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Instituto W vs Rocamora W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 72-64
Projected total 135.9
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game59.3
Vs
76%
24%
■ INST 76%■ ROCA 24%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game54.8
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Estadio Angel Sandrin
Women2027
Meetings · Instituto W v Rocamora W
21 Nov 2026
INST v ROCA
upcoming
02 Mar 2024
INST66
ROCA61
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Instituto W host Rocamora W in the Liga Femenina Women. Pythia makes Instituto W the favourite at 76% and projects 72-64, about 136 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Instituto W are 5-2 this season (69.0 scored, 59.3 allowed a game), form WLWWW; Rocamora W are 5-0 this season (74.2 scored, 54.8 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Instituto W win
75.9%fair 1.32
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rocamora W win
24.1%fair 4.15
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Instituto WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
43-84
43
84
-41
H19/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#1
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H03/11
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A11/11
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
80-40
80
40
+40
H14/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-15
16-9
4-16
10-23
11-12
11-23
11-26
10-13
15-9
15-24
17-18
20-8
16-12
11-22
18-11
14-22
9-11
18-22
20-13
20-12
17-18
24-19
17-17
17-15
17-25
9-10
13-18
15-19
17-8
11-17
21-12
23-18
19-14
15-19
22-13
21-10
19-7
20-12
20-11
126.5Avg total
64.5Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.059.3128.3+9.771%
Season at home (4)69.557.5127.0+12.075%
Season away (3)68.361.7130.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)64.562.0126.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)71.458.8130.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.763.0123.7-2.333%
vs Similar (9)53.868.4122.2-14.711%
vs Weaker (18)73.858.1131.9+15.883%
This opponent (Rocamora W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rocamora WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Florida W
#10
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A27/02
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#14
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H04/03
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
60-103
60
103
-43
H22/03
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A26/03
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A29/03
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
81-70 OT
81
70
+11
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
86-21
86
21
+65
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
27-28
13-13
15-15
12-19
23-16
17-13
13-26
10-32
22-22
17-30
11-19
18-23
18-19
11-21
16-15
16-18
16-33
13-24
8-21
16-19
14-12
18-12
18-14
22-14
11-9
22-18
13-20
22-11
17-19
13-20
18-15
9-13
20-12
18-25
19-16
11-7
29-5
24-4
22-5
138.0Avg total
68.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.254.8129.0+19.4100%
Season at home (4)76.254.2130.5+22.0100%
Season away (1)66.057.0123.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.269.8138.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)74.254.8129.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)60.676.1136.7-15.412%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.254.8129.0+19.4100%
This opponent (Instituto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121
Over 121
82.3%
Under 121
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126
Over 126
73.0%
Under 126
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131
Over 131
61.7%
Under 131
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Instituto W total 60
Over 60
89.0%
Under 60
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Instituto W total 64
Over 64
79.4%
Under 64
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Instituto W total 68
Over 68
66.0%
Under 68
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rocamora W total 58
Over 58
72.6%
Under 58
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rocamora W total 62
Over 62
57.5%
Under 62
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rocamora W total 66
Over 66
41.4%
Under 66
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Instituto W -3
INST -3
68.9%
ROCA +3
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
INST
No market prices yet.
ROCA
No market prices yet.
Spread Instituto W 0
INST 0
75.9%
ROCA 0
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
INST
No market prices yet.
ROCA
No market prices yet.
Spread Instituto W +3
INST +3
82.6%
ROCA -3
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
INST
No market prices yet.
ROCA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Instituto WRocamora W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Instituto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H19/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
36-20
36
20
+16
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#1
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H03/11
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/11
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H14/11
Liga Femenina Women
62.0Avg total
33.2Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.329.861.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.326.457.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)31.432.864.2-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.862.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.266.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.031.062.0+0.033%-
vs Similar (9)23.633.857.3-10.211%-
vs Weaker (18)35.327.662.9+7.778%-
This opponent (Rocamora W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rocamora WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Florida W
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/02
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/03
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/03
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/03
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A29/03
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
40-12
40
12
+28
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
69.6Avg total
34.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.236.766.9-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.834.165.9-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)28.839.167.8-10.36%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.869.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.224.258.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)29.439.268.6-9.98%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.224.258.4+10.080%-
This opponent (Instituto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Instituto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Instituto W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.314.7
40.5%
42.8%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
27.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.59.7
62.6%
63.7%9.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rocamora Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rocamora W: 60.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.814.5
38.4%
42.8%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.7
28.0%
27.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
63.7%11.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Instituto W
WWWLWLWLLW
Rocamora W
WWWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#1
+22.8
Net rating
-18.3
97.9
Offensive rating
86.7
75.1
Defensive rating
105.0
43.2%
Effective FG%
39.8%
36.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.9%
3-point %
28.0%
68.3%
Assist %
42.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 86.7Defence75.1 · 105.0Shooting43.2% · 39.8%3-point %30.9% · 28.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Instituto W   ■ Rocamora W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Instituto W wins
2
Rocamora W wins
DateGameScore
16/10/26Rocamora W v Instituto W68-61
02/03/24Instituto W v Rocamora W66-61
21/01/24Rocamora W v Instituto W72-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSociedad Espanola W80-40
11/11/26ADeportivo Chanares W79-64
06/11/26HSan Jose W64-56
03/11/26HHindu W56-68
19/10/26HDeportivo Chanares W78-66
16/10/26ARocamora W61-68
11/10/26AHindu W65-53
25/04/26AFerro W57-64
19/04/26HFerro W43-84
11/04/26HGorriones W62-57
Rocamora Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HSociedad Espanola W86-21
31/10/26HHindu W81-70 OT
24/10/26HSan Jose W70-65
16/10/26HInstituto W68-61
11/10/26ADeportivo Chanares W66-57
29/03/26AObras Sanitarias W53-96
26/03/26AEl Talar W63-78
22/03/26HFerro W60-103
04/03/26HEl Bigua W65-74
27/02/26AUnion Florida W70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Instituto W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game69.069.568.3
Allowed / game59.357.561.7
Point differential+9.7+12.0+6.7
Avg total128.3127.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rocamora W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.276.266.0
Allowed / game54.854.257.0
Point differential+19.4+22.0+9.0
Avg total129.0130.5123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
3 Independiente Neuquen W76186%63.759.0+4.7
4 El Talar W65183%72.058.0+14.0
5 Boca W86275%74.958.9+16.0
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Instituto W75271%69.059.3+9.7
8 Velez Sarsfield W75271%62.457.3+5.1
9 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
10 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
11 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
12 Ferro W84450%72.162.2+9.9
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
15 Penarol W61517%53.264.3-11.2
16 El Bigua W71614%58.667.9-9.3
17 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W5050%29.281.8-52.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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