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Italy U20 vs Sweden U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Jul 2016
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 65-69
18-12 17-16 17-20 13-21
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game60.0
Meetings · Italy U20 v Sweden U20
14 Jul 2018
ITAL85
SWED71
19 Jul 2016
ITAL65
SWED69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U20
#17
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#14
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#1
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#6
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#19
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#15
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-13
12-20
22-20
19-21
18-11
12-17
11-17
17-15
13-11
18-12
9-17
13-11
19-22
10-19
19-15
7-22
8-18
12-17
24-25
16-12
25-12
18-27
16-13
21-13
24-9
19-15
9-11
20-18
26-14
18-26
13-11
20-19
10-14
17-25
24-24
19-12
22-16
22-18
26-18
135.3Avg total
68.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.073.0153.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)71.082.0153.0-11.00%
Season away (1)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.367.0135.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)77.065.4142.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.874.3137.2-11.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.969.7139.6+0.255%
vs Weaker (13)78.467.9146.3+10.577%
This opponent (Sweden U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia U20
#7
W
85-62
85
62
+23
A09/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Hungary U20
#4
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H10/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Moldova U20
#18
W
96-41
96
41
+55
A11/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Albania U20
#17
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H13/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Belarus U20
#3
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A15/07
EuroBasket U20 B
North Macedonia U20
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H16/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Montenegro U20
#5
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H18/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Finland U20
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A19/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Belgium U20
#15
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
26-8
18-15
14-20
7-14
18-14
22-10
14-14
26-18
24-12
30-4
16-7
25-14
22-14
25-13
25-9
19-14
13-14
24-18
26-19
18-13
24-19
9-15
13-14
15-26
23-5
17-7
24-12
20-19
18-21
26-17
12-23
14-14
17-16
10-7
19-16
22-7
11-16
8-21
20-23
134.2Avg total
76.1Scored
58.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.560.0120.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)60.053.0113.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)61.067.0128.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.158.1134.2+18.080%
Last 5 (5)68.062.2130.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)59.871.9131.7-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.376.0147.3-4.733%
vs Weaker (12)78.258.1136.2+20.192%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
Italy U20Sweden U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina U20
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#6
L
15-40
15
40
-25
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#19
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#15
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
65.5Avg total
35.2Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.568.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.033.767.7+0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)36.633.469.9+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)35.230.365.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.627.868.4+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.236.764.8-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.034.065.0-3.027%-
vs Weaker (13)42.031.773.7+10.385%-
This opponent (Sweden U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia U20
#7
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A09/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Hungary U20
#4
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Moldova U20
#18
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Albania U20
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H13/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Belarus U20
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/07
EuroBasket U20 B
North Macedonia U20
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Montenegro U20
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Finland U20
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Belgium U20
#15
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
68.6Avg total
38.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.869.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.734.468.1-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.270.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.929.768.6+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.267.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.037.065.0-9.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)39.631.571.1+8.175%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U20 wins
0
Sweden U20 wins
DateGameScore
14/07/12Sweden U20 v Italy U2062-87
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/16ABelgium U2089-64
16/07/16HCzech Republic U2071-82
19/07/15HIsrael U2077-69
17/07/15HUkraine U2073-48
15/07/15AIsrael U2075-64
14/07/15ALatvia U2051-82
13/07/15HSerbia U2061-67
11/07/15HFrance U2057-55
09/07/15ABelgium U2060-66
08/07/15HBosnia & Herzegovina U2069-73
Sweden U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/16ACzech Republic U2061-67
16/07/16HBelgium U2060-53
19/07/15AFinland U2076-80
18/07/15HMontenegro U2079-50
16/07/15HNorth Macedonia U2064-61
15/07/15ABelarus U2082-65
13/07/15HAlbania U2097-50
11/07/15AMoldova U2096-41
10/07/15HHungary U2061-52
09/07/15ASlovakia U2085-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.071.089.0
Allowed / game73.082.064.0
Point differential+7.0-11.0+25.0
Avg total153.0153.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden U20
EuroBasket U20 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game60.560.061.0
Allowed / game60.053.067.0
Point differential+0.5+7.0-6.0
Avg total120.5113.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Israel U20220100%83.569.0+14.5
2 Turkey U20330100%79.365.0+14.3
3 Czech Republic U20220100%74.566.0+8.5
4 Germany U2032167%77.762.7+15.0
5 Ukraine U2032167%76.769.7+7.0
6 Serbia U2032167%70.775.3-4.7
7 Italy U2021150%80.073.0+7.0
8 Sweden U2021150%60.560.0+0.5
9 Spain U2021150%75.075.0+0.0
10 Finland U2021150%81.585.5-4.0
11 Lithuania U2031233%91.079.0+12.0
12 Latvia U2031233%72.071.0+1.0
13 Slovenia U2031233%69.773.0-3.3
14 France U202020%62.573.0-10.5
15 Belgium U202020%58.574.5-16.0
16 Hungary U203030%59.0100.3-41.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U201817171365
Sweden U201216202169
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