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Indonesia vs Thailand Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 87-69
12-22 15-16 27-15 33-16
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game59.5
Indonesia 🏆
vs
Thailand
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game130.0
Allowed / game52.5
EuropeSoutheast Asian Games· Morodok Techo National Sports Complex (Phnom Penh)
Other2023
Meetings · Indonesia v Thailand
24 Nov 2024
INDO71
THAI112
14 May 2023
INDO87
THAI69
18 May 2022
INDO78
THAI75
20 Jun 2021
INDO86
THAI69
20 Aug 2018
INDO98
THAI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indonesia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thailand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#4
W
94-67
94
67
+27
no box
A21/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
H01/07
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
52-77
52
77
-25
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
80-54
80
54
+26
no box
A12/07
Asia Cup
Jordan
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
H14/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A16/07
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
58-108
58
108
-50
no box
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
141-37
141
37
+104
153avg 114
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
75avg 114
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
25-23
24-13
15-16
18-14
18-18
27-28
22-21
18-14
21-17
9-18
19-20
18-17
8-20
4-22
22-18
18-13
26-17
17-15
19-9
15-17
23-22
10-18
17-17
16-11
8-23
18-23
11-21
11-29
10-30
23-18
14-31
35-7
37-9
36-8
33-13
16-24
28-17
15-18
29-23
151.0Avg total
78.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)114.559.5174.0+55.0100%
Season at home (1)141.037.0178.0+104.0100%
Season away (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.372.7151.0+5.650%
Last 5 (5)81.075.8156.8+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.288.4156.6-20.219%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)97.766.6164.2+31.1100%
This opponent (Thailand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThailand
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#4
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Malaysia
#17
W
103-78
103
78
+25
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Tahiti
#30
W
114-46
114
46
+68
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#24
W
81-55
81
55
+26
no box
A12/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
109-105
109
105
+4
no box
H14/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
101-88
101
88
+13
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
78-60
78
60
+18
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#6
W
104-63
104
63
+41
98avg 127
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Laos
#8
W
156-42
156
42
+114
156avg 127
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
22-15
26-23
20-19
25-14
25-18
22-21
31-25
29-18
26-9
28-12
31-7
25-18
22-15
17-8
17-14
23-31
29-28
23-11
34-35
17-17
21-21
14-13
17-24
24-22
23-25
26-18
28-23
16-14
26-11
22-19
14-16
28-15
23-10
26-26
27-12
53-7
33-17
29-4
41-14
168.9Avg total
100.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)130.052.5182.5+77.5100%
Season at home (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)156.042.0198.0+114.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.468.5168.9+31.990%
Last 5 (5)101.665.6167.2+36.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.796.7172.5-21.018%
vs Similar (5)91.881.0172.8+10.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.261.4155.6+32.986%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +7.1+7.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +7.1+7.1
IndonesiaThailand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A21/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/07
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H04/07
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/07
Asia Cup
Jordan
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A16/07
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
21-59
21
59
-38
A18/07
Asia Cup
Laos
#8
W
72-16
72
16
+56
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
75.6Avg total
39.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.537.078.5+4.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.677.8-3.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.775.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.241.875.0-8.619%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)52.932.685.4+20.3100%-
This opponent (Thailand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vietnam
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/05
Southeast Asian Games
Malaysia
#17
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A10/11
Asia Cup
Tahiti
#30
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#24
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H14/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A26/02
Asia Cup
Vietnam
#6
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Laos
#8
W
86-24
86
24
+62
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
85.2Avg total
51.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.881.0+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.783.1+5.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.136.979.0+5.353%-
Last 10 (10)51.134.185.2+17.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.831.884.6+21.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.049.586.5-12.527%-
vs Similar (5)45.840.286.0+5.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.227.875.0+19.479%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers54.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
52%
34%
13%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
49.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.518.0
46.8%
30.6%54.0
🏀 Free throws14.59.5
65.5%
64.9%9.5
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thailandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thailand: 130.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
52%
34%
13%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.030.5
70.9%
49.9%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.017.5
38.9%
30.6%52.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
64.9%16.5
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 14 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indonesia
WWLLLWLLWW
Thailand
WWWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+67.0
Net rating
+81.9
138.2
Offensive rating
137.4
71.2
Defensive rating
55.5
63.0%
Effective FG%
64.5%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
41.4%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.25
46.8%
3-point %
38.9%
65.1%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence138.2 · 137.4Defence71.2 · 55.5Shooting63.0% · 64.5%3-point %46.8% · 38.9%Ball care11.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds38.3% · 35.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Indonesia   ■ Thailand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indonesia wins
1
Thailand wins
DateGameScore
18/05/22Indonesia v Thailand78-75
20/06/21Indonesia v Thailand86-69
28/11/20Thailand v Indonesia76-90
04/12/19Thailand v Indonesia98-76
20/08/18Indonesia v Thailand98-86
25/08/17Thailand v Indonesia74-79
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23AVietnam88-82
10/05/23HLaos141-37
18/07/22AChina58-108
16/07/22AAustralia53-78
14/07/22HJordan65-74
12/07/22ASaudi Arabia80-54
04/07/22HJordan52-77
01/07/22HSaudi Arabia67-69
22/05/22HPhilippines85-81
21/05/22AVietnam94-67
Thailandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23ALaos156-42
10/05/23HVietnam104-63
26/02/23ASingapore78-60
25/02/23HHong Kong101-88
24/02/23HGuam69-75
14/11/22HMongolia109-105
12/11/22AVietnam81-55
11/11/22HTahiti114-46
10/11/22AMalaysia103-78
22/05/22HVietnam89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indonesia
Southeast Asian Games 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game114.5141.088.0
Allowed / game59.537.082.0
Point differential+55.0+104.0+6.0
Avg total174.0178.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thailand
Southeast Asian Games 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game130.0104.0156.0
Allowed / game52.563.042.0
Point differential+77.5+41.0+114.0
Avg total182.5167.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Thailand220100%130.052.5+77.5
2 Indonesia220100%114.559.5+55.0
3 Cambodia330100%89.372.7+16.7
4 Philippines32167%89.057.7+31.3
5 Vietnam31233%81.381.3+0.0
6 Malaysia31233%77.389.3-12.0
7 Singapore3030%58.394.3-36.0
8 Laos3030%43.7132.0-88.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indonesia1215273387
Thailand2216151669
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