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Iowa State vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-56
33-24 43-32
Position#50
Record23-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game67.5
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Cincinnati
USA
Position#159
Record18-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Iowa State v Cincinnati
12 Mar 2025
IOWA76
CINC56
15 Feb 2025
IOWA81
CINC70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A04/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H08/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
19-35
33-34
42-24
40-28
32-30
45-35
39-39
42-31
45-28
34-37
22-34
37-34
26-40
42-34
43-30
41-37
24-33
44-35
34-26
39-31
141.5Avg total
74.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.167.5147.7+12.674%
Season at home (18)84.763.9148.6+20.889%
Season away (13)73.872.6146.5+1.254%
Last 10 (10)74.067.5141.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)73.870.8144.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.279.3157.5-1.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.565.6146.1+14.983%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A15/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
45-24
42-36
43-39
39-39
31-42
27-29
32-33
31-24
44-39
39-26
30-41
25-37
39-36
25-22
24-32
36-44
31-34
38-26
49-42
139.6Avg total
70.9Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.065.4136.4+5.656%
Season at home (17)73.462.0135.4+11.471%
Season away (15)68.369.3137.5-1.040%
Last 10 (10)70.968.7139.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)67.268.0135.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.075.5143.5-7.517%
vs Similar (14)63.962.9126.8+0.943%
vs Weaker (10)77.864.9142.7+12.990%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
Iowa StateCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A04/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H08/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A08/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.169.4+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.430.071.4+11.482%-
Last 30 away (13)31.834.866.7-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.964.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.662.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.734.067.7-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.231.669.8+6.567%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
34.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.464.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.530.665.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)31.732.263.9-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.566.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.063.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.737.869.5-6.20%-
vs Similar (14)31.129.961.1+1.250%-
vs Weaker (10)36.629.666.2+7.090%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Iowa State wins
0
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Iowa State v Cincinnati81-70
14/02/24Cincinnati v Iowa State59-68
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AKansas State73-57
05/03/25HBrigham Young85-88 OT
02/03/25HArizona84-67
26/02/25AOklahoma State68-74
22/02/25AHouston59-68
19/02/25HColorado79-65
15/02/25HCincinnati81-70
12/02/25AUCF Knights77-65
08/02/25HTCU82-52
04/02/25AKansas52-69
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AOklahoma State87-68
08/03/25AOklahoma State67-78
06/03/25HKansas State49-54
01/03/25AHouston64-73
26/02/25HBaylor69-67
22/02/25HTCU75-63
20/02/25AWest Virginia59-62
15/02/25AIowa State70-81
12/02/25HUtah Utes85-75
08/02/25HBrigham Young84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW74%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %74%89%54%
Points / game80.184.773.8
Allowed / game67.563.972.6
Point differential+12.6+20.8+1.2
Avg total147.7148.6146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%89%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %10%6%15%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %56%71%40%
Points / game71.073.468.3
Allowed / game65.462.069.3
Point differential+5.6+11.4-1.0
Avg total136.4135.4137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3127487%74.258.1+16.1
2 Texas Tech3124777%81.166.8+14.3
3 Iowa State3123874%80.167.5+12.6
4 Brigham Young3123874%81.470.1+11.3
5 Arizona31201165%82.072.1+9.9
6 Kansas31201165%75.567.9+7.6
7 West Virginia31191261%68.464.7+3.7
8 Baylor31181358%76.769.4+7.4
9 Cincinnati32181456%71.065.4+5.6
10 UCF Knights32171553%78.879.6-0.7
11 Utah Utes32161650%75.372.2+3.1
12 Kansas State32161650%71.369.6+1.7
13 TCU32161650%67.668.7-1.2
14 Oklahoma State32151747%72.676.5-3.9
15 Colorado32131941%70.171.7-1.6
16 Arizona State32131941%73.976.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State334376
Cincinnati243256
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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