PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Italy vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-62
16-26 20-8 24-17 11-11
Position#30
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game87.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#56
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game100.0
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#3
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Georgia
#2
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Romania
#58
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H24/11
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
101-50
101
50
+51
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H07/09
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
14-18
18-19
9-14
16-20
15-13
14-17
19-14
26-17
15-14
17-24
15-10
26-15
16-13
17-15
16-27
15-23
20-9
25-15
20-17
26-13
19-21
18-14
17-14
35-12
12-13
29-11
25-14
24-21
15-20
13-24
20-13
15-19
15-19
19-20
17-23
15-23
25-25
15-17
25-22
146.5Avg total
76.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.270.3146.5+5.950%
Last 5 (5)79.871.6151.4+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.079.7149.7-9.733%
vs Similar (4)72.074.5146.5-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.164.6142.7+13.577%
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H18/08
DBB Supercup
Poland
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Georgia
#43
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H24/11
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
90-49
90
49
+41
A27/11
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A25/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H29/06
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Turkey
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H07/09
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-20
17-19
23-16
15-19
21-16
20-23
19-22
17-27
17-17
6-19
16-24
18-18
22-23
20-20
19-9
20-8
21-13
23-12
26-16
20-26
20-15
17-18
22-15
27-17
24-21
18-24
18-15
22-16
25-17
14-16
24-14
21-23
14-18
21-19
32-21
29-26
12-25
27-19
11-30
155.4Avg total
79.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.0100.0179.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)79.0100.0179.0-21.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.775.7155.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)83.679.0162.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.678.3142.9-13.78%
vs Similar (5)79.275.4154.6+3.880%
vs Weaker (12)78.466.0144.4+12.4100%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
ItalyGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Georgia
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Romania
#58
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H24/11
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/09
Friendly International
73.8Avg total
38.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.635.071.7+1.645%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.636.875.4+1.938%-
Last 30 away (12)35.333.969.2+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.073.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.038.368.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.075.5-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.933.471.3+4.562%-
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H18/08
DBB Supercup
Poland
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Georgia
#43
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/11
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A27/11
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H29/06
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/07
World Cup
Turkey
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H07/09
Friendly International
79.0Avg total
40.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.473.5-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (25)35.637.973.5-2.232%-
Last 30 away (5)38.834.873.6+4.060%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.679.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.939.872.8-6.923%-
vs Similar (5)38.038.276.2-0.220%-
vs Weaker (12)38.934.373.2+4.658%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Germany wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/18HCzech Republic80-87
01/07/18ANetherlands66-81
28/06/18HCroatia72-78
26/02/18ARomania101-50
23/02/18HNetherlands80-62
26/11/17ACroatia80-64
24/11/17HRomania75-70
25/08/17AGeorgia73-65
24/08/17AGreece70-73 OT
23/08/17ASerbia65-73
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/18HTurkey79-100
02/07/18ASerbia88-81
29/06/18HAustria85-63
25/02/18AGeorgia87-77
23/02/18HSerbia79-74
27/11/17AAustria90-49
24/11/17HGeorgia79-70
20/08/17HSerbia56-87
19/08/17HPoland75-80
18/08/17HRussia79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Friendly International 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Germany
Friendly International 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential-21.0-21.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belgium220100%83.057.5+25.5
2 Lebanon110100%74.053.0+21.0
3 Turkey110100%100.079.0+21.0
4 France110100%83.066.0+17.0
5 Israel U20110100%84.067.0+17.0
6 Iraq110100%71.056.0+15.0
7 Czech Republic U20330100%85.772.3+13.3
8 Croatia U20220100%76.064.5+11.5
9 Cameroon220100%77.566.5+11.0
10 Czech Republic220100%79.068.5+10.5
11 Belgium U20110100%60.051.0+9.0
12 Qatar110100%72.063.0+9.0
13 Bulgaria U20220100%74.066.0+8.0
14 Austria110100%79.074.0+5.0
15 Ukraine110100%85.083.0+2.0
16 Slovenia110100%87.086.0+1.0
17 Finland65183%85.075.7+9.3
18 Turkey U2086275%80.565.5+15.0
19 Croatia43175%81.069.5+11.5
20 Italy U2064267%74.070.5+3.5
21 Russia32167%79.377.3+2.0
22 Finland U2032167%83.382.7+0.7
23 Mali32167%56.062.3-6.3
24 Lithuania U2085362%76.171.9+4.2
25 Serbia U2053260%81.476.0+5.4
26 D.R. Congo21150%67.053.0+14.0
27 Bulgaria21150%82.574.0+8.5
28 Ireland21150%87.582.0+5.5
29 Jordan21150%82.577.0+5.5
30 South Korea21150%89.587.5+2.0
31 Ukraine U2042250%76.075.2+0.8
32 Sweden U2021150%83.082.5+0.5
33 Japan21150%87.589.5-2.0
34 Tunisia42250%68.571.0-2.5
35 Luxembourg21150%82.087.5-5.5
36 Poland21150%76.082.0-6.0
37 Latvia U2021150%55.067.5-12.5
38 France U2052340%65.270.4-5.2
39 Israel31233%84.080.0+4.0
40 North Macedonia U2031233%69.071.3-2.3
41 Montenegro U2061517%66.876.2-9.3
42 Portugal1010%74.079.0-5.0
43 Latvia3030%76.081.7-5.7
44 Georgia U201010%52.058.0-6.0
45 Italy1010%80.087.0-7.0
46 Greece U201010%76.084.0-8.0
47 Armenia1010%63.072.0-9.0
48 Hungary U201010%51.060.0-9.0
49 Romania U201010%66.075.0-9.0
50 Slovenia U202020%71.080.5-9.5
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%75.088.0-13.0
52 Slovakia U203030%72.385.7-13.3
53 Georgia1010%57.071.0-14.0
54 Saudi Arabia2020%57.573.5-16.0
55 Uganda1010%75.091.0-16.0
56 Montenegro1010%66.083.0-17.0
57 Estonia4040%65.084.2-19.2
58 Cyprus1010%53.074.0-21.0
59 Germany1010%79.0100.0-21.0
60 United Arab Emirates2020%45.567.0-21.5
61 Belarus U203030%61.788.3-26.7
62 Lithuania1010%75.0103.0-28.0
63 Netherlands U201010%51.079.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy1620241171
Germany268171162
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.