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Ipswich Force vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 96-94
23-21 34-28 18-25 21-20
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game92.7
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Ipswich Force v Brisbane Capitals
26 Apr 2024
IPSW96
BRIS94
06 May 2022
IPSW80
BRIS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
L
104-106
104
106
-2
H15/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H22/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A29/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A04/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
119-98
119
98
+21
A05/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
109-85
109
85
+24
A06/08
NBL1 North
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
88-106
88
106
-18
A18/08
NBL 1
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
91-120
91
120
-29
A19/08
NBL 1
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H13/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A21/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
21-31
30-25
27-24
23-18
25-26
20-12
31-36
18-31
17-19
33-14
19-15
17-24
20-32
29-20
20-24
27-34
34-23
27-29
31-12
31-24
27-22
30-21
21-18
26-30
24-23
20-31
18-22
15-27
27-24
25-43
24-26
22-22
29-33
17-27
14-20
28-17
26-21
14-16
17-24
191.6Avg total
95.0Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.590.0173.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.096.6191.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)91.098.2189.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)96.697.5194.1-0.854%
vs Similar (6)101.5100.3201.8+1.267%
vs Weaker (11)96.392.0188.3+4.373%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#16
W
110-73
110
73
+37
H10/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H17/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A24/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H25/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A07/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A20/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
30-20
24-13
35-24
32-24
26-23
22-23
20-24
26-32
18-27
22-29
28-26
19-31
24-17
28-26
29-24
26-24
24-25
23-25
21-27
23-23
20-24
28-22
19-21
20-19
21-18
15-24
14-25
22-17
33-22
12-26
20-30
21-33
19-17
14-19
19-23
31-28
25-22
17-24
20-17
187.3Avg total
92.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.392.7177.0-8.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)84.392.7177.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)92.494.9187.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)85.293.8179.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.2102.2189.5-15.00%
vs Similar (18)92.593.6186.1-1.139%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.088.4184.4+7.662%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
Ipswich ForceBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H15/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A29/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A04/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A05/08
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/08
NBL1 North
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A18/08
NBL 1
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/08
NBL 1
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H13/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A21/04
NBL1 North
99.0Avg total
48.3Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.648.998.5+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.851.1100.9-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)49.447.296.6+2.265%-
Last 10 (10)48.350.799.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)51.048.699.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)49.450.099.4-0.646%-
vs Similar (6)53.348.2101.5+5.267%-
vs Weaker (11)47.847.995.7-0.164%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H17/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A24/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H25/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A07/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A20/04
NBL1 North
94.3Avg total
48.1Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)46.845.492.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.790.5+5.253%-
Last 30 away (13)45.648.694.2-3.046%-
Last 10 (10)48.146.294.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.691.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.352.094.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (18)46.245.591.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.442.492.9+8.071%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ipswich Force wins
1
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASouthern District85-78
13/04/24HGold Coast Rollers82-102
19/08/23AGeraldton Buccaneers91-120
18/08/23ARockingham Flames88-106
06/08/23AGold Coast Rollers109-85
05/08/23AGold Coast Rollers119-98
04/08/23AGold Coast Rollers86-100
29/07/23ALogan Thunder87-79
22/07/23HCairns Marlins99-92
15/07/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix104-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ARockhampton Rockets93-91
19/04/24AMackay Meteors73-92
12/04/24ANorthside Wizards87-95
14/07/23ANorthside Wizards70-86
08/07/23HIpswich Force103-105 OT
07/07/23ASouthern District94-101
25/06/23HUSC Rip City100-98
24/06/23AGold Coast Rollers94-114
17/06/23HRockhampton Rockets100-94
10/06/23HRed City Roar110-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.582.085.0
Allowed / game90.0102.078.0
Point differential-6.5-20.0+7.0
Avg total173.5184.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game84.3-84.3
Allowed / game92.7-92.7
Point differential-8.3--8.3
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cairns Marlins220100%97.081.5+15.5
2 Mackay Meteors220100%95.081.0+14.0
3 Gold Coast Rollers32167%103.794.0+9.7
4 Northside Wizards32167%86.084.7+1.3
5 Logan Thunder21150%102.583.0+19.5
6 Sunshine Coast Phoenix21150%83.583.5+0.0
7 Darwin Salties21150%89.091.5-2.5
8 South West Metro Pirates21150%100.0104.5-4.5
9 Ipswich Force21150%83.590.0-6.5
10 Southern District31233%80.381.3-1.0
11 Townsville Heat31233%94.399.0-4.7
12 Brisbane Capitals31233%84.392.7-8.3
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks31233%86.7104.3-17.7
14 Rockhampton Rockets2020%90.595.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force2334182196
Brisbane Capitals2128252094
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