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Japan vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-77
23-17 20-20 18-16 22-24
Position#8
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game60.0
Japan 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game59.5
EuropeAsian Games
Other2023
Meetings · Japan v South Korea
01 Mar 2026
JAPA78
SOUT72
30 Sep 2023
JAPA83
SOUT77
14 Aug 2017
JAPA68
SOUT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
A29/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A28/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
29-13
28-19
8-15
22-16
30-13
23-16
21-16
32-19
19-16
22-22
22-15
11-23
20-30
16-16
16-12
22-15
14-31
27-27
35-15
17-25
18-32
35-30
19-22
15-19
21-22
17-21
33-15
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
159.3Avg total
85.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.560.0142.5+22.5100%
Season at home (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)70.057.0127.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.374.0159.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)84.075.4159.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.995.6167.4-23.70%
vs Similar (8)77.886.6164.4-8.925%
vs Weaker (15)88.564.8153.3+23.793%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#21
W
120-53
120
53
+67
A19/06
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A20/06
Asia Cup
Venezuela
#15
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A30/06
Olympic Games
Lithuania
#5
L
57-96
57
96
-39
H01/07
Olympic Games
China
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A12/07
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H14/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H16/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A28/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
37-6
25-14
35-21
20-18
14-20
20-18
23-26
18-27
20-29
28-14
14-24
16-28
18-21
9-27
14-20
19-19
24-26
22-14
28-22
22-20
29-15
22-21
14-17
19-12
19-30
22-19
18-12
23-26
23-14
14-20
18-28
20-8
30-23
22-13
23-11
22-13
21-16
24-18
9-17
160.0Avg total
84.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.559.5145.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)95.055.0150.0+40.0100%
Season away (1)76.064.0140.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.175.9160.0+8.260%
Last 5 (5)82.870.6153.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.792.8162.5-23.20%
vs Similar (8)83.178.5161.6+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.272.1166.4+22.194%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
JapanSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A29/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
82.3Avg total
43.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.579.9-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.438.477.8+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.582.1-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.382.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.949.482.3-16.60%-
vs Similar (8)32.944.477.2-11.512%-
vs Weaker (15)46.134.280.3+11.973%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#21
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A19/06
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A20/06
Asia Cup
Venezuela
#15
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A30/06
Olympic Games
Lithuania
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/07
Olympic Games
China
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/07
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H16/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/09
Asian Games
82.0Avg total
43.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.279.2+4.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.237.679.8+4.656%-
Last 30 away (12)41.636.678.2+5.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.382.0+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.481.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.345.378.7-12.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.839.079.8+1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.833.279.1+12.681%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Japan wins
3
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
14/08/17Japan v South Korea68-81
01/10/14South Korea v Japan71-63
25/11/10South Korea v Japan55-51
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71
31/08/23HVenezuela86-77
29/08/23AAustralia89-109
27/08/23HFinland98-88
25/08/23AGermany63-81
26/02/23HBahrain95-72
23/02/23HIran96-61
14/11/22AKazakhstan81-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AQatar76-64
26/09/23HIndonesia95-55
21/07/22HNew Zealand78-88
16/07/22HBahrain78-73
14/07/22HChinese Taipei87-73
12/07/22AChina93-81
01/07/21HLithuania57-96
30/06/21AVenezuela80-94
20/06/21APhilippines77-82
19/06/21AThailand120-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.595.070.0
Allowed / game60.063.057.0
Point differential+22.5+32.0+13.0
Avg total142.5158.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.595.076.0
Allowed / game59.555.064.0
Point differential+26.0+40.0+12.0
Avg total145.0150.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 China220100%89.059.5+29.5
2 Jordan220100%90.561.5+29.0
3 South Korea220100%85.559.5+26.0
4 Japan220100%82.560.0+22.5
5 Philippines220100%88.066.5+21.5
6 Iran220100%81.061.5+19.5
7 Saudi Arabia21150%76.071.5+4.5
8 Chinese Taipei21150%75.075.5-0.5
9 Hong Kong21150%65.572.5-7.0
10 Kazakhstan21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 United Arab Emirates2020%53.070.0-17.0
12 Mongolia2020%57.079.0-22.0
13 Qatar2020%63.585.5-22.0
14 Thailand2020%67.592.0-24.5
15 Bahrain2020%60.586.5-26.0
16 Indonesia2020%56.082.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan2320182283
South Korea1720162477
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