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Illinois (Chi.) vs Northern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-74 (OT)
31-25 34-40 5-9
Position#225
Record7-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#115
Record6-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Northern Kentucky
20 Jan 2022
ILLI70
NORT74
10 Jan 2020
ILLI52
NORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H05/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A07/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
24-29
29-41
48-40
27-21
29-43
40-32
31-35
30-33
36-39
35-28
26-32
35-42
37-48
29-28
38-37
27-34
54-43
36-25
44-38
138.6Avg total
68.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.770.3140.0-0.747%
Season at home (6)71.869.2141.0+2.733%
Season away (9)68.271.1139.3-2.956%
Last 10 (10)68.370.3138.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)72.271.0143.2+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.777.3139.0-15.70%
vs Similar (18)67.773.3141.1-5.633%
vs Weaker (6)75.263.7138.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#79
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A03/12
NCAA
IPFW
#87
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H09/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
91-55
91
55
+36
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
L
68-81 OT
68
81
-13
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H01/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
33-33
20-36
37-35
38-28
37-34
45-27
46-28
32-28
32-36
14-38
47-41
33-38
46-36
37-23
18-38
24-28
44-39
28-35
36-39
137.2Avg total
67.6Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.169.3138.3-0.240%
Season at home (8)74.064.8138.8+9.262%
Season away (7)63.474.4137.9-11.014%
Last 10 (10)67.669.6137.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)65.471.0136.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
vs Similar (13)68.372.2140.5-3.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.868.9141.7+3.953%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
Illinois (Chi.)Northern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A16/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.364.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.131.863.8+0.342%-
Last 30 away (18)30.934.365.3-3.428%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.963.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.463.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.835.064.8-5.217%-
vs Similar (18)30.234.464.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (6)36.728.365.0+8.383%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A03/12
NCAA
IPFW
#87
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A04/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H09/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
14-38
14
38
-24
A23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A16/01
NCAA
61.6Avg total
29.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.464.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.330.564.8+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)29.234.363.5-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.061.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)27.232.459.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (13)30.432.863.2-2.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)32.131.463.5+0.740%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
3
Northern Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22AWisc. Green Bay80-63
14/01/22AWisc. Milwaukee81-77
11/01/22AIUPUI67-65
07/01/22AWright State72-90
19/12/21HNorthern Illinois61-60
15/12/21HDePaul66-72
11/12/21ACentral Michigan71-67
05/12/21HDetroit56-64
03/12/21HOakland77-81
26/11/21ASan Diego Toreros52-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22ARobert Morris64-74
14/01/22AYoungstown State68-67
01/01/22HWisc. Milwaukee55-61
31/12/21HWisc. Green Bay79-74
23/12/21AIndiana61-79
19/12/21AEastern Kentucky68-81 OT
12/12/21HAlice Loyd91-55
09/12/21HCanisius75-62
04/12/21AIPFW57-71
03/12/21ACleveland State58-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%33%56%
Points / game69.771.868.2
Allowed / game70.369.271.1
Point differential-0.7+2.7-2.9
Avg total140.0141.0139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game69.174.063.4
Allowed / game69.364.874.4
Point differential-0.2+9.2-11.0
Avg total138.3138.8137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1715288%82.663.9+18.7
2 Belmont1914574%80.871.4+9.5
3 Drake1913668%74.265.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1810856%65.360.9+4.4
5 Northern Iowa179853%74.970.2+4.8
6 Illinois State189950%78.878.2+0.6
7 Bradley1991047%72.367.3+5.0
8 Valparaiso1991047%72.870.0+2.8
9 Indiana State178947%73.470.1+3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)157847%69.770.3-0.7
11 Evansville1641225%59.868.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oakland1713476%75.566.1+9.4
2 Cleveland State1511473%75.369.5+5.8
3 Wright State1810856%75.373.4+1.9
4 IPFW179853%73.770.9+2.8
5 Youngstown State179853%72.470.4+1.9
6 Northern Kentucky156940%69.169.3-0.2
7 Detroit145936%68.870.2-1.4
8 Wisc. Milwaukee1861233%66.369.9-3.6
9 Wisc. Green Bay1631319%61.968.6-6.7
10 Robert Morris1731418%70.276.6-6.4
11 IUPUI171166%50.968.0-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois (Chi.)3134570
Northern Kentucky2540974
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