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Illinois State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-50
29-24 32-26
Position#312
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#291
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Illinois State v Morehead State
07 Dec 2019
ILLI61
MORE50
19 Mar 2014
ILLI77
MORE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A26/03
CBI
Wisc. Green Bay
#29
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H19/03
NIT
Old Dominion
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#4
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H20/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#69
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A23/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#239
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Springfield Pride
#379
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H29/11
NCAA
TCU
#229
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-31
0-0
28-30
0-0
24-31
0-0
45-25
0-0
22-27
0-0
27-23
0-0
43-34
0-0
42-37
0-0
36-23
0-0
26-40
0-0
33-30
0-0
32-36
0-0
37-36
0-0
32-47
0-0
30-31
0-0
33-37
0-0
34-27
0-0
42-30
0-0
32-39
0-0
37-42
131.2Avg total
65.6Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.471.0139.4-2.620%
Season at home (2)69.562.5132.0+7.050%
Season away (3)67.776.7144.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)65.665.6131.2+0.030%
Last 5 (5)68.471.0139.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.080.3154.3-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (4)60.866.2127.0-5.525%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A15/03
CBI
Duquesne
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H21/03
CBI
Ohio
#4
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A23/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H29/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A31/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A02/04
CBI
Butler
#70
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#87
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A27/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A30/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H05/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-43
0-0
40-37
0-0
43-36
0-0
39-36
0-0
29-24
0-0
48-48
0-0
38-36
0-0
48-47
0-0
27-33
0-0
41-44
0-0
34-41
0-0
41-34
0-0
30-30
0-0
20-38
0-0
36-46
0-0
48-49
0-0
22-28
0-0
35-39
0-0
24-12
0-0
32-39
147.6Avg total
72.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.870.2132.0-8.525%
Season at home (1)56.051.0107.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)63.776.7140.3-13.00%
Last 10 (10)72.675.0147.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)65.873.2139.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.081.6155.6-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.070.3142.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (1)56.051.0107.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
Illinois StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#1
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A26/03
CBI
Wisc. Green Bay
#29
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H19/03
NIT
Old Dominion
#4
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H24/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#30
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#4
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H20/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#69
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#239
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Springfield Pride
#379
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H29/11
NCAA
TCU
#229
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/12
NCAA
62.1Avg total
31.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)32.431.063.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (8)31.128.159.2+3.050%-
Last 30 away (6)34.234.869.0-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.962.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.035.771.7+0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)27.532.059.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/03
CBI
Duquesne
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/03
CBI
Ohio
#4
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A23/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H29/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A31/03
CBI
Nevada
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A02/04
CBI
Butler
#70
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#87
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A27/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A30/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#344
W
24-12
24
12
+12
H05/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)32.032.964.9-0.945%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.028.063.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 away (8)30.934.865.6-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.965.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.231.460.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.037.270.2-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.329.360.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker (1)24.012.036.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
20/03/14Illinois State v Morehead State77-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/19ATCU69-81
29/11/19HSpringfield Pride76-57
25/11/19HGrand Canyon63-68
23/11/19AWestern Kentucky69-83
22/11/19ACincinnati65-66
20/03/17HUCF Knights62-63
16/03/17HUC Irvine85-71
24/03/15HOld Dominion49-50
19/03/15HWisc. Green Bay69-56
26/03/14ASiena49-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/19HIUPUI56-51
30/11/19ANorth Alabama57-67
27/11/19AWilliam & Mary84-95
23/11/19AButler50-68
02/04/16ANevada82-85 OT
31/03/16ANevada68-77
29/03/16HNevada86-83
23/03/16AOhio77-72
21/03/16HDuquesne82-72
15/03/16ASiena84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game68.469.567.7
Allowed / game71.062.576.7
Point differential-2.6+7.0-9.0
Avg total139.4132.0144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.856.063.7
Allowed / game70.251.076.7
Point differential-8.5+5.0-13.0
Avg total132.0107.0140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State550100%74.665.2+9.4
2 Drake65183%64.860.0+4.8
3 Northern Iowa32167%81.061.0+20.0
4 Evansville64267%85.785.3+0.3
5 Bradley53260%66.664.4+2.2
6 Southern Illinois42250%67.262.0+5.2
7 Belmont42250%72.070.2+1.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)63350%70.871.8-1.0
9 Valparaiso52340%78.279.0-0.8
10 Murray State41325%63.869.2-5.5
11 Illinois State51420%68.471.0-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee Tech32167%70.761.0+9.7
2 Eastern Illinois53260%76.866.0+10.8
3 Tennessee State53260%69.870.6-0.8
4 Western Illinois42250%83.870.5+13.2
5 UALR52340%61.664.6-3.0
6 Southeast Missouri State62433%67.870.7-2.8
7 UT Martin31233%71.779.3-7.7
8 Morehead State41325%61.870.2-8.5
9 Siu Edwardsville4040%61.576.0-14.5
10 Lindenwood1010%65.0117.0-52.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State293261
Morehead State242650
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