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Iowa State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 70-65
32-34 38-31
Position#136
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game53.5
vs
Position#117
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#194
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
41-72
41
72
-31
A11/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A26/03
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
88-39
88
39
+49
H08/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-22
16-31
29-39
39-36
20-39
21-33
24-19
35-35
27-26
27-23
29-32
27-38
45-22
43-17
39-16
41-27
37-26
31-27
34-34
33-33
121.8Avg total
63.1Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.253.5132.8+25.8100%
Season at home (3)78.745.0123.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)81.079.0160.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)63.158.7121.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)74.656.8131.4+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)59.366.2125.5-6.930%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.766.0131.7-0.360%
vs Weaker (5)72.243.4115.6+28.8100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
A19/03
NCAA
UCLA
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A03/04
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A05/04
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
38-51
28-31
45-35
38-19
31-30
34-37
47-40
40-25
29-47
32-21
37-35
43-50
59-36
26-22
46-44
45-26
35-38
40-38
49-43
150.0Avg total
79.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.470.6153.0+11.8100%
Season at home (4)80.868.0148.8+12.8100%
Season away (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.770.3150.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)82.470.6153.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.477.4159.8+5.075%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.369.8139.1-0.467%
vs Weaker (13)81.568.2149.7+13.492%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +1.7+1.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +1.7+1.7
Iowa StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#194
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H03/03
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A11/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A18/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A26/03
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H08/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
39-16
39
16
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/11
NCAA
57.9Avg total
30.4Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.628.759.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.426.558.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)28.531.159.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)30.427.557.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.826.062.8+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.730.057.7-2.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.930.060.9+0.947%-
vs Weaker (5)35.622.057.6+13.6100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A19/03
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/04
NCAA
Kansas
#8
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A05/04
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
36.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.568.7+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.129.467.4+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)35.934.670.5+1.358%-
Last 10 (10)36.829.866.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.468.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.434.872.1+2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.730.862.4+0.967%-
vs Weaker (13)40.929.970.8+11.085%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa State wins
0
North Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22AVillanova81-79 OT
20/11/22HWisc. Milwaukee68-53
13/11/22HN. Carolina A&T80-43
08/11/22HIUPUI88-39
26/03/22AMiami (FL)56-70
20/03/22AWisconsin54-49
18/03/22ALSU59-54
11/03/22ATexas Tech41-72
05/03/22ABaylor68-75
03/03/22HOklahoma State36-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22APortland89-81
20/11/22HJames Madison80-64
16/11/22HGardner Webb72-66
12/11/22HCharleston102-86
08/11/22HNC Wilmington69-56
05/04/22AKansas69-72
03/04/22ADuke81-77
27/03/22HSt. Peters69-49
26/03/22AUCLA73-66
19/03/22ABaylor93-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.278.781.0
Allowed / game53.545.079.0
Point differential+25.8+33.7+2.0
Avg total132.8123.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.480.889.0
Allowed / game70.668.081.0
Point differential+11.8+12.8+8.0
Avg total153.0148.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston550100%79.248.0+31.2
2 Iowa State440100%79.253.5+25.8
3 Arizona660100%97.578.7+18.8
4 Kansas State660100%76.561.5+15.0
5 Kansas660100%78.567.5+11.0
6 Baylor65183%91.267.7+23.5
7 Arizona State65183%73.760.7+13.0
8 UCF Knights65183%71.058.5+12.5
9 West Virginia54180%78.462.0+16.4
10 TCU43175%77.065.5+11.5
11 Utah Utes64267%67.255.2+12.0
12 Texas Tech64267%70.558.7+11.8
13 Oklahoma State53260%73.265.4+7.8
14 Cincinnati74357%76.070.0+6.0
15 Brigham Young74357%73.372.4+0.9
16 Colorado63350%75.870.7+5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
2 North Carolina550100%82.470.6+11.8
3 Duke76186%72.954.4+18.4
4 NC State65183%83.866.3+17.5
5 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
6 Wake Forest65183%79.268.2+11.0
7 Notre Dame65183%74.770.2+4.5
8 Clemson54180%73.461.2+12.2
9 Boston College64267%66.264.3+1.8
10 Syracuse53260%75.469.4+6.0
11 Georgia Tech53260%68.864.4+4.4
12 Miami (FL)116555%73.869.8+4.0
13 Stanford63350%69.764.5+5.2
14 Pittsburgh63350%69.869.3+0.5
15 SMU Mustangs52340%65.868.2-2.4
16 Florida State71614%67.375.4-8.1
17 California5050%60.467.0-6.6
18 Louisville6060%58.772.0-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State323870
North Carolina343165
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