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Iran vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 89-82
21-20 19-28 26-15 23-19
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game66.8
Iran 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeAsian GamesAsian Games - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Iran v South Korea
04 Oct 2023
IRAN89
SOUT82
19 Aug 2017
IRAN87
SOUT81
01 Oct 2015
IRAN75
SOUT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/02
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
59-100
59
100
-41
H26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A28/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H30/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A31/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H03/10
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-25
10-16
16-25
12-33
13-24
21-25
13-18
20-15
15-22
21-17
13-17
17-16
17-27
18-21
13-21
12-9
15-26
9-19
19-28
13-20
23-28
13-14
24-19
23-24
18-20
22-9
18-4
21-11
17-17
23-10
20-28
20-16
15-9
30-19
21-16
22-28
14-20
18-23
29-13
149.8Avg total
72.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.866.8149.5+16.075%
Season at home (3)83.367.0150.3+16.367%
Season away (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.677.2149.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)80.869.6150.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.277.8142.0-13.515%
vs Similar (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.966.1149.0+16.779%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#5
L
57-96
57
96
-39
H01/07
Olympic Games
China
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A12/07
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H14/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H16/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A03/10
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
18-21
9-27
14-20
19-19
24-26
22-14
28-22
22-20
29-15
22-21
14-17
19-12
19-30
22-19
18-12
23-26
23-14
14-20
18-28
20-8
30-23
22-13
23-11
22-13
21-16
24-18
9-17
17-23
20-20
16-18
24-22
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
156.9Avg total
79.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.271.8153.0+9.460%
Season at home (2)91.564.0155.5+27.5100%
Season away (3)74.377.0151.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)79.977.0156.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)81.271.8153.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.791.6161.3-21.90%
vs Similar (7)82.078.0160.0+4.057%
vs Weaker (16)90.572.5163.0+18.088%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
IranSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A26/02
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
25-57
25
57
-32
H26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H30/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A31/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H03/10
Asian Games
76.5Avg total
35.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.038.675.6-1.652%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.640.577.1-3.944%-
Last 30 away (13)37.636.273.8+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.076.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.243.776.9-10.417%-
vs Similar (3)40.337.077.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.634.674.1+5.079%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/07
Olympic Games
China
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/07
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H16/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
82.6Avg total
42.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.878.4+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.937.678.5+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.078.4+2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.082.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.746.078.7-13.30%-
vs Similar (7)40.638.378.9+2.343%-
vs Weaker (16)44.233.978.1+10.275%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Iran wins
1
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
30/08/18South Korea v Iran68-80
19/08/17Iran v South Korea87-81
01/10/15Iran v South Korea75-62
03/10/14South Korea v Iran79-77
02/08/13South Korea v Iran65-76
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HPhilippines83-84
30/09/23HKazakhstan86-60
28/09/23ASaudi Arabia81-66
26/09/23HUnited Arab Emirates81-57
02/09/23HLebanon73-81
31/08/23AFrance55-82
30/08/23HSpain65-85
28/08/23AIvory Coast69-71
26/08/23HBrazil59-100
26/02/23AChina74-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
30/09/23AJapan77-83
28/09/23AQatar76-64
26/09/23HIndonesia95-55
21/07/22HNew Zealand78-88
16/07/22HBahrain78-73
14/07/22HChinese Taipei87-73
12/07/22AChina93-81
01/07/21HLithuania57-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game82.883.381.0
Allowed / game66.867.066.0
Point differential+16.0+16.3+15.0
Avg total149.5150.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game81.291.574.3
Allowed / game71.864.077.0
Point differential+9.4+27.5-2.7
Avg total153.0155.5151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 China440100%89.259.8+29.5
2 Jordan440100%86.060.5+25.5
3 Philippines54180%80.468.8+11.6
4 Chinese Taipei54180%79.270.8+8.4
5 Iran43175%82.866.8+16.0
6 Japan43175%78.570.5+8.0
7 South Korea53260%81.271.8+9.4
8 Saudi Arabia53260%75.671.6+4.0
9 Bahrain41325%67.580.8-13.2
10 Kazakhstan41325%60.876.0-15.2
11 Qatar41325%60.579.5-19.0
12 Hong Kong41325%63.283.8-20.5
13 United Arab Emirates3030%57.771.3-13.7
14 Mongolia3030%63.078.7-15.7
15 Indonesia3030%59.779.7-20.0
16 Thailand3030%65.786.7-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iran2119262389
South Korea2028151982
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