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Italy U18 vs Lithuania U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jul 2015
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-70
20-19 18-20 22-11 17-20
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game58.8
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#5
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game61.2
Meetings · Italy U18 v Lithuania U18
31 Jul 2024
ITAL85
LITH94
29 Jul 2023
ITAL89
LITH87
31 Jul 2022
ITAL61
LITH79
04 Aug 2017
ITAL67
LITH73
28 Jul 2015
ITAL77
LITH70
29 Jul 2014
ITAL64
LITH61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France U18
#4
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-9
16-23
14-11
22-22
13-20
15-12
18-12
18-17
16-19
23-17
4-24
22-21
11-20
22-19
20-19
15-27
21-10
20-10
17-16
22-21
18-17
16-15
14-21
17-15
11-14
13-16
12-12
12-7
15-4
13-21
24-13
11-16
19-13
10-16
19-22
24-17
11-24
11-8
11-20
19-11
129.6Avg total
64.5Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)58.858.5117.2+0.250%
Season at home (2)60.058.5118.5+1.550%
Season away (2)57.558.5116.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)64.565.1129.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)60.060.4120.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.064.0127.0-1.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.974.6146.5-2.750%
vs Weaker (15)78.163.8141.9+14.380%
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#7
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#12
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
20-20
17-23
15-26
20-13
12-15
12-18
17-18
16-15
20-19
19-21
27-16
15-20
15-21
22-15
15-27
10-21
10-20
16-17
21-22
27-16
15-10
19-12
29-18
23-17
16-14
16-7
18-12
10-16
22-20
16-10
22-18
13-19
21-13
25-21
13-13
13-14
16-13
24-14
20-24
139.8Avg total
72.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.061.2133.2+10.8100%
Season at home (2)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)73.057.5130.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)72.167.7139.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)75.660.2135.8+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.074.0143.0-5.060%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.769.9136.6-3.250%
vs Weaker (15)78.263.3141.5+14.987%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Italy U18Lithuania U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France U18
#4
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
61.7Avg total
31.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.668.6+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.768.4+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.332.568.9+3.853%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.761.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.429.657.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.032.663.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.836.171.9-0.350%-
vs Weaker (15)37.930.368.1+7.667%-
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#12
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#7
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H02/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
66.3Avg total
33.8Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.468.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.233.667.8+0.656%-
Last 30 away (12)36.533.269.7+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.566.3+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.465.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.636.872.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.133.864.9-2.740%-
vs Weaker (15)37.732.169.7+5.673%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy U18 wins
2
Lithuania U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/15AGreece U1852-63
25/07/15HFinland U1872-68
24/07/15ARussia U1863-54
23/07/15HTurkey U1848-49
03/08/14ASpain U1865-68
02/08/14ALithuania U1880-57
01/08/14HGreece U1868-85
30/07/14ACroatia U1865-81
29/07/14HLithuania U1864-61
28/07/14AFrance U1868-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/15ARussia U1873-65
25/07/15HCroatia U1872-66
24/07/15HGreece U1870-64
23/07/15ABosnia & Herzegovina U1873-50
03/08/14ALatvia U1890-56
02/08/14HItaly U1857-80
01/08/14ASerbia U1867-83
30/07/14HPoland U1882-71
29/07/14AItaly U1861-64
28/07/14HLatvia U1876-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game58.860.057.5
Allowed / game58.558.558.5
Point differential+0.2+1.5-1.0
Avg total117.2118.5116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.071.073.0
Allowed / game61.265.057.5
Point differential+10.8+6.0+15.5
Avg total133.2136.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turkey U18440100%72.256.5+15.8
2 Lithuania U18440100%72.061.2+10.8
3 France U1854180%74.056.0+18.0
4 Germany U1843175%69.560.8+8.8
5 Spain U1843175%65.860.8+5.0
6 Serbia U1853260%66.262.6+3.6
7 Greece U1842250%62.555.8+6.8
8 Italy U1842250%58.858.5+0.2
9 Latvia U1852340%72.871.8+1.0
10 Montenegro U1852340%66.066.8-0.8
11 Finland U1852340%70.078.0-8.0
12 Croatia U1852340%69.478.0-8.6
13 Russia U1841325%66.569.5-3.0
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1841325%60.872.2-11.5
15 Czech Republic U1851420%51.673.4-21.8
16 Ukraine U185050%69.679.2-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U182018221777
Lithuania U181920112070
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