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Italy U20 vs Russia U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 88-70
27-14 18-21 26-19 17-16
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#10
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.3
Meetings · Italy U20 v Russia U20
17 Jul 2013
ITAL88
RUSS70
08 Jul 2010
ITAL68
RUSS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Russia U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U20
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#11
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
13-11
22-17
21-20
14-19
16-28
17-24
31-23
13-24
12-16
20-7
24-21
19-19
23-14
12-16
7-16
17-26
19-16
18-12
22-16
23-13
27-19
23-22
16-21
14-11
22-18
13-21
12-15
22-14
31-26
11-19
26-19
21-22
14-15
16-22
25-14
16-23
16-19
22-28
27-18
151.1Avg total
75.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.874.8153.7+4.067%
Season at home (3)71.069.3140.3+1.767%
Season away (3)86.780.3167.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)75.975.2151.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)79.475.8155.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.277.4149.6-5.129%
vs Similar (8)76.570.5147.0+6.088%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)74.867.4142.1+7.475%
This opponent (Russia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Russia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#1
L
61-84
61
84
-23
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#14
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A11/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
12-21
12-13
18-24
13-22
15-15
14-30
19-17
24-13
16-12
7-20
21-24
19-14
22-20
20-13
22-16
15-27
15-10
11-18
13-21
16-19
23-21
20-18
16-17
20-13
21-11
16-20
21-16
20-15
15-17
22-16
18-19
16-13
15-19
17-19
17-10
19-19
25-18
23-14
21-18
142.8Avg total
71.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.270.3144.5+3.867%
Season at home (3)75.072.3147.3+2.767%
Season away (3)73.368.3141.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)71.671.2142.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.269.2147.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.874.5138.3-10.721%
vs Similar (9)72.068.7140.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (7)77.062.1139.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
Italy U20Russia U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U20
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Estonia U20
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
75.5Avg total
37.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.873.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.439.075.4-2.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.134.971.1+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.175.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.077.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.139.273.4-5.129%-
vs Similar (8)35.937.072.9-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.232.572.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Russia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Russia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#10
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/07
EuroBasket U20
Bulgaria U20
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
69.3Avg total
35.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.269.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.934.970.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.569.1-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.569.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.071.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.636.668.2-5.114%-
vs Similar (9)36.335.171.4+1.256%-
vs Weaker (7)38.932.471.3+6.471%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U20 wins
1
Russia U20 wins
DateGameScore
20/07/12Russia U20 v Italy U2068-69
08/07/10Italy U20 v Russia U2068-73
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/13ALatvia U2081-88
15/07/13HSpain U2076-73
13/07/13AEstonia U2090-78
12/07/13HSlovenia U2061-65
10/07/13ACzech Republic U2089-75
09/07/13HFrance U2076-70
21/07/12HTurkey U2061-65
20/07/12ARussia U2069-68
18/07/12HLatvia U2078-94
17/07/12ASpain U2078-76
Russia U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/13ASlovenia U2088-69
15/07/13HFrance U2065-61
13/07/13HBulgaria U2075-67
11/07/13AIsrael U2078-60
10/07/13HLatvia U2085-89 OT
09/07/13ASpain U2054-76
21/07/12HUkraine U2083-63
20/07/12HItaly U2068-69
18/07/12HSerbia U2061-84
17/07/12AGermany U2059-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game78.871.086.7
Allowed / game74.869.380.3
Point differential+4.0+1.7+6.3
Avg total153.7140.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Russia U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game74.275.073.3
Allowed / game70.372.368.3
Point differential+3.8+2.7+5.0
Avg total144.5147.3141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia U20660100%83.272.2+11.0
2 Greece U20660100%73.863.2+10.7
3 Lithuania U2064267%72.360.0+12.3
4 Spain U2064267%71.263.7+7.5
5 Italy U2064267%78.874.8+4.0
6 Russia U2064267%74.270.3+3.8
7 Turkey U2064267%71.268.3+2.8
8 Serbia U2074357%73.466.0+7.4
9 Montenegro U2063350%71.266.0+5.2
10 France U2063350%64.861.7+3.2
11 Germany U2063350%67.566.8+0.7
12 Slovenia U2063350%69.371.5-2.2
13 Croatia U2063350%71.273.5-2.3
14 Bulgaria U2073443%68.666.0+2.6
15 Sweden U2073443%69.974.3-4.4
16 Israel U2073443%67.372.6-5.3
17 Estonia U2072529%66.770.0-3.3
18 Ukraine U2072529%72.478.6-6.1
19 Czech Republic U207070%70.382.6-12.3
20 Georgia U207070%56.483.6-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U202718261788
Russia U201421191670
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