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Italy U18 vs Bulgaria U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 67-57
25-20 20-8 10-22 12-7
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#16
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#14
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A17/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A19/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H18/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
97-48
97
48
+49
A19/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
England U18
#10
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
27-15
17-6
17-15
19-20
9-15
13-22
28-19
25-16
5-21
18-19
15-14
25-13
20-12
23-19
16-21
16-28
16-16
16-24
13-20
17-6
30-14
27-16
23-12
20-15
23-26
8-17
19-11
18-26
21-11
17-17
12-21
12-2
12-14
12-8
21-13
18-21
12-19
25-31
23-21
139.4Avg total
72.3Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.868.2140.0+3.750%
Season at home (3)66.377.3143.7-11.033%
Season away (3)77.359.0136.3+18.367%
Last 10 (10)72.367.1139.4+5.250%
Last 5 (5)74.064.2138.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.478.8145.2-12.50%
vs Similar (11)73.377.6150.9-4.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.459.4141.8+23.0100%
This opponent (Bulgaria U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#1
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A15/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H17/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#8
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#10
L
65-84
65
84
-19
H19/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A18/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#9
L
48-97
48
97
-49
H19/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
23-11
20-18
14-18
15-20
24-20
21-26
19-22
16-24
21-12
18-26
9-19
13-25
12-20
19-23
21-16
20-24
15-27
12-18
10-16
6-17
14-30
16-27
12-23
18-19
11-24
14-14
14-12
19-22
13-13
15-28
18-25
22-22
15-15
30-23
10-25
18-14
21-22
10-8
7-22
146.0Avg total
65.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.081.7141.7-21.70%
Season at home (4)59.579.2138.8-19.80%
Season away (2)61.086.5147.5-25.50%
Last 10 (10)65.280.8146.0-15.610%
Last 5 (5)60.681.0141.6-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.979.8144.7-14.911%
vs Similar (5)72.473.6146.0-1.240%
vs Weaker (7)78.361.9140.1+16.4100%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -6.4-6.4
Italy U18Bulgaria U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U18
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A17/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A19/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
47-20
47
20
+27
A19/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
England U18
#10
W
24-16
24
16
+8
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
68.5Avg total
36.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.971.1+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.536.172.5+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)35.934.069.9+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.032.568.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.867.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.137.570.6-4.536%-
vs Similar (11)35.437.272.5-1.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.528.169.6+13.488%-
This opponent (Bulgaria U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#1
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A15/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#10
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H19/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#9
L
20-47
20
47
-27
H19/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
74.2Avg total
34.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.571.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.834.369.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.736.874.5+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.974.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.671.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.838.972.8-5.122%-
vs Similar (5)38.034.472.4+3.6100%-
vs Weaker (7)40.727.368.0+13.4100%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Italy U18 wins
0
Bulgaria U18 wins
DateGameScore
19/07/13Bulgaria U18 v Italy U1848-97
19/08/12Bulgaria U18 v Italy U1865-84
22/07/10Bulgaria U18 v Italy U1856-75
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/13ACroatia U1878-92
23/07/13AEngland U1857-37
22/07/13HTurkey U1868-75
20/07/13HLatvia U1870-69
19/07/13ABulgaria U1897-48
18/07/13HSpain U1861-88
19/08/12ABulgaria U1884-65
18/08/12ASpain U1863-70
17/08/12ACroatia U1869-76
15/08/12HUkraine U1876-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/13HUkraine U1856-66
23/07/13HSlovenia U1877-85
22/07/13AGreece U1865-88
20/07/13HSpain U1857-69
19/07/13HItaly U1848-97
18/07/13ALatvia U1857-85
19/08/12HItaly U1865-84
18/08/12ALatvia U1864-81
17/08/12HSerbia U1879-88
15/08/12ACroatia U1884-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game71.866.377.3
Allowed / game68.277.359.0
Point differential+3.7-11.0+18.3
Avg total140.0143.7136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria U18
EuroBasket U18 2013
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.059.561.0
Allowed / game81.779.286.5
Point differential-21.7-19.8-25.5
Avg total141.7138.8147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia U1864267%83.062.2+20.8
2 Greece U1864267%72.061.3+10.7
3 Latvia U1864267%70.362.2+8.2
4 Lithuania U1864267%73.265.2+8.0
5 Spain U1864267%70.765.0+5.7
6 France U1864267%64.859.3+5.5
7 Turkey U1864267%75.871.5+4.3
8 Russia U1864267%67.369.8-2.5
9 Croatia U1863350%77.768.7+9.0
10 Italy U1863350%71.868.2+3.7
11 Ukraine U1863350%66.875.7-8.8
12 Czech Republic U1863350%67.778.2-10.5
13 England U1862433%64.072.8-8.8
14 Slovenia U1861517%63.874.3-10.5
15 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1861517%54.267.2-13.0
16 Bulgaria U186060%60.081.7-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U182520101267
Bulgaria U1820822757
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