PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Khimki Basketball Center
On 5 November 2026 the Super League will see Khimki M. host Metallurg, with Khimki M. the clear favourite as the model rates them 89% to win, reflecting their 4-3 record, 83.7 points per game and 77.3 allowed, and a sixth-place league position; Metallurg sit ninth with a 2-4 record, 76.2 points per game and 81.2 allowed. Khimki M. have won two of their three home games, scoring 94.0 points per game and allowing 84.7, while Metallurg have won one of three road games, averaging 73.7 points and conceding 79.0. The last five games for each side were 2-3, and recent results show Khimki M. beat Chelyabinsk 117-82 at home, then lost to CSKA Moscow 68-72 and Dynamo Grozny 80-93 away, whereas Metallurg lost 76-78 to University-Ugra, beat Novosibirsk 83-79 at home, and fell 74-78 to Barnaul. In their four previous meetings Khimki M. have won three, most recently 102-87 on 12 February 2026. Pythia projects a 86-72 score for Khimki M., with a total of 158.1 points and a 2% chance of overtime, giving Khimki M. a 89% chance to win and a 11% chance for Metallurg.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.7 | 77.3 | 161.0 | +6.4 | 57% |
| Season at home (3) | 94.0 | 84.7 | 178.7 | +9.3 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 76.0 | 71.8 | 147.8 | +4.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.2 | 77.0 | 157.2 | +3.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 83.8 | 169.8 | +2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 76.3 | 86.3 | 162.7 | -10.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (19) | 79.5 | 76.6 | 156.1 | +2.9 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 89.1 | 75.5 | 164.6 | +13.6 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.2 | 81.2 | 157.3 | -5.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 78.7 | 83.3 | 162.0 | -4.7 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 79.0 | 152.7 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.0 | 80.4 | 159.4 | -1.4 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 78.8 | 154.4 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 76.6 | 87.4 | 164.0 | -10.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar (15) | 70.5 | 76.2 | 146.7 | -5.7 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 80.0 | 72.0 | 152.0 | +8.0 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.5 | 37.8 | 76.3 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.8 | 38.7 | 82.5 | +5.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 34.4 | 37.2 | 71.6 | -2.8 | 41% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 38.1 | 75.7 | -0.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 41.4 | 82.0 | -0.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 37.7 | 44.7 | 82.3 | -7.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 36.9 | 37.2 | 74.2 | -0.3 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 42.5 | 36.8 | 79.2 | +5.8 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.4 | 39.8 | 77.2 | -2.4 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 36.7 | 38.5 | 75.2 | -1.8 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.0 | 40.8 | 78.8 | -2.8 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 38.7 | 78.4 | +1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 38.8 | 83.8 | +6.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 37.3 | 44.4 | 81.7 | -7.1 | 10% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 37.8 | 36.7 | 74.5 | +1.1 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (5) | 36.6 | 40.0 | 76.6 | -3.4 | 40% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 20.3 | 56.4% | - | 40.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.5 | 7.2 | 30.6% | - | 21.6 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 14.0 | 79.1% | - | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 | Khimki M. v Metallurg | 102-87 |
| 05/11/25 | Metallurg v Khimki M. | 74-68 |
| 15/02/25 | Khimki M. v Metallurg | 69-64 |
| 18/11/24 | Metallurg v Khimki M. | 68-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 117-82 |
| 25/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 68-72 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 80-93 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Ufa | 74-70 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Temp Sumz Revda | 91-102 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Desna Bryansk | 73-63 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Rusichi Kursk | 83-59 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 61-79 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Chelyabinsk | 74-61 |
| 16/05/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 81-89 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | University-Ugra | 76-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Novosibirsk | 83-79 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Barnaul | 74-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Izhevsk | 89-86 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Tambov | 56-73 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 79-93 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Izhevsk | 81-83 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Tambov | 84-90 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Barnaul | 77-55 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 91-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 57% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | WWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 94.0 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 77.3 | 84.7 | 71.8 |
| Point differential | +6.4 | +9.3 | +4.2 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 178.7 | 147.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 33% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Points / game | 76.2 | 78.7 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 81.2 | 83.3 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | -5.0 | -4.7 | -5.3 |
| Avg total | 157.3 | 162.0 | 152.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ufa | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 89.1 | 71.4 | +17.7 |
| 2 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.1 | 77.9 | +13.3 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Grozny | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 84.1 | 72.7 | +11.4 |
| 4 |  Chelyabinsk | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.0 | 89.4 | +2.6 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 73.1 | 66.7 | +6.4 |
| 6 | Khimki M. | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 77.3 | +6.4 |
| 7 |  Barnaul | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 82.6 | -2.6 |
| 8 |  Novosibirsk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 89.0 | -7.0 |
| 9 |  University-Ugra | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.4 | 81.9 | -8.5 |
| 10 | Metallurg | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.2 | 81.2 | -5.0 |
| 11 |  Tambov | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.7 | 76.1 | -2.4 |
| 12 |  Desna Bryansk | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 68.8 | 79.2 | -10.3 |
| 13 |  Rusichi Kursk | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 71.3 | 86.7 | -15.3 |
| 14 |  Izhevsk | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.7 | 87.1 | -8.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khimki M. | 18 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 74 |
| Metallurg | 17 | 22 | 12 | 13 | 64 |
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