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Ipswich Force vs Townsville Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 82-80
28-26 24-25 6-22 24-7
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game83.8
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Ipswich Force v Townsville Heat
24 May 2025
IPSW82
TOWN80
21 Apr 2023
IPSW99
TOWN94
05 Jun 2021
IPSW73
TOWN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
85-113
85
113
-28
A13/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H17/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
22-34
23-20
23-23
29-18
30-24
20-26
32-14
24-26
19-22
26-23
21-24
23-26
23-11
24-23
20-11
14-30
27-15
17-19
22-12
21-30
15-34
14-16
37-15
23-27
18-21
29-30
15-35
25-25
20-28
28-16
15-29
19-18
24-16
20-18
13-21
20-18
29-30
23-19
21-19
178.8Avg total
88.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.785.7171.3+0.067%
Season at home (2)84.579.5164.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.989.9178.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.893.0178.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)90.594.8185.4-4.341%
vs Similar ◀ (8)95.096.6191.6-1.638%
vs Weaker (5)95.892.8188.6+3.080%
This opponent (Townsville Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville HeatAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H22/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
79-106
79
106
-27
A29/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
113-85
113
85
+28
H13/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H03/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
A09/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A23/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
21-22
24-23
20-20
26-18
22-26
17-29
24-26
10-22
24-26
18-32
27-26
18-25
23-22
15-32
28-21
27-23
21-18
30-29
35-15
20-21
40-24
30-23
21-16
16-20
22-15
34-14
17-18
27-36
21-25
32-21
20-20
22-9
15-23
19-31
15-19
32-22
14-20
20-21
20-21
181.4Avg total
91.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.483.8175.2+7.660%
Season at home (2)91.083.0174.0+8.050%
Season away (3)91.784.3176.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)91.490.0181.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)91.483.8175.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)86.797.6184.2-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.886.9179.8+5.958%
vs Weaker (2)104.096.5200.5+7.550%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Ipswich ForceTownsville Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H17/05
NBL1 North
93.2Avg total
44.6Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.548.995.4-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.547.295.8+1.369%-
Last 30 away (17)44.950.295.1-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.693.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.492.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)47.249.896.9-2.641%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.848.994.6-3.150%-
vs Weaker (5)45.246.291.4-1.060%-
This opponent (Townsville Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H03/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A09/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/05
NBL1 North
89.1Avg total
44.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.789.6-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.244.690.9+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.246.988.1-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.389.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.088.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.946.189.1-3.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.044.988.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker (2)51.046.597.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ipswich Force wins
3
Townsville Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HSouth West Metro Pirates93-86
10/05/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix76-73
01/05/25AGold Coast Rollers88-98
13/07/24ATownsville Heat85-113
12/07/24ACairns Marlins87-95
06/07/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks80-76
29/06/24HLogan Thunder90-71
22/06/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix90-95
21/06/24HNorthside Wizards111-82
07/06/24HMackay Meteors89-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/25ALogan Thunder86-84
16/05/25HBrisbane Capitals71-82
10/05/25AMackay Meteors100-102
09/05/25ARockhampton Rockets89-67
03/05/25HCairns Marlins111-84
13/07/24HIpswich Force113-85
06/07/24ADarwin Salties84-100
29/06/24ABrisbane Capitals79-106
28/06/24ASouthern District89-99
22/06/24HSouth West Metro Pirates92-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.784.588.0
Allowed / game85.779.598.0
Point differential+0.0+5.0-10.0
Avg total171.3164.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville Heat
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game91.491.091.7
Allowed / game83.883.084.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.3
Avg total175.2174.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals43175%86.578.0+8.5
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix32167%96.383.3+13.0
3 Ipswich Force32167%85.785.7+0.0
4 Townsville Heat53260%91.483.8+7.6
5 Mackay Meteors53260%98.896.6+2.2
6 Northside Wizards42250%87.284.8+2.5
7 Gold Coast Rollers42250%93.595.8-2.2
8 Southern District42250%89.093.0-4.0
9 Cairns Marlins42250%87.2101.5-14.2
10 South West Metro Pirates31233%88.092.0-4.0
11 Logan Thunder51420%90.890.0+0.8
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force282462482
Townsville Heat262522780
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