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IPFW vs Cleveland State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-71
32-43 42-28
Position#181
Record8-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game77.6
IPFW 🏆
USA
vs
Position#303
Record6-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · IPFW v Cleveland State
05 Dec 2026
IPFW v CLEV
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
IPFW74
CLEV71
30 Jan 2025
IPFW58
CLEV68
07 Feb 2024
IPFW72
CLEV75
16 Jan 2023
IPFW60
CLEV72
14 Feb 2022
IPFW102
CLEV98
20 Feb 2021
IPFW55
CLEV67
19 Feb 2021
IPFW75
CLEV68
20 Dec 2020
IPFW80
CLEV89
19 Dec 2020
IPFW61
CLEV63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IPFW winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H28/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A30/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
31-47
37-35
53-42
52-27
40-32
38-47
54-54
29-44
50-33
47-29
33-36
40-33
41-44
27-24
45-45
16-44
39-33
24-30
30-42
152.0Avg total
75.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.177.6158.6+3.550%
Season at home (8)91.468.9160.2+22.588%
Season away (8)70.886.2157.0-15.512%
Last 10 (10)75.576.5152.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)68.472.0140.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.588.0157.5-18.525%
vs Similar (15)96.598.3194.8-1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)97.486.2183.6+11.260%
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H20/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A22/11
NCAA
Waynesburg
#653
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A28/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H14/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H21/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
48-51
25-42
46-49
53-25
56-31
24-46
35-40
33-47
47-48
31-36
28-35
45-22
51-30
37-42
40-59
37-35
34-46
46-38
53-48
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.583.8164.3-3.340%
Season at home (8)83.473.5156.9+9.962%
Season away (7)77.195.6172.7-18.414%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.330%
Last 5 (5)80.478.2158.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.891.2166.0-16.422%
vs Similar (9)71.669.4141.0+2.144%
vs Weaker (10)76.967.4144.3+9.570%
This opponent (IPFW) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.1+0.1
IPFWCleveland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H06/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H01/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.245.591.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.839.890.7+11.067%-
Last 30 away (18)43.149.292.3-6.239%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.769.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.832.062.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.845.574.2-16.80%-
vs Similar (15)47.547.995.3-0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)49.642.792.3+6.970%-
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Waynesburg
#653
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H14/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/12
NCAA
73.0Avg total
35.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.569.9+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.130.665.7+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.039.575.5-3.546%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.273.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.743.975.6-12.211%-
vs Similar (9)35.430.065.4+5.478%-
vs Weaker (10)36.731.167.8+5.670%-
This opponent (IPFW) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
IPFW wins
9
Cleveland State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Cleveland State v IPFW68-57
31/01/25IPFW v Cleveland State58-68
08/02/24IPFW v Cleveland State72-75
20/01/24Cleveland State v IPFW75-68
28/01/23Cleveland State v IPFW79-74
17/01/23IPFW v Cleveland State60-72
15/02/22IPFW v Cleveland State102-98 OT
06/01/22Cleveland State v IPFW65-58
31/12/21Cleveland State v IPFW90-81
03/03/21Cleveland State v IPFW108-104 OT
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HWisc. Green Bay54-72
30/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee55-77
21/12/25ANotre Dame72-69
14/12/25HDetroit81-77
11/12/25HEastern Michigan80-65
06/12/25HNorthern Kentucky79-77
04/12/25AOakland92-101
28/11/25HHoly Cross92-59
26/11/25HChicago State90-77
22/11/25ASt. Louis Billikens60-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HIU Indy99-86
21/12/25HWisc. Milwaukee71-81
18/12/25AUAB77-101
14/12/25HOakland City96-52
06/12/25HDetroit59-71
04/12/25ANorthern Kentucky80-95
28/11/25AMissouri59-86
26/11/25HWaynesburg109-56
22/11/25AKent State71-91
20/11/25HValparaiso75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

IPFW
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%88%12%
Points / game81.191.470.8
Allowed / game77.668.986.2
Point differential+3.5+22.5-15.5
Avg total158.6160.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cleveland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game80.583.477.1
Allowed / game83.873.595.6
Point differential-3.3+9.9-18.4
Avg total164.3156.9172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Kentucky1611569%83.875.1+8.7
2 Robert Morris1611569%77.071.6+5.4
3 Youngstown State158753%79.170.3+8.8
4 IPFW168850%81.177.6+3.5
5 Wright State157847%76.170.6+5.5
6 Wisc. Milwaukee157847%78.279.1-0.9
7 Oakland157847%82.584.2-1.7
8 Wisc. Green Bay157847%73.175.4-2.3
9 Detroit146843%75.777.5-1.8
10 Cleveland State156940%80.583.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
IPFW324274
Cleveland State432871
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