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Illinois (Chi.) vs St. Francis (ILL) Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 96-47
51-31 45-16
Position#28
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Illinois (Chi.) 🏆
USA
Vs
97%
■ ILLI 97%■ ST. 3%
Pythia win probability
Projected 84-61
Projected total 145.0
St. Francis (ILL)
USA
Position#396
Record-
FormLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v St. Francis (ILL)
02 Nov 2026
ILLI96
ST. 47
11 Nov 2025
ILLI98
ST. 55
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Illinois (Chi.) host St. Francis (ILL) in the NCAA. Pythia makes Illinois (Chi.) the favourite at 97% and projects 84-61, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
96.9%fair 1.03
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Francis (ILL) winLost
3.1%fair 32.59
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
84-46
84
46
+38
A19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
36-30
40-38
40-32
33-26
50-30
38-23
46-23
29-31
38-40
39-28
33-44
31-35
32-44
50-32
42-47
34-27
38-24
41-48
28-36
145.5Avg total
76.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.569.0145.5+7.560%
Last 5 (5)77.875.8153.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.085.0158.0-12.00%
vs Similar (15)74.572.2146.7+2.353%
vs Weaker (13)75.066.2141.2+8.862%
St. Francis (ILL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
L
47-79
47
79
-32
A20/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A15/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
55-98
55
98
-43
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-34
21-45
18-46
37-32
25-45
30-53
137.3Avg total
52.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (3)52.385.0137.3-32.70%
Last 5 (3)52.385.0137.3-32.70%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
57.5%
Under 142
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
44.8%
Under 147
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
32.7%
Under 152
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Illinois (Chi.) total 73Actual: Illinois (Chi.) over 73
Over 73
86.8%
Under 73
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illinois (Chi.) total 77Actual: Illinois (Chi.) over 77
Over 77
75.8%
Under 77
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Illinois (Chi.) total 81Actual: Illinois (Chi.) over 81
Over 81
61.0%
Under 81
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Francis (ILL) total 66Actual: St. Francis (ILL) under 66
Over 66
31.1%
Under 66
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Francis (ILL) total 70Actual: St. Francis (ILL) under 70
Over 70
18.3%
Under 70
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Francis (ILL) total 74Actual: St. Francis (ILL) under 74
Over 74
9.6%
Under 74
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Illinois (Chi.) -3Actual: Illinois (Chi.) -3
ILLI -3
95.6%
ST. +3
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Illinois (Chi.) 0Actual: Illinois (Chi.) 0
ILLI 0
96.9%
ST. 0
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Illinois (Chi.) +3Actual: Illinois (Chi.) +3
ILLI +3
98.1%
ST. -3
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
ILLI
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-23-12+0+12+231st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -18.7-18.72nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -14.0-14.0
-23-12+0+12+231st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -18.7-18.72nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -14.0-14.0
Illinois (Chi.)St. Francis (ILL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/03
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.566.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.829.264.0+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)35.133.868.9+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.668.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.538.073.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (15)34.232.967.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker (13)35.728.964.6+6.877%-
St. Francis (ILL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A20/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
18-46
18
46
-28
A15/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
23.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)23.041.764.7-18.70%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (3)23.041.764.7-18.70%-
Last 10 (3)23.041.764.7-18.70%-
Last 5 (3)23.041.764.7-18.70%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
0
St. Francis (ILL) wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Illinois (Chi.) v St. Francis (ILL)98-55
Illinois (Chi.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-84
07/03/26HDrake72-51
06/03/26AMurray State92-79
01/03/26AIndiana State63-79
25/02/26HBradley93-86 OT
21/02/26HValparaiso67-71
19/02/26AEvansville84-46
15/02/26HIllinois State83-56
13/02/26ADrake80-70
07/02/26HBelmont62-68
St. Francis (ILL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AIllinois (Chi.)55-98
15/12/24AUC Riverside55-78
20/12/23ASouthern Indiana47-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
St. Francis (ILL)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
2 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
3 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
4 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
5 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
6 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
7 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
8 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
9 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
10 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
11 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
12 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
13 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
14 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
15 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
16 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
17 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
18 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
19 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
20 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
21 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
22 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
23 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
24 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
25 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
26 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
27 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
28 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
29 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
30 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
31 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
32 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)514596
St. Francis (ILL)311647
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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