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IR Reykjavik vs KR Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Projected 91-99
Projected total 190.1
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game102.3
IR Reykjavik
Iceland
Vs
24%
76%
■ IR R 24%■ KR B 76%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
KR Basket
Iceland
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game85.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· IR-Vollur
Other2026-27
Meetings · IR Reykjavik v KR Basket
19 Nov 2026
IR R v KR B
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
IR R102
KR B99
06 Mar 2025
IR R97
KR B96
09 Mar 2023
IR R82
KR B85
18 Nov 2021
IR R107
KR B85
Sections
Game preview & prediction

IR Reykjavik will host KR Basket on 19 November 2026 in the Premier league, with the model designating KR Basket as the favourite, a 76% chance of victory versus 24% for the hosts, driven by KR's flawless 6-0 record, 100.7 points per game and 85.8 allowed per game, the best in the league, compared with IR Reykjavik's 1-5 record, 92.3 points per game and 102.3 allowed per game. KR's recent five games are all wins, including a 112-92 home victory over Hottur, a 102-94 road win against Alftanes and a 107-102 home win over Sindri, while IR Reykjavik has lost its last five, most recently 90-100 to Keflavik at home. In the eight meetings between the clubs, IR Reykjavik has five wins to KR's three, with the last encounter ending 102-99 in favour of the hosts on 19 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 91-99 score for the game, a total of 190.1 points and a 4% chance of overtime; the home team's line is 91-99 with a 24% probability of covering. KR Basket's recent form and defensive strength suggest they will maintain their edge in this matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IR Reykjavik win
23.9%fair 4.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KR Basket win
76.1%fair 1.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 86
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
99avg 86
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 86
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-125
87
125
-38
77avg 86
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 86
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
88-119
88
119
-31
75avg 86
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 86
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 86
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-25
24-20
22-20
24-26
23-28
30-24
22-30
25-21
14-26
18-23
33-28
22-29
26-23
11-43
28-30
32-19
24-25
28-22
13-25
25-31
27-29
19-31
17-28
25-28
29-27
18-27
24-26
22-21
15-23
26-37
33-21
22-24
28-16
17-29
23-31
20-19
23-23
18-27
26-25
195.0Avg total
92.3Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.3102.3194.7-10.017%
Season at home (2)89.0109.5198.5-20.50%
Season away (4)94.098.8192.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)92.3102.7195.0-10.420%
Last 5 (5)91.4104.6196.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)91.0102.7193.7-11.719%
vs Similar (7)91.785.7177.4+6.071%
vs Weaker (6)92.285.7177.8+6.550%
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 95
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 95
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
69avg 95
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
115-118 OT
115
118
-3
110avg 95
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
80avg 95
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
88avg 95
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
107avg 95
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
107-102
107
102
+5
106avg 95
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
102-94
102
94
+8
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-92
112
92
+20
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
24-23
9-24
22-22
20-14
32-29
23-27
16-12
29-32
22-21
13-25
16-26
29-20
26-25
25-27
12-20
18-18
15-20
23-15
35-27
18-24
17-17
27-26
22-6
18-26
35-11
27-23
28-14
19-22
30-20
33-28
25-32
28-20
23-21
22-33
29-20
21-23
29-22
32-33
30-14
189.2Avg total
97.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)100.785.8186.5+14.8100%
Season at home (4)102.885.2188.0+17.5100%
Season away (2)96.587.0183.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.691.6189.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)102.687.0189.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.4101.9198.2-5.525%
vs Similar (9)94.292.7186.9+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)104.490.8195.2+13.792%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 179.5
Over 179.5
73.3%
Under 179.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 184.5
Over 184.5
62.4%
Under 184.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 189.5
Over 189.5
50.4%
Under 189.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

IR Reykjavik total 90
Over 90
53.2%
Under 90
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik total 94
Over 94
37.4%
Under 94
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik total 98
Over 98
23.9%
Under 98
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Basket total 86.5
Over 86.5
89.1%
Under 86.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Basket total 90.5
Over 90.5
80.0%
Under 90.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Basket total 94.5
Over 94.5
67.3%
Under 94.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread IR Reykjavik -3
IR R -3
17.3%
KR B +3
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
IR R
No market prices yet.
KR B
No market prices yet.
Spread IR Reykjavik 0
IR R 0
23.9%
KR B 0
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
IR R
No market prices yet.
KR B
No market prices yet.
Spread IR Reykjavik +3
IR R +3
30.9%
KR B -3
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
IR R
No market prices yet.
KR B
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
IR ReykjavikKR Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A09/11
Premier league
95.3Avg total
47.3Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.394.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.448.194.4-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)45.848.594.3-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)47.348.095.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.295.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.950.896.7-4.925%-
vs Similar (7)49.944.494.3+5.486%-
vs Weaker (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H12/11
Premier league
92.0Avg total
48.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.346.196.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.543.493.9+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)50.149.199.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.692.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.288.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.949.6101.5+2.262%-
vs Similar (9)47.844.191.9+3.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.045.695.6+4.458%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.5
54.5%
56.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.6
41.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
73.9%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KR Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KR Basket: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.1
54.4%
56.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.8
31.5%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
73.9%18.4
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
IR Reykjavik
LLLLLWLLLW
KR Basket
WWWWWWLLWL
#10
League position
#1
-9.0
Net rating
+2.7
100.4
Offensive rating
96.3
109.4
Defensive rating
93.6
57.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.6%
3-point %
31.5%
60.1%
Assist %
69.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 96.3Defence109.4 · 93.6Shooting57.7% · 51.5%3-point %41.6% · 31.5%Ball care15.9% · 12.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ IR Reykjavik   ■ KR Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
IR Reykjavik wins
3
KR Basket wins
DateGameScore
19/03/26IR Reykjavik v KR Basket102-99
11/12/25KR Basket v IR Reykjavik102-96
06/03/25IR Reykjavik v KR Basket97-96
05/12/24KR Basket v IR Reykjavik95-97
09/03/23IR Reykjavik v KR Basket82-85
01/12/22KR Basket v IR Reykjavik88-95
04/03/22KR Basket v IR Reykjavik93-80
18/11/21IR Reykjavik v KR Basket107-85
IR Reykjaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26ATindastoll87-94
05/11/26HKeflavik90-100
29/10/26AStjarnan96-102
22/10/26AHottur96-108
15/10/26HAlftanes88-119
08/10/26ASindri97-91
11/04/26ATindastoll87-125
07/04/26HTindastoll90-98
02/04/26ATindastoll99-108
26/03/26AValur93-82
KR Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HHottur112-92
05/11/26AAlftanes102-94
29/10/26HSindri107-102
22/10/26HArmann108-74
15/10/26HNjardvik84-73
09/10/26AGrindavik91-80
14/04/26HStjarnan115-118 OT
10/04/26AStjarnan80-104
06/04/26HStjarnan91-82
01/04/26AStjarnan86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game92.389.094.0
Allowed / game102.3109.598.8
Point differential-10.0-20.5-4.8
Avg total194.7198.5192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
KR Basket
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.7102.896.5
Allowed / game85.885.287.0
Point differential+14.8+17.5+9.5
Avg total186.5188.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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