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Italy U18 vs Latvia U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-68
24-17 23-21 16-17 23-13
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#12
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 3rd place
Other2025
Meetings · Italy U18 v Latvia U18
03 Aug 2025
ITAL86
LATV68
03 Aug 2024
ITAL67
LATV59
31 Jul 2018
ITAL68
LATV90
24 Jul 2014
ITAL72
LATV55
20 Jul 2013
ITAL70
LATV69
27 Jul 2011
ITAL85
LATV83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U18
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#10
W
91-51
91
51
+40
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Austria U18
#14
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
18-26
12-21
34-21
23-15
24-14
23-22
20-26
13-17
9-17
30-9
15-16
8-8
23-30
25-12
14-18
20-18
29-17
17-18
19-18
23-15
27-19
23-11
18-6
19-13
17-10
30-10
15-21
16-7
25-16
35-22
25-12
19-19
25-19
18-11
33-17
25-16
11-18
13-26
13-24
150.8Avg total
82.7Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.863.8149.7+22.083%
Season at home (4)85.869.5155.2+16.275%
Season away (2)86.052.5138.5+33.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.768.1150.8+14.680%
Last 5 (5)86.062.4148.4+23.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.075.8137.8-13.80%
vs Similar (8)79.576.1155.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.565.5148.0+16.994%
This opponent (Latvia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#3
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#13
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#5
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
L
66-89
66
89
-23
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#13
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#3
L
63-92
63
92
-29
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-16
27-23
15-18
21-20
20-18
15-12
16-10
17-13
17-9
9-30
16-15
17-22
15-24
21-12
13-31
21-29
18-30
19-25
15-19
16-17
13-22
17-21
27-28
16-39
22-32
13-10
25-12
27-24
17-17
21-21
36-32
25-18
12-26
20-17
23-18
19-19
15-34
21-20
8-19
160.4Avg total
74.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.791.5169.2-13.833%
Season at home (2)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Season away (4)82.592.2174.8-9.850%
Last 10 (10)74.885.6160.4-10.830%
Last 5 (5)78.689.2167.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.588.4163.9-12.815%
vs Similar (4)68.571.0139.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (13)79.270.3149.5+8.877%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Italy U18Latvia U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U18
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Austria U18
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
73.5Avg total
39.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.272.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.132.669.7+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.136.075.1+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.073.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.430.471.8+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.235.870.0-1.620%-
vs Similar (8)38.137.976.0+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.231.971.1+7.276%-
This opponent (Latvia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U18
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#5
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#13
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#6
L
38-71
38
71
-33
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
81.2Avg total
36.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.578.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.675.9-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.380.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.344.981.2-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.449.686.0-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.944.683.5-5.723%-
vs Similar (4)35.239.274.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker (13)40.334.574.8+5.869%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Italy U18 wins
1
Latvia U18 wins
DateGameScore
03/08/24Italy U18 v Latvia U1867-59
29/07/24Latvia U18 v Italy U1870-90
31/07/18Italy U18 v Latvia U1868-90
24/07/14Italy U18 v Latvia U1872-55
20/07/13Italy U18 v Latvia U1870-69
27/07/11Italy U18 v Latvia U1885-83 OT
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HSpain U1862-84
31/07/25HSerbia U1895-66
30/07/25HAustria U18101-57
28/07/25AIsrael U1881-54
27/07/25ABulgaria U1891-51
26/07/25HGermany U1885-71
04/08/24HGreece U1870-68
03/08/24HLatvia U1867-59
01/08/24ADenmark U1890-77
31/07/24HLithuania U1885-94
Latvia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HFrance U1863-92
31/07/25AGermany U1880-79
30/07/25ALithuania U18101-94
28/07/25ASlovenia U1876-93
27/07/25HBelgium U1873-88
26/07/25ASpain U1873-103
04/08/24HTurkey U1866-89
03/08/24AItaly U1859-67
01/08/24ACroatia U1872-60
31/07/24ASlovenia U1885-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game85.885.886.0
Allowed / game63.869.552.5
Point differential+22.0+16.2+33.5
Avg total149.7155.2138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia U18
EuroBasket U18 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.768.082.5
Allowed / game91.590.092.2
Point differential-13.8-22.0-9.8
Avg total169.2158.0174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18660100%90.257.7+32.5
2 France U18660100%86.357.8+28.5
3 Lithuania U1876186%100.774.4+26.3
4 Italy U1865183%85.863.8+22.0
5 Serbia U1875271%84.066.0+18.0
6 Slovenia U1874357%84.075.6+8.4
7 Turkey U1863350%68.870.7-1.8
8 Greece U1873443%79.984.4-4.6
9 Bulgaria U1873443%75.380.9-5.6
10 Israel U1873443%71.781.1-9.4
11 Germany U1862433%79.076.5+2.5
12 Latvia U1862433%77.791.5-13.8
13 Belgium U1872529%64.386.4-22.1
14 Austria U1871614%71.691.9-20.3
15 Sweden U1871614%65.088.0-23.0
16 North Macedonia U1871614%65.092.6-27.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U182423162386
Latvia U181721171368
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