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Italy vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-62
26-13 19-21 18-14 17-14
Position#14
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game67.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#50
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game66.7
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Italy v Netherlands
29 Nov 2021
ITAL75
NETH73
23 Feb 2018
ITAL80
NETH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A29/08
Acropolis Tournament
Tunisia
#25
W
68-41
68
41
+27
A04/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H05/07
Olympic Games
Mexico
#17
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H08/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#10
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
A09/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#3
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Georgia
#2
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Romania
#58
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H24/11
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A26/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
13-22
17-13
18-20
19-12
13-15
22-2
14-12
21-23
12-12
21-12
13-13
19-13
19-15
20-13
21-13
12-19
22-20
18-15
18-16
24-22
14-18
18-19
9-14
16-20
15-13
14-17
19-14
26-17
15-14
17-24
15-10
26-15
16-13
17-15
16-27
15-23
20-9
25-15
20-17
138.3Avg total
72.0Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.567.0144.5+10.5100%
Season at home (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.066.3138.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)72.669.0141.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.079.7149.7-9.733%
vs Similar (3)69.370.3139.7-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.363.2140.6+14.189%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#59
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A05/08
World Cup
Albania
#83
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#59
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H16/08
World Cup
Albania
#83
W
111-37
111
37
+74
A19/08
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H24/11
World Cup
Romania
#58
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A26/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
23-14
17-16
24-24
24-26
27-27
21-13
19-11
20-17
17-22
16-10
18-29
14-16
31-8
35-5
31-8
18-13
15-18
17-17
18-13
15-16
12-18
19-20
22-21
148.0Avg total
81.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.366.7148.0+14.767%
Season at home (3)76.772.0148.7+4.767%
Season away (3)86.061.3147.3+24.767%
Last 10 (6)81.366.7148.0+14.767%
Last 5 (5)81.865.6147.4+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)81.366.7148.0+14.767%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.3+4.3
ItalyNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/08
Acropolis Tournament
Tunisia
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H05/07
Olympic Games
Mexico
#17
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Georgia
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Romania
#58
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H24/11
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/11
World Cup
69.3Avg total
35.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)35.534.369.8+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.034.271.2+2.840%-
Last 30 away (10)34.734.469.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.433.969.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.870.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.038.368.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (3)36.734.771.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.932.969.8+4.067%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#59
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/08
World Cup
Albania
#83
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#59
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/08
World Cup
Albania
#83
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A19/08
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H24/11
World Cup
Romania
#58
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A26/11
World Cup
74.0Avg total
38.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)38.535.574.0+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (3)40.341.081.3-0.733%-
Last 30 away (3)36.730.066.7+6.767%-
Last 10 (6)38.535.574.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.274.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)38.535.574.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Netherlands wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/17ACroatia80-64
24/11/17HRomania75-70
25/08/17AGeorgia73-65
24/08/17AGreece70-73 OT
23/08/17ASerbia65-73
09/07/16ACroatia78-84 OT
08/07/16HMexico79-54
05/07/16HCroatia67-60
04/07/16ATunisia68-41
29/08/13AGreece65-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/17ARomania68-75
24/11/17HCroatia68-61
19/08/17AAlbania111-37
16/08/17HAustria71-78
09/08/17HAlbania91-77
05/08/17AAustria79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.575.080.0
Allowed / game67.070.064.0
Point differential+10.5+5.0+16.0
Avg total144.5145.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Netherlands
World Cup 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game81.376.786.0
Allowed / game66.772.061.3
Point differential+14.7+4.7+24.7
Avg total148.0148.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tunisia330100%88.054.0+34.0
2 Australia330100%90.064.0+26.0
3 Puerto Rico110100%95.072.0+23.0
4 Argentina220100%82.061.0+21.0
5 Lithuania330100%84.763.7+21.0
6 Brazil330100%80.760.7+20.0
7 Dominican Republic330100%94.376.0+18.3
8 Germany330100%82.764.3+18.3
9 Jordan330100%99.381.0+18.3
10 Nigeria110100%102.086.0+16.0
11 Uruguay220100%76.561.0+15.5
12 France220100%77.062.0+15.0
13 Mozambique110100%66.053.0+13.0
14 Greece330100%88.076.0+12.0
15 Italy220100%77.567.0+10.5
16 Czech Republic330100%77.067.0+10.0
17 Spain330100%85.077.3+7.7
18 Angola330100%67.761.3+6.3
19 Mexico110100%72.066.0+6.0
20 Senegal110100%70.065.0+5.0
21 Rwanda110100%74.070.0+4.0
22 Bulgaria75271%81.172.6+8.6
23 New Zealand32167%98.377.7+20.7
24 Lebanon32167%92.374.0+18.3
25 China32167%87.069.0+18.0
26 Netherlands64267%81.366.7+14.7
27 Cameroon32167%82.368.3+14.0
28 Canada32167%95.782.0+13.7
29 Iran32167%68.755.7+13.0
30 Serbia32167%88.076.7+11.3
31 Venezuela32167%74.066.3+7.7
32 Poland32167%71.765.7+6.0
33 Turkey32167%70.064.0+6.0
34 Slovenia32167%82.076.3+5.7
35 South Korea32167%86.781.3+5.3
36 Ukraine32167%75.370.3+5.0
37 Bosnia & Herzegovina96367%80.077.2+2.8
38 Israel32167%77.075.0+2.0
39 Egypt32167%65.364.0+1.3
40 Romania32167%67.766.3+1.3
41 Kazakhstan32167%72.773.7-1.0
42 Philippines32167%78.379.3-1.0
43 Estonia74357%73.673.0+0.6
44 Sweden95456%76.074.6+1.4
45 Russia21150%76.075.0+1.0
46 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
47 Finland21150%69.072.0-3.0
48 Austria73443%71.973.9-2.0
49 Montenegro31233%73.373.7-0.3
50 Morocco31233%69.070.0-1.0
51 Hungary31233%73.075.3-2.3
52 Iraq31233%72.075.0-3.0
53 Georgia31233%78.382.7-4.3
54 Latvia31233%74.380.0-5.7
55 Qatar31233%62.071.0-9.0
56 Chile31233%67.777.3-9.7
57 United States Virgin Islands31233%90.3100.7-10.3
58 Chad31233%61.772.3-10.7
59 Chinese Taipei31233%73.087.7-14.7
60 Syria31233%69.784.3-14.7
61 Kosovo72529%67.181.9-14.7
62 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
63 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
64 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
65 Belarus71614%73.982.6-8.7
66 Mali1010%70.074.0-4.0
67 Great Britain3030%79.083.3-4.3
68 Central African Republic1010%65.070.0-5.0
69 Belgium3030%66.072.7-6.7
70 D.R. Congo3030%68.775.3-6.7
71 Croatia3030%60.368.7-8.3
72 Japan3030%66.076.3-10.3
73 Panama2020%66.077.0-11.0
74 Iceland2020%71.583.0-11.5
75 Ivory Coast1010%53.066.0-13.0
76 Cuba2020%69.083.5-14.5
77 Uganda1010%86.0102.0-16.0
78 Colombia3030%63.081.0-18.0
79 Bahamas3030%72.394.0-21.7
80 India3030%72.394.3-22.0
81 Paraguay2020%56.081.5-25.5
82 Guinea3030%61.799.0-37.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong3030%63.3107.3-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2619181780
Netherlands1321141462
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