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Northern Kentucky vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-68
32-23 40-45
Position#174
Record7-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#217
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Northern Kentucky v Illinois (Chi.)
08 Jan 2022
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
30 Jan 2021
NORT62
ILLI74
29 Jan 2021
NORT72
ILLI68
10 Mar 2020
NORT71
ILLI62
16 Feb 2020
NORT43
ILLI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#173
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H19/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/12
NCAA
IPFW
#283
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H01/01
NCAA
IPFW
#283
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#53
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#53
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
A10/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H15/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
45-33
27-25
33-45
32-38
43-30
27-29
43-39
22-34
22-24
29-31
28-26
30-28
39-46
26-32
37-33
31-33
50-43
34-38
32-28
138.2Avg total
69.1Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.671.1140.7-1.547%
Season at home (8)70.568.4138.9+2.162%
Season away (7)68.674.1142.7-5.629%
Last 10 (10)69.169.1138.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.672.6145.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.092.0165.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.470.8137.2-4.536%
vs Weaker (18)73.965.7139.6+8.283%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H13/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H20/12
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A09/01
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A09/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
66-62 OT
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A22/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
44-36
33-41
33-36
34-40
40-32
53-35
37-38
36-43
45-38
23-37
32-51
37-28
30-25
31-30
25-26
28-31
39-35
35-44
42-41
145.7Avg total
71.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.971.0141.9-0.162%
Season at home (7)71.965.6137.4+6.386%
Season away (6)69.877.3147.2-7.533%
Last 10 (10)71.774.0145.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)66.470.8137.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.065.7133.7+2.350%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.870.5143.3+2.371%
vs Weaker (10)73.064.9137.9+8.170%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
Northern KentuckyIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#173
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H20/12
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/01
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H02/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#53
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#53
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H15/01
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A23/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
29.2Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.765.3-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.632.365.9+1.365%-
Last 30 away (13)31.233.364.5-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)29.231.961.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.462.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.052.089.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.534.564.9-4.036%-
vs Weaker (18)33.630.664.2+3.067%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H20/12
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/01
NCAA
IPFW
#283
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#329
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A22/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.866.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.230.968.1+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.232.864.0-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.169.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.064.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.331.266.5+4.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.233.067.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (10)33.530.664.1+2.970%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Kentucky wins
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21ARobert Morris79-74 OT
23/01/21ARobert Morris81-76
16/01/21HIUPUI63-65
15/01/21HIUPUI69-74
10/01/21ACleveland State71-74 OT
09/01/21ACleveland State44-58
02/01/21HIPFW70-68
01/01/21HIPFW75-68
20/12/20HYoungstown State60-70
19/12/20HYoungstown State79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21AYoungstown State77-85
22/01/21AYoungstown State67-66
16/01/21HRobert Morris66-62 OT
16/01/21HRobert Morris67-53
09/01/21AIPFW55-88
09/01/21AIPFW89-96 OT
20/12/20HOakland90-73
20/12/20HOakland74-72
13/12/20HLoyola Chicago66-77
05/12/20ABall State66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game69.670.568.6
Allowed / game71.168.474.1
Point differential-1.5+2.1-5.6
Avg total140.7138.9142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %13%0%29%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game70.971.969.8
Allowed / game71.065.677.3
Point differential-0.1+6.3-7.5
Avg total141.9137.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State1511473%81.765.3+16.4
2 Cleveland State1510567%66.968.7-1.9
3 Wisc. Milwaukee116555%72.570.2+2.3
4 Northern Kentucky157847%69.671.1-1.5
5 IPFW136746%76.676.8-0.2
6 Youngstown State156940%71.775.3-3.7
7 Detroit135838%74.776.5-1.8
8 IUPUI93633%65.475.8-10.3
9 Oakland1961332%71.782.9-11.2
10 Wisc. Green Bay1651131%71.578.2-6.8
11 Robert Morris103730%72.775.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake15150100%82.560.9+21.6
2 Belmont1918195%82.768.9+13.8
3 Illinois (Chi.)138562%70.971.0-0.1
4 Southern Illinois127558%71.069.4+1.6
5 Indiana State158753%68.469.5-1.1
6 Bradley179853%72.464.5+7.9
7 Murray State147750%79.167.8+11.4
8 Evansville146843%64.669.4-4.8
9 Valparaiso156940%69.070.8-1.8
10 Illinois State1551033%74.375.8-1.5
11 Northern Iowa1441029%70.173.4-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Kentucky324072
Illinois (Chi.)234568
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