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Italy U18 vs Serbia U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 95-66
19-19 25-19 18-11 33-17
Position#4
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game58.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game61.8
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Italy U18 v Serbia U18
31 Jul 2025
ITAL95
SERB66
27 Jul 2024
ITAL72
SERB78
30 Jul 2017
ITAL46
SERB63
01 Apr 2016
ITAL75
SERB77
13 Aug 2012
ITAL74
SERB78
30 Jul 2011
ITAL61
SERB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel U18
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#10
W
91-51
91
51
+40
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Austria U18
#14
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
27-20
18-14
24-21
18-15
22-23
23-12
27-20
21-26
18-26
12-21
34-21
23-15
24-14
23-22
20-26
13-17
9-17
30-9
15-16
8-8
23-30
25-12
14-18
20-18
29-17
17-18
19-18
23-15
27-19
23-11
18-6
19-13
17-10
30-10
15-21
16-7
25-16
35-22
25-12
153.0Avg total
84.9Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.558.2147.8+31.2100%
Season at home (2)93.064.0157.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)86.052.5138.5+33.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.968.1153.0+16.890%
Last 5 (5)85.660.2145.8+25.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.672.4133.0-11.80%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.377.6154.9-0.357%
vs Weaker (18)81.065.4146.4+15.689%
This opponent (Serbia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
101-73
101
73
+28
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
115-114 OT
115
114
+1
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
W
96-63
96
63
+33
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#16
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#13
W
106-36
106
36
+70
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
28-25
21-11
20-22
26-16
22-24
25-16
28-17
21-16
16-10
22-24
22-17
24-18
25-21
20-21
19-16
23-18
17-26
26-19
23-26
19-33
26-18
13-16
25-26
23-19
25-10
24-20
24-14
26-20
14-15
16-26
25-28
24-8
25-15
18-21
22-15
28-9
30-6
26-8
22-13
168.5Avg total
93.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.061.8154.8+31.275%
Season at home (3)92.061.3153.3+30.767%
Season away (1)96.063.0159.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.375.2168.5+18.180%
Last 5 (5)91.068.0159.0+23.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.577.2146.8-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.070.8140.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (22)87.265.5152.7+21.7100%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
Italy U18Serbia U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel U18
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/07
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Austria U18
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
75.3Avg total
40.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.670.9+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.732.168.8+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.735.072.7+2.744%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.175.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.430.672.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.233.464.6-2.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.337.975.1-0.629%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.170.9+6.872%-
This opponent (Serbia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#15
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#16
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Belgium U18
#13
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
81.7Avg total
46.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.233.574.7+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.932.873.7+8.180%-
Last 30 away (10)41.835.076.8+6.860%-
Last 10 (10)46.635.181.7+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.030.678.6+17.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.537.270.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.039.075.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker (22)43.531.975.4+11.686%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U18 wins
6
Serbia U18 wins
DateGameScore
27/07/24Italy U18 v Serbia U1872-78
04/08/19Serbia U18 v Italy U1872-81
30/07/17Italy U18 v Serbia U1846-63
01/04/16Italy U18 v Serbia U1875-77 OT
13/08/12Italy U18 v Serbia U1874-78
30/07/11Italy U18 v Serbia U1861-67
28/07/10Serbia U18 v Italy U1897-52
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/25HAustria U18101-57
28/07/25AIsrael U1881-54
27/07/25ABulgaria U1891-51
26/07/25HGermany U1885-71
04/08/24HGreece U1870-68
03/08/24HLatvia U1867-59
01/08/24ADenmark U1890-77
31/07/24HLithuania U1885-94
29/07/24ALatvia U1890-70
28/07/24AIsrael U1889-80
Serbia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/25HBelgium U18106-36
28/07/25HNorth Macedonia U1889-59
27/07/25HLithuania U1881-89
26/07/25AGreece U1896-63
04/08/24AGermany U1883-93
03/08/24HIsrael U18115-114 OT
01/08/24ABelgium U1888-76
31/07/24HFinland U1881-67
29/07/24HIsrael U18101-73
28/07/24HLatvia U1893-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.593.086.0
Allowed / game58.264.052.5
Point differential+31.2+29.0+33.5
Avg total147.8157.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia U18
EuroBasket U18 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game93.092.096.0
Allowed / game61.861.363.0
Point differential+31.2+30.7+33.0
Avg total154.8153.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18550100%91.456.8+34.6
2 Italy U18440100%89.558.2+31.2
3 France U18550100%85.256.8+28.4
4 Serbia U1843175%93.061.8+31.2
5 Lithuania U1843175%101.881.0+20.8
6 Slovenia U1853260%85.675.4+10.2
7 Turkey U1853260%72.469.6+2.8
8 Germany U1842250%79.272.0+7.2
9 Greece U1852340%78.284.6-6.4
10 Israel U1852340%68.475.2-6.8
11 Latvia U1841325%80.894.5-13.8
12 Sweden U1841325%61.587.2-25.8
13 Belgium U1841325%56.593.0-36.5
14 Bulgaria U1851420%71.484.0-12.6
15 Austria U184040%65.893.2-27.5
16 North Macedonia U185050%57.497.2-39.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U181925183395
Serbia U181919111766
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