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Italy U18 vs Ukraine U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jul 2015
Tip-off: 13:45
Final 87-69
21-20 25-14 16-22 25-13
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#15
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2015
Meetings · Italy U18 v Ukraine U18
31 Jul 2015
ITAL87
UKRA69
23 Apr 2014
ITAL89
UKRA70
15 Aug 2012
ITAL76
UKRA51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukraine U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-17
4-24
22-21
11-20
22-19
20-19
15-27
21-10
20-10
17-16
22-21
18-17
16-15
14-21
17-15
11-14
13-16
12-12
12-7
15-4
13-21
24-13
11-16
19-13
10-16
19-22
24-17
11-24
11-8
11-20
19-11
20-19
18-20
22-11
17-20
11-23
19-22
16-9
13-18
131.6Avg total
64.9Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)61.862.7124.5-0.850%
Season at home (4)64.064.8128.8-0.850%
Season away (2)57.558.5116.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)64.966.7131.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)64.665.4130.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.064.0127.0-1.040%
vs Similar (10)73.572.8146.3+0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.564.3140.7+12.273%
This opponent (Ukraine U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden U18
#14
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H30/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Hungary U18
#9
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Germany U18
#1
L
40-64
40
64
-24
H03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Czech Republic U18
#16
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#3
L
47-76
47
76
-29
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
17-14
17-12
14-18
15-11
14-24
14-17
21-18
12-14
14-16
23-15
16-19
6-16
10-11
12-21
12-16
15-27
25-15
10-16
15-10
16-19
16-15
15-21
21-15
5-21
21-11
6-25
15-19
24-21
16-19
21-26
26-29
28-23
16-13
14-25
23-26
13-18
14-16
16-14
17-10
134.3Avg total
63.8Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.075.7143.7-7.717%
Season at home (4)65.574.8140.2-9.225%
Season away (2)73.077.5150.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)63.870.5134.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)68.677.2145.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.078.0144.0-12.031%
vs Similar (7)75.178.0153.1-2.943%
vs Weaker (10)73.559.5133.0+14.080%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Italy U18Ukraine U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
64.5Avg total
31.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.168.8+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.833.168.9+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.733.168.8+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.764.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.063.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.032.663.6-1.640%-
vs Similar (10)36.435.672.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.931.668.5+5.360%-
This opponent (Ukraine U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden U18
#14
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H30/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Hungary U18
#9
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Germany U18
#1
L
16-27
16
27
-11
H03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Czech Republic U18
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#3
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
64.3Avg total
31.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.767.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.832.864.6-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.434.670.0+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)31.033.364.3-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.535.365.8-4.823%-
vs Similar (7)35.434.169.6+1.343%-
vs Weaker (10)35.931.267.1+4.760%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Italy U18 wins
0
Ukraine U18 wins
DateGameScore
23/04/14Italy U18 v Ukraine U1889-70
15/08/12Italy U18 v Ukraine U1876-51
23/07/11Ukraine U18 v Italy U1880-85
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/15HBosnia & Herzegovina U1859-72
28/07/15HLithuania U1877-70
27/07/15AGreece U1852-63
25/07/15HFinland U1872-68
24/07/15ARussia U1863-54
23/07/15HTurkey U1848-49
03/08/14ASpain U1865-68
02/08/14ALithuania U1880-57
01/08/14HGreece U1868-85
30/07/14ACroatia U1865-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/15HMontenegro U1860-58
28/07/15AFinland U1881-87
27/07/15HCroatia U1887-95
25/07/15HFrance U1847-76
24/07/15HSpain U1868-70
23/07/15ACzech Republic U1865-68
03/08/14HGermany U1840-64
02/08/14HFinland U1865-64
31/07/14AHungary U1864-70
30/07/14HSweden U1861-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game61.864.057.5
Allowed / game62.764.858.5
Point differential-0.8-0.8-1.0
Avg total124.5128.8116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukraine U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game68.065.573.0
Allowed / game75.774.877.5
Point differential-7.7-9.2-4.5
Avg total143.7140.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France U1865183%76.559.0+17.5
2 Turkey U1865183%69.361.7+7.7
3 Greece U1864267%64.755.7+9.0
4 Serbia U1864267%69.563.3+6.2
5 Lithuania U1864267%70.865.8+5.0
6 Spain U1874357%68.065.9+2.1
7 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1874357%64.667.6-3.0
8 Germany U1863350%70.868.0+2.8
9 Latvia U1863350%73.272.0+1.2
10 Italy U1863350%61.862.7-0.8
11 Croatia U1863350%70.275.8-5.7
12 Montenegro U1862433%64.765.7-1.0
13 Russia U1872529%67.367.1+0.1
14 Finland U1872529%68.478.7-10.3
15 Ukraine U1861517%68.075.7-7.7
16 Czech Republic U1861517%54.275.5-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U182125162587
Ukraine U182014221369
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