.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.873.0145.8-0.240%
vs Similar (14)73.676.1149.7-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.071.6148.6+5.470%
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
50-94
50
94
-44
A04/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A12/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A15/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
60-106
60
106
-46
A19/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
70-98
70
98
-28
A20/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-40
49-36
30-33
33-32
18-41
32-53
29-45
45-38
31-38
41-56
31-42
38-53
31-43
44-61
26-45
34-61
37-35
33-63
36-56
48-55
161.2Avg total
68.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.298.1167.4-28.90%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)69.298.1167.4-28.90%
Last 10 (10)68.692.6161.2-24.00%
Last 5 (5)71.6102.8174.4-31.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.888.3157.1-19.44%
vs Similar (4)74.275.0149.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (3)93.066.0159.0+27.067%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -11.1-11.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -11.1-11.1
Illinois (Chi.)Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H02/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#575
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A15/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A26/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.071.3-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.634.971.6+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)34.136.971.0-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.569.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.470.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.636.674.2+1.040%-
vs Similar (14)32.939.071.9-6.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.632.569.1+4.160%-
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H07/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A15/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A23/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
28.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.638.471.0-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.932.767.6+2.245%-
Last 30 away (19)31.341.773.0-10.421%-
Last 10 (10)28.941.870.7-12.910%-
Last 5 (5)32.244.276.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)30.740.371.0-9.717%-
vs Similar (4)35.033.868.8+1.275%-
vs Weaker (3)44.730.074.7+14.767%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
0
Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ARobert Morris74-88
22/11/25HSouthern Indiana84-73
20/11/25AHigh Point80-90
15/11/25AChicago State67-63
12/11/25HSt. Francis (ILL)98-55
08/11/25AOregon State73-76
04/11/25HDetroit91-71
07/03/25HValparaiso50-67
02/03/25HValparaiso77-73
27/02/25ANorthern Iowa52-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AMiami (Ohio)84-111
20/11/25AMarshall70-98
19/11/25ASMU Mustangs60-106
15/11/25AVanderbilt75-104
12/11/25AOklahoma69-95
09/11/25ALoyola Marymount72-94
07/11/25APortland74-83
04/11/25AWashington50-94
08/03/25HAlcorn State63-65
07/03/25HJackson State69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.091.073.5
Allowed / game73.766.379.2
Point differential+7.3+24.7-5.8
Avg total154.7157.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.2-69.2
Allowed / game98.1-98.1
Point differential-28.9--28.9
Avg total167.4-167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont98189%83.168.9+14.2
2 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Drake96367%80.864.4+16.3
5 Murray State96367%88.877.3+11.4
6 Valparaiso85362%70.469.0+1.4
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Bradley95456%74.369.8+4.6
10 Southern Illinois84450%79.272.1+7.1
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.84450%92.278.0+14.2
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs63350%64.874.3-9.5
3 Prairie View A&M83538%76.676.8-0.1
4 Alabama State83538%81.482.4-1.0
5 Grambling St.83538%70.673.4-2.8
6 Bethune-Cookman82625%73.081.2-8.2
7 Texas Southern61517%74.387.5-13.2
8 Miss. Valley St.81712%71.291.2-20.0
9 Jackson State81712%61.190.9-29.8
10 Alcorn State91811%66.385.7-19.3
11 Florida A&M5050%67.692.6-25.0
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff8080%69.298.1-28.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)263662
Arkansas-Pine Bluff352863
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