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Jelgava vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-71
24-24 13-15 16-14 16-18
Position#9
Record7-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Valga 🏆
Latvia
Position#7
Record7-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.6
LatviaLBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Jelgava v Valga
20 Feb 2016
JELG69
VALG71
05 Oct 2012
JELG96
VALG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JelgavaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A16/12
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H23/12
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H09/01
LBL
BK Ogre
#10
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A12/01
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H20/01
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A24/01
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
58-100
58
100
-42
H27/01
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A30/01
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H03/02
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H06/02
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
20-17
6-19
18-20
14-22
22-15
15-14
19-23
15-20
23-22
15-19
18-20
24-21
10-9
14-9
20-11
13-21
11-8
13-15
21-20
15-20
22-19
20-18
16-22
18-24
18-26
13-21
9-29
10-21
23-29
12-23
19-24
17-20
22-20
22-18
18-26
16-19
12-22
17-24
16-20
147.0Avg total
67.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.678.6148.2-9.029%
Season at home (12)71.678.4150.0-6.833%
Season away (12)67.678.8146.4-11.225%
Last 10 (10)67.379.7147.0-12.410%
Last 5 (5)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.082.3152.2-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.872.8150.7+5.050%
vs Weaker (4)72.868.0140.8+4.850%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H16/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H19/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H22/01
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A30/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A03/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#5
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
103-75
103
75
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H16/02
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
14-25
26-17
18-18
19-17
12-21
15-21
16-23
30-25
18-23
13-23
15-23
18-17
20-13
13-23
28-16
19-26
24-19
23-27
27-27
17-22
14-15
9-28
22-21
17-12
19-25
28-26
33-24
29-19
30-12
25-19
19-25
18-27
20-15
20-19
18-14
10-18
14-22
24-25
16-17
162.3Avg total
78.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.786.6164.3-8.950%
Season at home (8)80.582.0162.5-1.562%
Season away (6)74.092.7166.7-18.733%
Last 10 (10)78.883.5162.3-4.740%
Last 5 (5)80.481.0161.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.992.6170.5-14.617%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.982.5166.4+1.462%
vs Weaker (4)93.573.8167.2+19.8100%
This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
JelgavaValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/12
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/12
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/01
LBL
BK Ogre
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H20/01
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H27/01
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A30/01
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/02
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H06/02
LBL
75.4Avg total
35.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.673.2-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.937.773.6-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)35.337.672.9-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.078.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.339.774.0-5.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
vs Weaker (4)36.028.864.8+7.250%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H16/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H19/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/01
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H16/02
LBL
77.9Avg total
38.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.883.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.743.483.1-3.629%-
Last 30 away (13)42.542.084.5+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.977.9-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.475.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.344.883.2-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.043.485.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)50.232.282.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jelgava wins
2
Valga wins
DateGameScore
25/11/15Valga v Jelgava86-80
11/12/12Valga v Jelgava91-70
05/10/12Jelgava v Valga96-86
Jelgavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/16HVentspils61-85
03/02/16HBarons Kvartals79-84
30/01/16AJurmala64-97
27/01/16HVEF Riga58-100
24/01/16AValmiera/ORDO73-79
20/01/16HLatvijas Universitate58-64
12/01/16ABK Ogre68-50
09/01/16HJurmala71-81
23/12/15HLatvijas Universitate70-74
16/12/15ABarons Kvartals71-83
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/16HVEF Riga64-82
12/02/16AValmiera/ORDO76-75
09/02/16AAudentese103-75
06/02/16HJekabpils97-87
03/02/16AParnu62-86
30/01/16ARapla93-99
26/01/16HTal Tech79-69
22/01/16HVentspils76-94
19/01/16HBC Kalev/Cramo62-82
16/01/16HTal Tech76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game69.671.667.6
Allowed / game78.678.478.8
Point differential-9.0-6.8-11.2
Avg total148.2150.0146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game77.780.574.0
Allowed / game86.682.092.7
Point differential-8.9-1.5-18.7
Avg total164.3162.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils2420483%87.966.2+21.7
2 VEF Riga1411379%88.872.6+16.2
3 Valmiera/ORDO2519676%82.874.3+8.5
4 BK Liepaja2517868%82.674.2+8.4
5 Jekabpils23131057%78.078.2-0.3
6 Jurmala26141254%80.377.3+3.0
7 Valga147750%77.786.6-8.9
8 Jelgava2471729%69.678.6-9.0
9 Barons Kvartals2261627%78.985.2-6.4
10 Latvijas Universitate2341917%72.286.3-14.0
11 BK Ogre2442017%72.390.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jelgava2413161669
Valga2415141871
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