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Incarnate Word vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-79
39-34 37-45
Position#344
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#244
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#249
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A06/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H10/03
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H10/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A13/11
NCAA
Concordia Texas
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H17/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
32-34
21-38
24-29
40-45
32-43
39-36
28-36
30-44
30-41
31-34
37-46
24-43
33-32
28-40
32-47
41-40
37-42
31-36
31-48
142.4Avg total
63.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.282.0146.2-17.80%
Season at home (3)65.780.3146.0-14.70%
Season away (1)60.087.0147.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)63.678.8142.4-15.20%
Last 5 (5)65.081.6146.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.978.4143.4-13.57%
vs Similar (8)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (7)75.072.7147.7+2.343%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#175
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H20/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#377
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
40-34
50-24
44-48
26-39
39-48
39-44
55-44
35-27
34-36
20-29
34-32
45-41
54-53
39-37
40-60
33-39
27-33
31-36
40-27
154.9Avg total
77.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.281.5158.8-4.250%
Season at home (3)70.077.3147.3-7.333%
Season away (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.177.8154.9-0.760%
Last 5 (5)72.677.4150.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.876.1144.9-7.327%
vs Similar (8)75.274.0149.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)66.266.5132.7-0.350%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
Incarnate WordSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#249
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H10/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Concordia Texas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
32.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.466.6-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.434.667.9-1.250%-
Last 30 away (12)30.434.264.6-3.750%-
Last 10 (10)32.039.071.0-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.235.465.6-5.236%-
vs Similar (8)30.632.162.8-1.562%-
vs Weaker (7)36.734.170.9+2.657%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#175
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H20/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#377
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.664.9-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.432.965.4-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)30.134.364.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.570.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.470.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.535.166.6-3.533%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.563.4+2.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)29.033.562.5-4.517%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
0
Southeast Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21HTexas Tech62-84
17/11/21HConcordia Texas78-82
13/11/21ABaylor60-87
10/11/21HTexas State57-75
10/03/21HHouston Christian68-80
06/03/21AAbilene Christian60-85
04/03/21AHouston Christian67-72
02/03/21HNew Orleans72-88
25/02/21HLamar45-67
11/02/21HNorthwestern St.67-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/21HMissouri Baptist71-63
20/11/21HArkansas State60-72
13/11/21HYoungstown State79-97
10/11/21AMissouri State99-94
04/03/21AMorehead State54-61
27/02/21ASiu Edwardsville69-63
26/02/21AEastern Illinois94-88
22/02/21HEastern Kentucky65-87
20/02/21HEastern Kentucky94-72
17/02/21HAustin Peay86-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.265.760.0
Allowed / game82.080.387.0
Point differential-17.8-14.7-27.0
Avg total146.2146.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game77.270.099.0
Allowed / game81.577.394.0
Point differential-4.2-7.3+5.0
Avg total158.8147.3193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC54180%75.666.8+8.8
3 Stephen F. Austin64267%77.275.0+2.2
4 UTRGV64267%75.077.8-2.8
5 SE Louisiana53260%90.869.0+21.8
6 Nicholls State74357%75.964.6+11.3
7 McNeese State63350%75.771.2+4.5
8 New Orleans62433%73.570.0+3.5
9 Houston Christian51420%62.068.0-6.0
10 Lamar61517%69.275.0-5.8
11 Northwestern St.61517%67.282.5-15.3
12 Incarnate Word4040%64.282.0-17.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR64267%77.366.0+11.3
2 Western Illinois64267%80.072.8+7.2
3 UT Martin63350%78.371.0+7.3
4 Southeast Missouri State42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Tennessee Tech52340%75.872.8+3.0
6 Morehead State52340%67.468.8-1.4
7 Siu Edwardsville62433%68.369.0-0.7
8 Tennessee State51420%76.473.2+3.2
9 Eastern Illinois61517%60.373.0-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word393776
Southeast Missouri State344579
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