PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Sports Arena
Izhevsk will host Khimki M. in the Super League on 12 November 2026, with Khimki M. the clear favourite as the model rates them at 77% to win, a reflection of their 5-3 record, 82.5 points scored and 75.6 allowed per game, and sixth place in the league. Izhevsk, meanwhile, sits twelfth with a 1-6 record, 78.7 points scored and 87.1 allowed, and has gone 0-2 at home, scoring 82.0 and conceding 88.0, while their last five games yielded no victories. Khimki M. have won three of their last five, including a 117-82 home victory over Chelyabinsk, and have lost only once away, to CSKA Moscow 68-72. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Khimki M. have won eight, most recently 80-76 on 9 March 2026. The model projects a 76-85 score, a total of 161.0 points, and gives Khimki M. a 30% chance to cover the 3.0 home line and a 42% probability that the over on the 164.0 total will be hit, with a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Khimki M.'s ability to maintain their defensive edge against Izhevsk's struggling offense.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 78.7 | 87.1 | 165.9 | -8.4 | 14% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 88.0 | 170.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Season away (5) | 77.4 | 86.8 | 164.2 | -9.4 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.9 | 82.7 | 164.6 | -0.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 90.4 | 170.2 | -10.6 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 76.7 | 83.9 | 160.6 | -7.1 | 13% |
| vs Similar (9) | 76.7 | 81.0 | 157.7 | -4.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 84.7 | 71.3 | 156.0 | +13.3 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 82.5 | 75.6 | 158.1 | +6.9 | 62% |
| Season at home (4) | 89.0 | 79.5 | 168.5 | +9.5 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 76.0 | 71.8 | 147.8 | +4.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.5 | 74.5 | 154.0 | +5.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.6 | 76.2 | 158.8 | +6.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 82.5 | 86.0 | 168.5 | -3.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (19) | 82.1 | 77.1 | 159.2 | +5.0 | 58% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 82.0 | 73.1 | 155.1 | +8.9 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.8 | 40.1 | 78.0 | -2.3 | 37% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 40.9 | 39.7 | 80.6 | +1.2 | 45% | 45% |
| Last 30 away (19) | 36.1 | 40.4 | 76.4 | -4.3 | 32% | 26% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 40.9 | 79.9 | -1.9 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.6 | 46.4 | 85.0 | -7.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 36.9 | 41.5 | 78.5 | -4.6 | 27% | 27% |
| vs Similar (9) | 35.8 | 40.2 | 76.0 | -4.4 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 43.2 | 36.5 | 79.7 | +6.7 | 67% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.5 | 37.6 | 76.1 | +0.9 | 50% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.4 | 38.7 | 82.1 | +4.7 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 34.2 | 36.6 | 70.8 | -2.4 | 44% | 12% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.0 | 37.8 | 75.8 | +0.2 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 38.4 | 78.0 | +1.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 37.5 | 44.0 | 81.5 | -6.5 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (19) | 37.8 | 36.9 | 74.8 | +0.9 | 53% | 26% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 40.1 | 37.6 | 77.7 | +2.6 | 56% | 22% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khimki M. +1 | 78.1% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Khimki M. -1 | 76.0% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| Khimki M. -1.5 | 74.2% | 1.49 | 1.59 | 1.47 | 1.41 | - | - | +16.0pp | Won |
| Khimki M. -2 | 73.2% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Izhevsk under 85.5 | 81.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Khimki M. -2.5 | 70.5% | 1.53 | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.45 | 1.41 | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| Izhevsk under 82.5 | 72.7% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Izhevsk under 83.5 | 75.7% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Khimki M. +2.5 | 81.4% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Izhevsk under 84.5 | 78.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Khimki M. win | 76.5% | 1.38 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.33 | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Khimki M. +1.5 | 78.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Khimki M. (regulation) | 74.1% | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Khimki M. under 90.5 | 72.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Khimki M. over 78.5 | 72.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 20.3 | 56.4% | - | 40.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.5 | 7.2 | 30.6% | - | 21.6 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 14.0 | 79.1% | - | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 | Izhevsk v Khimki M. | 76-80 |
| 17/12/25 | Khimki M. v Izhevsk | 77-72 |
| 06/02/25 | Izhevsk v Khimki M. | 55-81 |
| 01/11/24 | Khimki M. v Izhevsk | 64-75 |
| 09/04/24 | Izhevsk v Khimki M. | 64-89 |
| 07/04/24 | Izhevsk v Khimki M. | 87-81 |
| 03/04/24 | Khimki M. v Izhevsk | 82-63 |
| 01/04/24 | Khimki M. v Izhevsk | 84-74 |
| 21/01/24 | Khimki M. v Izhevsk | 71-64 |
| 07/11/23 | Izhevsk v Khimki M. | 58-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Barnaul | 74-90 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Novosibirsk | 85-103 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Tambov | 76-83 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Metallurg | 86-89 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 78-87 |
| 04/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 77-71 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 75-87 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Metallurg | 83-81 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Barnaul | 78-63 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Tambov | 107-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Metallurg | 74-64 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 117-82 |
| 25/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 68-72 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 80-93 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Ufa | 74-70 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Temp Sumz Revda | 91-102 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Desna Bryansk | 73-63 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Rusichi Kursk | 83-59 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 61-79 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Chelyabinsk | 74-61 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 14% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Points / game | 78.7 | 82.0 | 77.4 |
| Allowed / game | 87.1 | 88.0 | 86.8 |
| Point differential | -8.4 | -6.0 | -9.4 |
| Avg total | 165.9 | 170.0 | 164.2 |
| Over 163.75 | 57% | 100% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 62% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | WWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 62% | 75% | 50% |
| Points / game | 82.5 | 89.0 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.6 | 79.5 | 71.8 |
| Point differential | +6.9 | +9.5 | +4.2 |
| Avg total | 158.1 | 168.5 | 147.8 |
| Over 163.75 | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo Grozny | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 83.6 | 72.8 | +10.9 |
| 2 |  Chelyabinsk | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 92.1 | 86.8 | +5.4 |
| 3 |  Ufa | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 89.1 | 71.4 | +17.7 |
| 4 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.1 | 77.9 | +13.3 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 73.2 | 66.9 | +6.4 |
| 6 | Khimki M. | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.5 | 75.6 | +6.9 |
| 7 |  Barnaul | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 82.6 | -2.6 |
| 8 | Metallurg | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.8 | 78.2 | -4.5 |
| 9 |  Novosibirsk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 89.0 | -7.0 |
| 10 |  University-Ugra | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.4 | 81.9 | -8.5 |
| 11 |  Tambov | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.7 | 76.1 | -2.4 |
| 12 | Izhevsk | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.7 | 87.1 | -8.4 |
| 13 |  Desna Bryansk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 68.9 | 78.0 | -9.1 |
| 14 |  Rusichi Kursk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 70.5 | 85.9 | -15.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izhevsk | 17 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 69 |
| Khimki M. | 20 | 17 | 21 | 28 | 86 |
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