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Italy U18 vs England U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 08:45
Final 59-69
15-11 14-14 9-21 21-23
Position#9
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game69.6
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 9th place
Other2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
England U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U18
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A19/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H18/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
97-48
97
48
+49
A19/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
England U18
#10
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#2
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
5-21
18-19
15-14
25-13
20-12
23-19
16-21
16-28
16-16
16-24
13-20
17-6
30-14
27-16
23-12
20-15
23-26
8-17
19-11
18-26
21-11
17-17
12-21
12-2
12-14
12-8
21-13
18-21
12-19
25-31
23-21
25-20
20-8
10-22
12-7
18-21
20-12
20-18
24-11
139.0Avg total
72.7Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.566.0138.5+6.562%
Season at home (5)69.670.2139.8-0.660%
Season away (3)77.359.0136.3+18.367%
Last 10 (10)72.766.3139.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)70.464.6135.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.076.5142.5-10.59%
vs Similar (10)71.875.7147.5-3.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.759.1139.8+21.6100%
This opponent (England U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
England U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#1
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H18/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H19/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Turkey U18
#1
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A18/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H19/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#9
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
10-18
11-17
17-16
19-16
20-14
21-15
13-14
18-21
18-13
16-21
6-21
21-22
13-19
25-16
34-24
12-21
21-25
12-24
20-19
18-14
10-19
17-20
18-10
2-12
14-12
8-12
13-21
13-17
8-20
17-19
18-12
14-15
17-15
21-15
19-13
20-19
23-16
19-18
23-9
135.6Avg total
67.6Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.569.6137.1-2.150%
Season at home (5)68.270.2138.4-2.060%
Season away (3)66.368.7135.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)67.668.0135.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)64.862.2127.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)60.369.0129.3-8.733%
vs Similar (2)59.063.5122.5-4.50%
vs Weaker (9)76.658.2134.8+18.3100%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Italy U18England U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U18
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A18/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A19/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
47-20
47
20
+27
A19/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
England U18
#10
W
24-16
24
16
+8
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
69.4Avg total
37.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.770.2+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.134.571.6+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.933.068.9+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.169.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.866.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.236.369.5-3.145%-
vs Similar (10)35.335.971.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.928.170.0+13.889%-
This opponent (England U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
England U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H18/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H19/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Turkey U18
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A18/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H20/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#9
L
16-24
16
24
-8
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#7
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
65.7Avg total
31.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)33.831.565.3+2.459%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.931.063.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (7)35.132.167.3+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.165.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)27.831.859.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.534.262.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (2)33.528.061.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (9)37.430.467.9+7.067%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U18 wins
0
England U18 wins
DateGameScore
23/07/13England U18 v Italy U1837-57
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/13HGreece U1882-62
26/07/13HBulgaria U1867-57
24/07/13ACroatia U1878-92
23/07/13AEngland U1857-37
22/07/13HTurkey U1868-75
20/07/13HLatvia U1870-69
19/07/13ABulgaria U1897-48
18/07/13HSpain U1861-88
19/08/12ABulgaria U1884-65
18/08/12ASpain U1863-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/13ACzech Republic U1885-62
26/07/13HUkraine U1871-58
24/07/13ALatvia U1856-68
23/07/13HItaly U1837-57
22/07/13HSpain U1875-66 OT
20/07/13HCroatia U1865-89
19/07/13HUkraine U1893-81
18/07/13ATurkey U1858-76
19/08/12HFinland U1873-59
18/08/12HBosnia & Herzegovina U1863-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game72.569.677.3
Allowed / game66.070.259.0
Point differential+6.5-0.6+18.3
Avg total138.5139.8136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
England U18
EuroBasket U18 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game67.568.266.3
Allowed / game69.670.268.7
Point differential-2.1-2.0-2.3
Avg total137.1138.4135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turkey U1886275%75.471.4+4.0
2 Serbia U1885362%80.263.8+16.5
3 Greece U1885362%69.660.8+8.9
4 Croatia U1885362%77.569.0+8.5
5 Latvia U1885362%70.162.4+7.8
6 Italy U1885362%72.566.0+6.5
7 Spain U1885362%70.965.8+5.1
8 Lithuania U1885362%72.167.4+4.8
9 France U1884450%64.262.6+1.6
10 England U1884450%67.569.6-2.1
11 Russia U1884450%69.173.1-4.0
12 Ukraine U1884450%65.973.5-7.6
13 Czech Republic U1884450%69.479.1-9.8
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1882625%54.165.4-11.2
15 Slovenia U1881712%65.675.1-9.5
16 Bulgaria U188080%59.278.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U18151492159
England U181114212369
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