PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Indonesia vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 76-84
24-20 21-18 20-22 11-24
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game62.7
Indonesia
vs
Philippines 🏆
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game57.7
EuropeSoutheast Asian GamesSoutheast Asian Games - Semi-finals· Morodok Techo National Sports Complex
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Indonesia v Philippines
15 May 2023
INDO76
PHIL84
22 May 2022
INDO85
PHIL81
23 Feb 2020
INDO70
PHIL100
10 Jun 2015
INDO52
PHIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indonesia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
Philippines
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
H01/07
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
52-77
52
77
-25
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
80-54
80
54
+26
no box
A12/07
Asia Cup
Jordan
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
H14/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A16/07
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
58-108
58
108
-50
no box
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
141-37
141
37
+104
153avg 107
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
75avg 107
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 107
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
18-18
27-28
22-21
18-14
21-17
9-18
19-20
18-17
8-20
4-22
22-18
18-13
26-17
17-15
19-9
15-17
23-22
10-18
17-17
16-11
8-23
18-23
11-21
11-29
10-30
23-18
14-31
35-7
37-9
36-8
33-13
16-24
28-17
15-18
29-23
12-22
15-16
27-15
33-16
150.5Avg total
77.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)105.362.7168.0+42.7100%
Season at home (2)114.053.0167.0+61.0100%
Season away (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.672.9150.5+4.750%
Last 5 (5)85.474.8160.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.287.7156.9-18.524%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (9)97.766.6164.2+31.1100%
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Japan
#10
L
81-102
81
102
-21
no box
A19/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
84-46
84
46
+38
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A10/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A13/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Malaysia
#5
W
94-49
94
49
+45
81avg 72
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
52avg 72
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
105-45
105
45
+60
81avg 72
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
18-18
29-27
18-25
25-22
22-27
16-19
18-17
11-14
26-14
24-8
23-10
21-20
16-21
21-10
16-15
16-16
15-9
24-20
21-18
25-19
28-22
29-23
25-32
14-33
27-27
23-10
26-21
33-12
25-10
26-16
10-11
14-26
17-21
16-19
21-13
29-5
27-14
30-15
19-11
158.2Avg total
86.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.057.7146.7+31.367%
Season at home (2)81.064.0145.0+17.050%
Season away (1)105.045.0150.0+60.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.072.2158.2+13.860%
Last 5 (5)92.872.0164.8+20.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.993.6170.5-16.812%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.480.8161.2-0.460%
vs Weaker (17)86.957.6144.5+29.288%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
IndonesiaPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/07
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H04/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/07
Asia Cup
Jordan
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A16/07
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
21-59
21
59
-38
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
72-16
72
16
+56
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
72.8Avg total
37.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.077.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.177.6+3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.778.2-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.772.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.041.874.7-8.819%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (9)52.932.685.4+20.3100%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A19/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A25/08
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H29/08
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A13/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H24/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H27/02
World Cup
Malaysia
#5
W
58-22
58
22
+36
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
56-19
56
19
+37
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
80.7Avg total
42.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.276.2+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.134.175.1+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)40.936.577.4+4.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.280.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.885.6+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.444.682.0-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.045.083.0-7.020%-
vs Weaker (17)43.527.971.4+15.688%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
52%
34%
13%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
49.9%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.015.7
46.1%
30.6%47.0
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
66.0%
64.9%10.3
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.7 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
52%
34%
13%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.326.3
52.3%
49.9%52.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.3
28.1%
30.6%25.0
🏀 Free throws18.710.7
57.1%
64.9%10.7
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indonesia
WWWLLLWLLW
Philippines
WLWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+54.6
Net rating
+39.4
132.0
Offensive rating
108.9
77.3
Defensive rating
69.4
63.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
36.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
46.1%
3-point %
28.1%
66.1%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence132.0 · 108.9Defence77.3 · 69.4Shooting63.2% · 48.5%3-point %46.1% · 28.1%Ball care14.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds34.9% · 36.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Indonesia   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indonesia wins
6
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
22/05/22Indonesia v Philippines85-81
18/06/21Philippines v Indonesia76-51
23/02/20Indonesia v Philippines70-100
09/12/19Philippines v Indonesia97-70
26/08/17Philippines v Indonesia94-55
15/06/15Philippines v Indonesia72-64
10/06/15Indonesia v Philippines52-81
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HThailand87-69
12/05/23AVietnam88-82
10/05/23HLaos141-37
18/07/22AChina58-108
16/07/22AAustralia53-78
14/07/22HJordan65-74
12/07/22ASaudi Arabia80-54
04/07/22HJordan52-77
01/07/22HSaudi Arabia67-69
22/05/22HPhilippines85-81
Philippineslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23ASingapore105-45
11/05/23HCambodia68-79
09/05/23HMalaysia94-49
27/02/23HJordan90-91
24/02/23HLebanon107-96
13/11/22ASaudi Arabia76-63
10/11/22AJordan74-66
29/08/22HSaudi Arabia84-46
25/08/22ALebanon81-85
19/07/22AJapan81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indonesia
Southeast Asian Games 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.3114.088.0
Allowed / game62.753.082.0
Point differential+42.7+61.0+6.0
Avg total168.0167.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
Southeast Asian Games 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game89.081.0105.0
Allowed / game57.764.045.0
Point differential+31.3+17.0+60.0
Avg total146.7145.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indonesia330100%105.362.7+42.7
2 Cambodia440100%86.071.0+15.0
3 Philippines32167%89.057.7+31.3
4 Thailand42250%98.867.0+31.8
5 Vietnam31233%81.381.3+0.0
6 Malaysia31233%77.389.3-12.0
7 Singapore3030%58.394.3-36.0
8 Laos3030%43.7132.0-88.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indonesia2421201176
Philippines2018222484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.