Valga vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 76-94

30-25 18-23 13-23 15-23

Position#7

Record5-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game87.4

Valga

Ventspils 🏆

Position#2

Record15-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game65.3

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valga v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

76-72

H09/12

LBL

Parnu

79-71

H11/12

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

68-84

-16

H15/12

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

80-97

-17

H23/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

73-96

-23

A29/12

LBL

BC Kalev/Cramo

67-95

-28

H05/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

98-83

+15

H09/01

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

100-108

100

108

-8

H12/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

76-86

-10

H16/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

62-82

-20

H19/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

26-21

24-16

10-25

16-10

27-26

18-15

19-18

15-12

14-21

18-23

19-28

17-12

21-34

18-17

16-23

25-23

19-18

15-24

14-26

25-28

15-27

20-23

19-27

13-18

15-17

29-23

27-22

27-21

22-28

25-20

24-32

29-28

18-26

14-25

26-17

18-18

19-17

12-21

15-21

16-23

165.3Avg total

77.9Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	77.5	87.4	164.9	-9.9	50%
Season at home (5)	81.4	78.6	160.0	+2.8	80%
Season away (5)	73.6	96.2	169.8	-22.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	87.4	165.3	-9.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	90.8	171.4	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	73.2	90.6	163.9	-17.4	12%
vs Similar (7)	88.0	86.1	174.1	+1.9	57%
vs Weaker (6)	96.0	74.3	170.3	+21.7	100%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

89-81

A11/12

LBL

Nymburk

#13

64-88

-24

A16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Ogre

#10

118-71

118

+47

A19/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

77-65

+12

H23/12

LBL

Jurmala

69-63

A29/12

LBL

Antwerp Giants

97-80

+17

H05/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Latvijas Universitate

#11

102-62

102

+40

H07/01

LBL

Academic

#28

77-69

H13/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera/ORDO

83-87 OT

-4

A16/01

LBL

Nymburk

#13

72-69

H19/01

FIBA Europe Cup

25-17

21-24

18-21

25-19

16-15

14-32

18-20

16-21

28-24

27-15

35-16

28-16

18-19

28-12

10-23

21-11

25-15

26-13

9-15

9-20

32-22

22-23

21-19

22-16

27-13

24-13

20-16

31-20

17-17

14-25

29-13

17-14

26-24

16-17

13-17

15-19

21-14

17-22

19-14

158.3Avg total

84.8Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.6	65.3	152.9	+22.2	83%
Season at home (9)	87.8	61.0	148.8	+26.8	89%
Season away (9)	87.3	69.7	157.0	+17.7	78%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	73.5	158.3	+11.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	73.4	159.6	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	68.0	78.5	146.5	-10.5	50%
vs Similar (3)	74.3	75.3	149.7	-1.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.0	67.6	154.6	+19.4	88%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	23.6	43.4	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	24.8	44.3	-5.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.5	43.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	24.1	45.3	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.7	23.2	47.8	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.8	15.7	40.5	+9.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	18.1	41.1	+5.0	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.0	16.7	38.8	+5.3	80%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

50-37

+13

H09/12

LBL

Parnu

45-41

H11/12

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

32-44

-12

H15/12

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

39-51

-12

H23/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

34-42

-8

A29/12

LBL

BC Kalev/Cramo

35-50

-15

H05/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

44-40

H09/01

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

47-48

-1

H12/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

32-51

-19

H16/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

31-38

-7

H19/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

83.1Avg total

38.9Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	44.4	85.5	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.0	44.2	85.2	-3.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	44.8	86.0	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	44.2	83.1	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	45.4	83.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.9	45.5	82.5	-8.6	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.0	46.6	90.6	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.5	38.8	88.3	+10.7	83%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

46-41

A11/12

LBL

Nymburk

#13

30-47

-17

A16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Ogre

#10

55-39

+16

A19/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

46-31

+15

H23/12

LBL

Jurmala

51-28

+23

A29/12

LBL

Antwerp Giants

54-45

H05/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Latvijas Universitate

#11

51-26

+25

H07/01

LBL

Academic

#28

31-42

-11

H13/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera/ORDO

43-38

A16/01

LBL

Nymburk

#13

36-33

H19/01

FIBA Europe Cup

81.3Avg total

44.3Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	35.8	79.0	+7.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	35.1	76.6	+6.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.1	36.6	81.6	+8.5	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	37.0	81.3	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	36.8	79.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	37.7	80.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.0	35.2	79.3	+8.8	72%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.9	42.8	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.1	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	86%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	18.3	40.2	+3.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	15.6	36.2	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	14.4	36.4	+7.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.4	14.8	36.2	+6.6	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.7	17.2	41.8	+7.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.3	37.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	15.8	36.4	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.1	17.0	38.2	+4.1	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.5	81.3	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	40.1	80.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	43.3	82.8	-3.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	43.2	82.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	45.4	88.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.3	45.1	81.4	-8.8	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.7	37.9	80.6	+4.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.5	35.5	82.0	+11.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	32.8	73.8	+8.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	30.1	72.9	+12.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	35.9	74.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	33.6	74.6	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	31.7	37.7	69.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.5	31.8	74.3	+10.7	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

Ventspils wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/15	Ventspils v Valga	98-51

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	62-82
16/01/16	H	Tal Tech	76-86
12/01/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	100-108
09/01/16	H	BK Ogre	98-83
05/01/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	67-95
29/12/15	A	BK Liepaja	73-96
23/12/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	80-97
15/12/15	H	Rapla	68-84
11/12/15	H	Parnu	79-71
09/12/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	76-72

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/16	H	Nymburk	72-69
16/01/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	83-87 OT
13/01/16	H	Academic	77-69
07/01/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	102-62
05/01/16	H	Antwerp Giants	97-80
29/12/15	A	Jurmala	69-63
23/12/15	H	BK Liepaja	77-65
19/12/15	A	BK Ogre	118-71
16/12/15	A	Nymburk	64-88
11/12/15	A	VEF Riga	89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	50%	80%	20%
Points / game	77.5	81.4	73.6
Allowed / game	87.4	78.6	96.2
Point differential	-9.9	+2.8	-22.6
Avg total	164.9	160.0	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ventspils

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	83%
Home	WWLWW	89%
Away	WWWWL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	83%	89%	78%
Points / game	87.6	87.8	87.3
Allowed / game	65.3	61.0	69.7
Point differential	+22.2	+26.8	+17.7
Avg total	152.9	148.8	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	78%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	18	15	3	83%	87.6	65.3	+22.2
2	VEF Riga	11	9	2	82%	87.2	71.5	+15.7
3	BK Liepaja	18	13	5	72%	81.6	70.3	+11.3
4	Valmiera/ORDO	18	13	5	72%	83.3	76.2	+7.1
5	Jekabpils	18	10	8	56%	75.6	76.6	-1.1
6	Jurmala	18	9	9	50%	78.8	77.4	+1.4
7	Valga	10	5	5	50%	77.5	87.4	-9.9
8	Jelgava	19	7	12	37%	70.3	75.9	-5.6
9	Barons Kvartals	18	5	13	28%	78.3	84.6	-6.3
10	Latvijas Universitate	19	4	15	21%	73.6	86.9	-13.3
11	BK Ogre	19	3	16	16%	71.9	89.8	-17.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	30	18	13	15	76
Ventspils	25	23	23	23	94

← all games of the day

Valga vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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