Italy U18 vs Spain U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Aug 2025

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 62-84

25-16 11-18 13-26 13-24

Position#4

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.6

Allowed / game59.8

Italy U18

Spain U18 🏆

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.4

Allowed / game56.8

EuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Semi-finals

Other2025

Meetings · Italy U18 v Spain U18

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Spain U18 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvia U18

#15

90-70

+20

A29/07

EuroBasket U18

Lithuania U18

85-94

-9

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Denmark U18

#16

90-77

+13

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Latvia U18

#15

67-59

H03/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

70-68

H04/08

EuroBasket U18

Germany U18

85-71

+14

H26/07

EuroBasket U18

Bulgaria U18

#10

91-51

+40

A27/07

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#11

81-54

+27

A28/07

EuroBasket U18

Austria U18

#14

101-57

101

+44

H30/07

EuroBasket U18

Serbia U18

95-66

+29

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

18-15

22-23

23-12

27-20

21-26

18-26

12-21

34-21

23-15

24-14

23-22

20-26

13-17

9-17

30-9

15-16

8-8

23-30

25-12

14-18

20-18

29-17

17-18

19-18

23-15

27-19

23-11

18-6

19-13

17-10

30-10

15-21

16-7

25-16

35-22

25-12

19-19

25-19

18-11

33-17

152.2Avg total

85.5Scored

66.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	90.6	59.8	150.4	+30.8	100%
Season at home (3)	93.7	64.7	158.3	+29.0	100%
Season away (2)	86.0	52.5	138.5	+33.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	66.7	152.2	+18.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	59.8	150.4	+30.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	60.6	72.4	133.0	-11.8	0%
vs Similar (8)	79.5	76.1	155.6	+3.4	62%
vs Weaker (17)	82.5	65.5	148.0	+16.9	94%

This opponent (Spain U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Spain U18Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania U18

81-84

-3

H29/07

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#11

89-102

102

-13

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

#12

68-84

-16

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Finland U18

#14

71-65

A03/08

EuroBasket U18

Croatia U18

#13

89-71

+18

A04/08

EuroBasket U18

Latvia U18

#12

103-73

103

+30

H26/07

EuroBasket U18

Slovenia U18

97-69

+28

A27/07

EuroBasket U18

Belgium U18

#13

88-50

+38

H28/07

EuroBasket U18

North Macedonia U18

#16

92-38

+54

H30/07

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

77-54

+23

A31/07

EuroBasket U18

24-23

20-16

17-16

20-29

18-19

20-25

19-29

32-29

16-22

13-28

22-25

17-9

18-13

14-27

20-13

19-12

16-20

29-13

22-25

22-13

29-21

30-18

25-19

19-15

30-17

19-14

29-16

19-22

18-18

18-13

28-8

24-11

19-13

23-7

22-13

28-5

12-9

22-12

25-12

18-21

154.5Avg total

85.5Scored

69.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	91.4	56.8	148.2	+34.6	100%
Season at home (3)	94.3	53.7	148.0	+40.7	100%
Season away (2)	87.0	61.5	148.5	+25.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	69.0	154.5	+16.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	56.8	148.2	+34.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	74.0	147.3	-0.7	33%
vs Similar (1)	81.0	84.0	165.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	78.7	60.6	139.3	+18.1	92%

This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Italy U18Spain U18

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	14.7	32.0	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.3	33.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.4	33.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	15.4	32.8	+2.0	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	16.2	34.1	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.9	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	15.1	32.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.6	37.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.2	15.5	34.7	+3.7	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	16.2	40.8	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.8	18.0	31.8	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	21.6	41.9	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.9	16.6	37.5	+4.4	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	14.1	35.2	+6.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	12.8	35.2	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	16.0	38.3	+6.3	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	15.0	35.7	+5.6	69%	-

Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvia U18

#15

40-38

A29/07

EuroBasket U18

Lithuania U18

39-52

-13

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Denmark U18

#16

47-29

+18

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Latvia U18

#15

22-34

-12

H03/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

31-38

-7

H04/08

EuroBasket U18

Germany U18

49-35

+14

H26/07

EuroBasket U18

Bulgaria U18

#10

50-34

+16

A27/07

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#11

36-23

+13

A28/07

EuroBasket U18

Austria U18

#14

41-23

+18

H30/07

EuroBasket U18

Serbia U18

44-38

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

74.3Avg total

39.9Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	33.8	71.3	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	32.5	69.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	35.1	73.0	+2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	34.4	74.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	30.6	74.6	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	31.2	33.4	64.6	-2.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.2	31.9	71.1	+7.2	76%	-

This opponent (Spain U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Spain U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania U18

44-39

H29/07

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#11

38-44

-6

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

#12

29-50

-21

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Finland U18

#14

32-40

-8

A03/08

EuroBasket U18

Croatia U18

#13

45-33

+12

A04/08

EuroBasket U18

Latvia U18

#12

59-39

+20

H26/07

EuroBasket U18

Slovenia U18

49-31

+18

A27/07

EuroBasket U18

Belgium U18

#13

36-31

H28/07

EuroBasket U18

North Macedonia U18

#16

42-20

+22

H30/07

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

34-21

+13

A31/07

EuroBasket U18

75.6Avg total

40.8Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	31.4	71.2	+8.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	31.3	72.8	+10.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	31.4	69.4	+6.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	34.8	75.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	28.4	72.4	+15.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	36.0	74.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	39.9	30.5	70.4	+9.3	77%	-

This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	15.9	35.4	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	15.1	35.3	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	14.8	38.4	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	14.4	39.0	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	11.0	18.6	29.6	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.8	14.8	36.6	+7.0	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	14.9	34.9	+5.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	13.4	33.3	+6.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	13.6	39.4	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	17.0	32.3	-1.7	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	14.6	35.3	+6.1	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.9	40.5	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	14.8	36.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.7	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	16.4	33.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.8	36.4	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	29.0	49.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	18.2	15.5	33.7	+2.7	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	35.5	75.6	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	34.3	75.1	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	36.6	76.1	+2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	32.3	77.9	+13.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	29.2	75.8	+17.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	29.4	39.0	68.4	-9.6	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.1	37.2	77.4	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.3	33.6	76.9	+9.7	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	31.4	69.8	+7.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	30.0	69.0	+9.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	32.9	70.6	+4.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	34.2	78.9	+10.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	28.4	75.8	+19.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.0	38.0	73.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	37.0	45.0	82.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	38.8	30.1	68.9	+8.8	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Italy U18 wins

Spain U18 wins

Date	Game	Score
24/07/23	Spain U18 v Italy U18	78-72
04/08/22	Spain U18 v Italy U18	72-59
05/08/18	Italy U18 v Spain U18	62-80
01/08/17	Italy U18 v Spain U18	68-61
18/12/16	Spain U18 v Italy U18	62-68
03/08/14	Spain U18 v Italy U18	68-65
21/04/14	Spain U18 v Italy U18	67-83
18/07/13	Italy U18 v Spain U18	61-88
18/08/12	Spain U18 v Italy U18	70-63
14/08/12	Spain U18 v Italy U18	78-63

Italy U18last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/07/25	H	Serbia U18	95-66
30/07/25	H	Austria U18	101-57
28/07/25	A	Israel U18	81-54
27/07/25	A	Bulgaria U18	91-51
26/07/25	H	Germany U18	85-71
04/08/24	H	Greece U18	70-68
03/08/24	H	Latvia U18	67-59
01/08/24	A	Denmark U18	90-77
31/07/24	H	Lithuania U18	85-94
29/07/24	A	Latvia U18	90-70

Spain U18last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/07/25	A	Turkey U18	77-54
30/07/25	H	North Macedonia U18	92-38
28/07/25	H	Belgium U18	88-50
27/07/25	A	Slovenia U18	97-69
26/07/25	H	Latvia U18	103-73
04/08/24	A	Croatia U18	89-71
03/08/24	A	Finland U18	71-65
01/08/24	A	Turkey U18	68-84
31/07/24	H	Israel U18	89-102
29/07/24	H	Lithuania U18	81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18

EuroBasket U18 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	90.6	93.7	86.0
Allowed / game	59.8	64.7	52.5
Point differential	+30.8	+29.0	+33.5
Avg total	150.4	158.3	138.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Spain U18

EuroBasket U18 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.4	94.3	87.0
Allowed / game	56.8	53.7	61.5
Point differential	+34.6	+40.7	+25.5
Avg total	148.2	148.0	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Spain U18	5	5	0	100%	91.4	56.8	+34.6
2	Italy U18	5	5	0	100%	90.6	59.8	+30.8
3	France U18	6	6	0	100%	86.3	57.8	+28.5
4	Lithuania U18	6	5	1	83%	99.8	76.0	+23.8
5	Serbia U18	6	4	2	67%	85.7	65.5	+20.2
6	Slovenia U18	6	4	2	67%	86.5	75.8	+10.7
7	Turkey U18	6	3	3	50%	68.8	70.7	-1.8
8	Israel U18	5	2	3	40%	68.4	75.2	-6.8
9	Germany U18	6	2	4	33%	79.0	76.5	+2.5
10	Bulgaria U18	6	2	4	33%	72.8	79.8	-7.0
11	Greece U18	6	2	4	33%	75.2	85.5	-10.3
12	Latvia U18	6	2	4	33%	77.7	91.5	-13.8
13	Austria U18	5	1	4	20%	67.4	88.0	-20.6
14	Sweden U18	6	1	5	17%	62.8	88.5	-25.7
15	Belgium U18	6	1	5	17%	60.8	87.8	-27.0
16	North Macedonia U18	6	1	5	17%	61.3	93.0	-31.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Italy U18	25	11	13	13	62
Spain U18	16	18	26	24	84

← all games of the day

Italy U18 vs Spain U18 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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